Hello there!
despite #Prigozhin "performative talks"...
#Bakhmut is still not fully under Russian control. far from it...
have a good day you all!
1/
2/ Partial Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on April 3rd, 2023 #RussianArmy is stuck everywhere as explained last weeks. Only progress are in downtown #Bakhmut #Wagner troops still fighting to seize their only possible real victory.
#UkraineMap
3/ it's true that Wagner troops are progressing downtown and we have some direct visual confirmations to assess the situation in this specific area of the frontline.
but the UKr moving "out" seems still totally under control as they are totally managing their flanks.
4/ they are certainly in the red stripe area and already moving to the orange stripe part as some Ru channel are reporting it. but no solid evidence as for now.
also, it's gonna be "easy" for Wagner to really show or not their progress in the future, if thy show evidences of
5/ of reaching few "dramatic" points like the stadium, the museum, the Bakhmut Hotel or hotel Atlantic etc etc.
it will give us a true limit of their reach in couple days.

& that's about it for now, as Ru are not progressing (or even worse, going back to previous positions all
6/ along the 900km ish of frontline...

the "effort" they are doing to definitely take #Bakhmut is in total disproportion of the Ukr effort there. (even if they are doing a lot of course, don't get me wrong, as dozens of direct sources explains it everyday) but as said couple
7/ months ago, Bakhmut was lost for several months 10 years ago, and UKr took it back..
so this recent #Prigozhin stunt is only to secure for himself some "tranquility" / Putin & also attracts new recruits...
but this imbecile could really regret it, if in couple weeks they
8/ are being crushed in the area.

last : just a reminder of couple days ago situation
10/ pour ref la vid
Ru comments : "Yevgeny Prigozhin handed over to his fighters the standard of the Wagner Group and the flag of Russia, which was subsequently installed on the administration building of the city of Bakhmut, which had just been taken under control."

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More from @HeliosRunner

Apr 2
1/ Pour rappel, à l'assemblée nationale elle vote ou fait voter systématiquement contre tous les textes en faveur:soutien de L’ #Ukraine et ou condamnant la #Russie
definition même de la "sale petite pourriture morale"
Read 9 tweets
Apr 1
1/ Partial Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on April 1st, 2023 #RussianArmy is stuck everywhere as explained last weeks. Only progress are in downtown #Bakhmut
#Wagner troops still fighting to seize their only possible real victory.
#UkraineMap
2/ so #Russia still help #Wagner to continues efforts to size the city of #Bakhmut but they are not really willing to push through the flanks and lose thousands of soldiers to help them in the process.
so UKR Lines of Communication & Supply (LOCS) remain secure for now. so
3/ so Ukr are able to receive all the direct support needed and are also able to do medevac and to switch units when needed.
they are pretty much "controlling the retreat" if we can put it like that, as i just received some news that Wagner are still progressing downtown.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 26
1/ Hello,
i had too many thing to deal with this afternoon and i came back home late, so i won't be able to do a full recap tonight.
i'll do it during the week.
just few elements i gathered all day long :
first of all about #Bakhmut
Russians seems to be contain in the north
2/ but in the south along the river & the direction of the city center, they have apparently made some progress (even if nothing certain can be said right now as we have only geoloc vids of "conflicts" areas.
if true they are 1km away to possibly make a junction along the river
3/ also there is some indications of some progress to the S-W of the football field in the South part of the city. Ru claims last 48h to have units passed the famous Marioupolska street seems confirms.
but (in the orange area) there is no other proves than small Ru units for now
Read 8 tweets
Mar 26
I hope that no one in Europe or US will ever forget abt #Assad mass murderer and that in couple years from now, when Ru will have only butter knives left to defend one the worst criminal in recent history we will go there to bring him back to the @IntelCrimCourt @CourPenaleInt
2/ because this guy is responsible like Putin of almost 8 millions permanent refugees (by the way none one them to this day really created any problems in the countries they went to) and hundreds thousands of direct murders including massacre of children by chemical attacks or
3/ even torture and rape...
hundreds thousands. like 10 times more that the worst Russians ever did until now (& they did really terrible things out there)
so i hope we are not just simply going to forget about that guy and all his croonies...
that would be worse than all.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 25
1/ ok... wooof... there is a lot to say here as usual

(Ping les gens incompétents chez @LCI qui il ya 2 semaines faisaient la promo de ce débile complet on m'a fait passer qq extraits de vids connaissant mon "amour" pour cette serpillère/idiot utile du FSB ) Image
2/ first of all if the numbers were correct there would no more war for months. Also everybody is ramping the production and soon enough Ukrainians will have exactly, if not more shell and better ammo than RUssians (also GPS kit etc)

then the production of MBT will never reach
3/ 16 hundreds as they are -max- able to produce about 12 to 14 MBT (T-90) per month.
AND huge "caveats" => there is no more optics & all the "electronic" parts are now made by China grade products not able to perform & to be reliable as the components they were using before.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 23
1/ I could not agree more with Michael @michael_wasiura on that subject (& on other situations by the way) as it just drove me nuts for months... here excellent paper :
Undersupplied #Ukraine prepares #SpringOffensive with limited western arms newsweek.com/undersupplied-…
2/ so this morning i have posted this (see link below)
& have received numerous questions from friends, but i can't answer all (first of because i'm no psychic & also because there are too many variables now)
But i just wanted to let people know that this
3/ famous counter attack #SpringOffensive could appear (maybe not in some areas) as an "anti climax" situation, for months, and then things can suddenly change. we don't know, just don't expect sudden actions like in a Hollywood movie.
i mean even D day was followed by terrible
Read 6 tweets

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