Jayant Shilanjan Mundhra Profile picture
May 12 13 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Acquired by Mukesh Ambani in a hostile takeover, #Milkbasket is growing on steroids 🚀🚀

It’s growing in cities where no competition has reached yet, & that too without much upfront investment!

Here’s how 👇 Image
Founded in ’15, Milkbasket (MB) raised ~$40 million in its lifetime 💰💰

🔆 It would let people order till midnight & then deliver by 7am

🔆 By 2021, having grown to scale, it had burnt a lot of funds. Thus, the company was exploring sale to BigBasket, Swiggy or Amazon
This was when Reliance Retail swung into action:

🔆 It got Vani Kola’s Kalaari Capital to sell its entire 15.26% stake to Mahendra Nahata at mere Rs 400cr valuation!

🔆 As Nahata a Director on Reliance Jio Infocomm’s board, it was clear who the real buyer was
Thus, no one else would touch MB now, and the founders & investors had to make a distress sale to Reliance.

Weeks later, Kalaari received a $100 million cheque from Reliance to support its latest fund 😅

And, that was the end of Q2FY22.
Then 2 qtrs later, in an investor’s earnings con-call, the mgmt said:

MB is ready for scale-up. And this was big!

Game plan?
🔆 MB was doing deliveries from 11 warehouses it had built

🔆 However, these remained mostly idle during the days, except for when stocking up happened

🔆 Reliance said, our 4k+ stores selling groceries & daily essentials across all major cities do nothing in night. Use them!
Framework?

🔆 MB would study a city’s potential & the target localities

🔆 Ask Reliance Retail, if their stores in those cities could offer 4-5k sq ft of space to manage MB’s ops

🔆 If yes, game on!

Benefits?
🔆 Big fall in the cost & time to enter a new city

🔆 Allowed MB to list the SKUs available in the stores

🔆 Improved the sales from the existing infra & supply chain on which Reliance’s stores operate

🔆 Provided a new channel to sell Reliance’s pvt labels stocked in stores
Most important of all 👇

The presence of a Reliance store in a city allowed MB to enter smaller cities where no competitor is present right as building a warehouse and logistics is not viable.
For example: Salem in Tamil Nadu. No competitor operates there. But, MB does via Reliance’s existing store 💯
Outcome?

⚡ Over 2L daily orders in 42 cities
⚡ 5k+ SKUs (Thanks to Reliance’s stores)
⚡ Reliance’s pvt labels account for ~15% of sales
⚡ Commands ~50% market share along with BigBasket’s BBDaily

What a turnaround! Hats off! 👏👏

(Disc: Invested)
Biz News+ WA group: openinapp.co/6wrx2

PS: I post one such deep-dive daily 11am. If interested, do follow!

Note: This is a personal #investment thesis & not a #stock / #stockmarket rec.
Sources:
> Last 8 qtr investor presentations & con-call transcripts
> Aayush’s @TheKenWeb report from 2 days ago
> Company website

Tags: Reliance Industries Limited | #MukeshAmbani #Startups #IndianStartups #milkbasket @Milkbasketin

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More from @jshilanjanm

May 13
Can we put an end to the #FakeNews that Byju’s is raising $1bn at $22bn valuation!? 😓😓

Break the numbers shared below the headlines, and the beans spill out!

The truth 👇 Image
$1bn is what Byju's is reportedly chasing. Though visibility in the media is all about $950m.

This sum can be broken down into 2 parts 👉
1️⃣ A 3yr $250m convertible debt from Davidson Kempner Capital Management (DKCM) which is not known to invest in startups, but in financially distressed companies against significant equity & big interest rates

Like it bought #Adani bonds when they had crashed after #hindenburg
Read 15 tweets
May 11
Byju’s. Ola. Oyo. Swiggy- Why have investors slashed their valuations like crazy? 📛📛

Why should this be taken seriously? And why were they valued so high before?

Here’s why these questions deserve more attention! 👇 Image
👉 @BYJUS
Before: $22.5bn
Now (As per Prosus): $5.9bn
Now(BlackRock): $11.5bn
Cut down twice.

👉 @Swiggy
Jan 22: $10.7bn
Now (Invesco): $5.5bn
Cut down twice.

👉 @Olacabs
Before: $7.4bn
Now (Vanguard): $4.8bn
Cut down thrice.

👉 @oyorooms
Before: $10bn
Now (Softbank): $2.7bn
But, why should these be taken seriously?

🔆 SoftBank Group Corp. is $60bn Japanese tech giant operating 2 Vision Funds cumulatively holding startup assets worth ~$130bn
Read 12 tweets
May 8
How can long-term @IndiaMART investors not be delighted with @DineshAgarwal! 🙌🙌

The company released its Q4FY23 results some days back. So, I dived in & sliced through its numbers for the last 16 qtrs.

Here is all that I learned 👇 Image
In last 4yrs:
👏 Revenue/month: Rs 85cr | Up ~90%
👏 Profit/month: Rs 25cr | Up ~278%
Just look at those numbers!
How did it happen?

Outstanding jump in paying subscribers:
🔆 72% up in the Top-8 cities (~1.1L users)- 20% up in last 1yr alone
🔆 62% up in the cities with >5L people (~53k users)- 25% up in last 1yr alone
Read 13 tweets
May 7
India’s pvt sector is going gangbusters on coal mining, breaking all records ⛏️⛏️

A 5yr old #ModiGovt reform has set India’s captive coal economy on a big growth path.

Here’s all you should know! 👇 Image
India’s coal is primarily produced by 2 sets of entities.

⛏️ PSUs: #CoalIndia & #SCCL

⛏️ Captives: Pvt sector entities or PSUs like #NTPC or #SAIL which mine coal to meet in-house power demand

Here is how their production (million tonnes/MT) has fared over the last 10yrs 👇
Brackets show share of captives in overall production.

(Total | Coal India | SCCL | Captives)

FY14: 566 | 462 | 51 | 53 (9.3%)
FY15: 609 | 494 | 53 | 62 (10.2%)
FY16: 639 | 539 | 60 | 40 (6.2%)
FY17: 658 | 554 | 61 | 42 (6.4%)
FY18: 675 | 567 | 62 | 46 (6.8%)
Read 13 tweets
May 6
As @Paytm released its Q4FY23 results yday, I dived into last 8-qtrs of its lending biz 💡💡

Here’s a breakdown of numbers that you won’t find all in one place anywhere else 👇

Tags: @vijayshekhar | #Paytm Image
Paytm earns 2 things on each loan given.

💰 Commission (C): A %age of the loan amount

💰 Performance bonus (PB): A %age of the EMIs collected, only when the loan is paid back
Some basics about the performance bonus!

👉 In case of defaults, #Fintechs used to compensate the lending partners (LPs- NBFCs & banks) under #FLDG (first loan default guarantee) agreement
Read 15 tweets
May 3
An avg #Rapido rider does ~3 trips a day, earning just Rs 200! 😮😮

What’s his persona & motivation? What does @rapidobikeapp earn out of it?

Here’s all that the company’s data reveals! A thread 👇 Image
This morning, @livemint published a great data-rich story on #Rapido by @sumantbanerji. What did it show? A lot of things. But some key numbers are all that probably matters.
🔆 No of riders: 7.5L

🔆 Total monthly rides: 3cr

🔆 Avg rider's monthly earnings: Rs 6k (Rs 200 daily)

🔆 Full time rider's (10-12hrs) monthly earnings: Rs 20k (Rs 666 daily)
Read 15 tweets

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