flashback to NATO’s 1980s Forward Maritime Strategy should deterrence fail for the Alliance. Forward Strategy for the 1980s

@IEA World Energy Outlook 2022 drops, amid #Russia-#Ukraine War. short 🧵of highlights:

"The world is in the midst of its first global energy crisis – a shock of unprecedented breadth and complexity"

iea.org/reports/world-… 🇷🇺 "Pressures in markets predated Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but Russia’s actions have turned a rapid economic recovery from the pandemic – which strained all manner of global supply chains, including energy – into full-blown energy turmoil"

Russia welcomes Arctic cooperation with non-regional countries. a 🧵 on why suspending #Arctic dialogue & engagement w Moscow was a serious misstep. arctic.ru/international/… morality of engagement appeared to be the narrative which won out in this (likely) protracted war. in lieu of the transnational, frontier challenges which the #Arctic whips up - climate change, global transportation, data, space, minerals, hydrocarbons, fisheries.

Russian-Asian #Arctic Research Consortium founded: ten Russian and Chinese universities will become part of the Russian-Asian Arctic Research Consortium 👇🏻 arctic.ru/international/… + proposals sent to India, Vietnam and Singapore, as well as Hong Kong.

China Using Drones to Map And Survey #Antarctica asiafinancial.com/china-using-dr… Sun Yat-sen University falls ‘High Risk’ on @ASPI_org Def Tracker & is on the 🇺🇸 gov list of unverified institutions (export bans).

instead of getting upset abt a retired Australian male emailing a publication I wrote for to "bring to attention" the fact that I am *not* Australia's foremost Russia (nor Antarctic) expert & requesting they not publish my work anymore....🤣 I have decided to share a few hot tips to help others wanting to work in Australia's security academic sphere.

(also full disclosure: I plan to continue writing on Russia & on polar security issues, without permission).

#Pompeo 🇩🇰 meeting readout (Arctic inc): Danish Min Kofod outlines pragmatic approach to 'deterrence' & dialogue wrt 🇷🇺 "we will ensure that we have the proper capabilities in the region, & we want to maintain close cooperation based on Arctic Council & the Ilulissat Declaration" Min Kofad did not frame #Arctic concerns related to China, which was interesting. both "signed new MoUs...that cover a wide range of areas, like growing Greenland’s mining and energy sectors through transparent investment, helping manage land and fisheries" ....transparency...

U.S #Arctic fun: 1. Issues outlined miss prob only disagreement bw A5 states - 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 maritime challenge 2. technically it’s a process of ‘remilitarisation’ on account of the Cold War 3. lumping 🇨🇳 🇷🇺 into same axis in Arctic is problematic - geography/history makes one legitimate 4. 🇺🇸 is extremely active & engaged in Arctic gov structures & WGs - not sure how a consulate here will bolster any real power. “Facility” 👀 this expensive office block will work to interrupt sig advances 🇨🇳 has made into 🇬🇱 economy, gov/industry & precious minerals sectors.

I had heaps of fun writing this with @ArcticTroy @ArcticFellow 👇🏻 we put forward a conceptual framework for an #Arctic Security Forum - something lacking. “Arctic Security and Dialogue: Assurance through Defence Diplomacy” @WarInstitute @MDiplomacyWORLD moderndiplomacy.eu/2020/07/11/arc… Arctic militarization & strategic competition in the region is ⏫ problem is: there is no effective forum for Arctic defence authorities to discuss the potentially emerging security dilemma or the spectrum of associated and relevant issues involving Arctic non-/State interests.