Patrick Senft Profile picture
Mar 23 15 tweets 12 min read
🇷🇺⚡️🇺🇦

Recently, @CITeam_en documented #Russia pulling ancient T54/55 tanks from storage and potentially moving them to the frontline in the #UkraineRussiaWar.

Some, like @RyanMcbeth, have suggested the T54/55s could substitute artillery.

My thoughts plus a twist at the end🧵 Image
What does using a tank in an indirect-fire role rather than a direct-fire role mean?

The idea: tanks don't fire at targets they can see in a relatively flat arc (as they were designed).

Instead, they fire at targets they don't see, at a steep angle (like howitzers). Image
And Tanks do that!

For example, Russia has been experimenting with using T-90s for indirect fire in 2018 (via: @pmakela1): function.mil.ru/news_page/coun…

And Ukraine has been doing the same in Donbas (via @RUSI_org): rusi.org/explore-our-re…
Here is even an image of a T55 in Afghanistan firing in an indirect role and a view through its scope.

(Credit: Mike Bennett)
quora.com/Could-a-main-b… ImageImage
However, it's not ideal for a tank to fire in an indirect role.

Primarily, to shoot furthest, the gun must be elevated to 45° - that's just physics.

In contrast, most tanks can only elevate their barrels to about 18° - resulting in ~10km being the max. range (numbers for T55)
So, often times when tanks are firing beyond the line of sight (LOS), they are driven onto a ramp to increase the angle of the gun.

Here's a video of M26 Pershing tanks in the indirect fire role in Korea 1950: reddit.com/r/TankPorn/com… Image
However, shooting far is not all; you must also hit a target.

Since tanks are not set up for indirect fire, they need an observer that sees the target and where the rounds impact - telling the tanks how to adjust their fire.

An observer's sketch to coordinate indirect fire👇 Image
Another challenge for tanks firing beyond LOS is that they need to correct elevation and azimuth (gun rotation).

I.e. The tanks have to turn their turrets towards the target - as seen below, at just 5km, that's just a few degrees. So the azimuth correction must be quite precise Image
Thus, using a tank as an artillery piece is possible, but having it fire far and accurately is not trivial.

It requires a forward observer that tells the gunner how to adjust its aim precisely - something the stock tank is not set up for.

Now it gets interesting: #China!
China has apparently been equipping some of its tanks with a fire-control computer to facilitate their indirect-fire capabilities.

As early as 2016, #China has begun equipping some Type 96A MBTs with a rudimentary targeting calculator for indirect fire.

thepaper.cn/newsDetail_for… ImageImage
By 2021, the indirect-fire targeting calculator was apparently integrated into the Type 15 light tank's fire control system.

However, the Type 15 still needs a forward observer to provide a target's coordinates.

acfun.cn/a/ac18010763?f… ImageImage
By 2022, this had changed too.

The VT4A1 MBT with an integrated #UAV was presented at the Zhuhai Air Show.

The UAV is allegedly connected to the tank's fire-control system and can be used for recon and to acquire targets for indirect fire.

k.sina.com.cn/article_140391… ImageImage
Based on the reporting, the Chinese development may ave been accelerated by the experiences from the #UkraineRussiaWar.

One author specifically shows a Russian BMD-4M and a Ukrainian tank being supported by a UAV while firing indirectly. Image

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More from @SenftPatrick

Mar 9
🇺🇸 - 🇨🇳

The #US @DeptofDefense just announced that #Russia was supplying "highly enriched Uranium" to #China.

Now, why would China do that?

A brief 🧵

Source: defense.gov/News/News-Stor…
What is highly enriched Uranium?

Basically, Uranium comes in many atomic configuration. U-238 is the most common & U-235 is the one we get the energy from.
Depending on the concentration of U-235 we call it: natural, low-enriched (for energy) or high-enriched (for weapons).
However, not all highly-enriched Uranium (HEU) is created equal. HEU covers anything with more than 20% U-235. But, nuclear weapons require at least 80% U-235; modern ones contain 85% and more.

Still, we don't know how highly enriched the #Russian Uranium for #China is.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 27
🇺🇦⚡️🇷🇺 - 🇨🇳

Der Spiegel (@derspiegel ) reported that #China's Xi'an Bingguo Smart company may support #Russia with sacrificial drones - the ZT-180 - against #Ukraine.

All we know is that the drone can carry 35 kg to 50 kg of explosives.

spiegel.de/international/…

An #OSINT🧵👇
The company name "西安冰果智能航空科技有限公司" gives us a marketplace website: 81uav.cn/com/bingouav/

As the company does not have its own website - very China.

Thanks to @stoa1984 for finding the website!! Image
Notably, no ZT-180 is offered on this site, but the BG-JX300 seems like a suitable candidate to be an unarmed ZT-180.

It is described as " very suitable for material transportation, military war simulation etc" and is the only drone that can carry a "35-50kg warhead". Image
Read 9 tweets
Feb 26, 2022
There've been numerous sightings of #Russian TOS-1A multiple rocket launchers in #Ukraine, albeit they've not been used yet.

Seeing TOS-1As in the #UkraineWar is significant as they cause immense damage when used in urban warfare - as we have seen in #Chechnya in 1999

A quick🧵
The TOS-1(A) fires 30 (24 A version) 220mm thermobaric rockets. One salvo can "annihilate" an estimated area of 200x400m.

Thermobaric rockets function by dispersing a fuel (powdered tetranite) into a cloud that is then ignited. The resulting shockwave destroys buildings & people
TOS-1s were used to great effect in the 2nd #Chechnya War; in the siege of #Grozny and Komsomolskoye.

To break the defence of Grozny, the TOS-1's area denial capability was used to cover mine-clearing operations, and to combat dug-in troops.
Read 6 tweets

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