Thread by @HeliosRunner

Hello there!
have a great week end you all.
Bon week end à tous!

1/n

2/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 18, 2023
#RussianArmy are blocked almost everywhere. no real changes were recorded lately, only in the area of #Bakhmut, some minor progress have been noticed.
but nothing as real danger for now
#UkraineMap

3/ "Day 388 of the russian full-scale invasion has begun.
yesterday night Ru launched 34x air strikes. 11x of them employed Shahed-136 UAVs. 10x of these UAVs were destroyed by Ukrainian air defense units, but unfortunately, 1x hit an industrial infrastructure facility. (Per Gen

4/ Staff report) & Ru are showing couple more but yet to be confirmed- they mainly claim to have destroyed several gasoline reserve & depot..
"Also no civilians casualties recorded this time. Ru also launched 1x missile attack and 57x MLRS attacks, 1x of them at the settlement of

5/ #Veletenske (#Kherson oblast). The fragments have damaged 7x private houses and the building of a local kindergarten. Luckily, no casualties here either.
The likelihood of missile strikes across Ukraine remains quite high.

6/ Now in the #Kupyansk and #Lyman axes: during the day of March 17, the adversary made unsuccessful attempts to break through the defense of Ukrainian troops. The invaders shelled the vicinities of 13x settlements along the line of contact, including #Vesele, #Hryanykivka,

7/ #Vilshana, #Krokhmalne, #Berestove, #Dibrova, #Andriivka (Kharkiv oblast), #Novojehorivka, #Nevske, #Bilohorivka, #Novoselivka, #Chervonopopivka (Luhansk oblast), and #Novoselivka (Donetsk oblast).

8/ so basically in the "north-East", the situation remains quite similar as this previously assessed
except maybe that Ukr are a bit closer to #Vilshana along the forest close to the main road. but no #AFU forces inside the city...

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1632442940944531460

9/ then down to south #Svatove and #Kreminna area we are still witnessing the same "dance" and still the same "moves".
being very lucky that Ru did not managed to drag there massives forces in one go, to make "decisive" push (no breakthrough whatsoever) even after depleting abt

10/ 15k men there (4 to 6 KIA) the last 50 days.
which is by the way about 100 (min) Ru KIA in this area alone everyday.
lots of Ukr wounded also as the defense was really hard there, don't get it wrong. it was really hard to contain
Ru tried to bring in Terminator & all of

11/ their super "hyped" materials including T-90 (the now infamous lol MBT as they can't even produce themselves proper optronics on their production line & as the dissection of the model, show how "basic" of a tank this "beast" was for real).
Anyway so no progress there...

12/ just last thoughts about there. we have seen ton of footages of the area. don't expect as some mapper shows a "still full block" with russians ready to storm #Torske or on the contrary some people showing the LOCs to #Kreminna being "under UKR control.. it's all false. Ru are

13/ full control of P-66.
and as for the rest there is a lot of mouvement in certain areas as i said.. and like i showed last may you should see the situation there as group of "ants" with sometimes bigger materials or vehicles, moving in and out, being destroyed etc. no one

14/ there is deploying massive troops in bataillon order, ready to storm a precise point. there is a total dilution of moving forces in some places.
hence lots of vids of "lost souls" wandering in some areas being picked apart and put down...
& sometimes Ru launch a big attack.

15/ i'm telling you all this because yesterday someone send me a link to a friend of mine showing two mappers as "Reference" on one of this "space talk" here on twitter. and both are totally diff, and making exactly the mistakes i just talked about..
so i got to explained this..

16/ now about the #Bakhmut axis: the enemy has not stopped its assault at the city of #Bakhmut. At the same time, Ukrainian defenders repelled the occupants’ attacks in the vicinities of the forest of #Klishchiivka and #Ivanivske. (but RU progressed there)

17/ "Near the line of contact, the enemy shelled the settlements of #Minkivka, #OrikhovoVasylivka, #Zaliznyanske (yes the Ru only gained the lower part of the city actually their are not on the heights and that makes a huge difference), #Vasyukivka, .. #Hryhorivka, #Ivanivske,

18/ #Ozarianivka, #OleksandroShultyne, #Predtechyne, and #ChasivYar (Donetsk oblast).

so the situation there on the main areas remain almost unchanged and actually Ru are really not able to move out their "canal" axis, & really established anything solid to Chassiv yar direction

19/ Now regarding the other areas, Prigozhin is asking thousands of men to die to have some direct progress around #Bakhmut
the situation can be see as the following one.
there is still huge numbers of men waves coming there to die and more to come..
main pressure on South & N

20/ clearly some small incremental progress were made by Russians in some area toward #Bohdanivka or #Hryhorivka but in the city itself nope!
contrary to the 100th time they claimed it, Wagner did not take #Khromove or any major control on the LOCs anywhere! just pure old BS

21/ as they did for months in the past like last summer, they are telling what they "expect" to happen in the following 24h as they are pushing hard in one direction, but nope sometimes they just get slapped in the face and they are not able to produce any evidence whatsoever.

22/ funny enough they are then "talking" about totally diff things on their TG chanels, like bragging about several things, but just avoiding to explained that they were spanked or worst totally annihilated..
so #Bakhmut is not going to be taken by tomorrow morning to be clear...

23/ now, #Avdiivka, #Marinka, and #Shakhtarske axes: Ru conducted unsuccessful offensive operations towards the settlements of #Kamyanka, #Nevelske (they are out of the center village), #Avdiivka, #Mariinka (1 million year resistance !) , #Sjeverne, and #Pervomaiske

24/ . The enemy launched numerous fire attacks at the vicinities of 21x settlements. Among them are #Kamyanka (that is going full badass mode because this city has been attacked like 200 times since the war began), #Avdiivka south, #Vodyane north outskirts, #Krasnohorivka

25/ because #UAarmy actually managed to get back in the city and as yesterday night some actual combat were taking places in the city and surroundings! so the situation is quite fluid there, but very much taken seriously and SOF are being used there during the night to clean out

26/ the dirt...
situation remains really difficult as it is one of the other priorities for Ru army right now as they would love to be able to report to Gen Ru population about #Avdiivka fall... but they can sck dcks... (because its not going to happen anytime soon!!)

27/ now Ru also shelled and failed in the direction of #Heorhievka, #Maksimilyanivka, #Mariinka, #Vuhledar, #VelikaNovosilka, #ZolotaNiva, #Paraskovievka, #Tonenke, #Pervomayske, Nevelske, #Pobeda, #Novomykhaylivka, #Novoukrainka, #Pričistivka, #Neskuchne...

28/ and as for the #Kherson area... no specific map as everything remains the same...
no stories of "special attacks" or any of the BS i can hear at least once in a the week...
the number fakes & will of disinformation is also strong, even in some of these areas. so stay frosty!

29/ last part of Gen staff report :
and alleged Ru losses as it is counted for this morning at 0600.

30/ and that's it for now!
Thanks for sharing !!! (just go back to first tweet and RT & like ! thanks!!)
take care you all!
and see you later for other infos and analysis.