Emily Holland, Ph.D. Profile picture
NATO MARCOM/ Assistant Professor @NavalWarCollege; @Columbia PhD; @DCRES_Harvard; @HarrimanInst; Russian Foreign Policy, Geopolitics of Energy. Views my own.
Sep 28, 2022 6 tweets 4 min read
🧵🚨 Gazprom 🇷🇺rejects Naftogaz 🇺🇦 demand for arbitration due to "unfriendly" arbitration environment in Switzerland 🇨🇭. This means we might be looking at ZERO #Russia gas to Europe this winter. 1/x 3 #NordStream pipes are severely damaged due to this week's explosions, technically 1 pipe of #NS2 could work, but not likely anytime soon. Hard to imagine #Germany 🇩🇪 will agree to use it. 2/x
tagesspiegel.de/wirtschaft/eu-…
Sep 27, 2022 8 tweets 8 min read
My take on #NordStream explosions 💥 3 total leaks, 2 on #NS1, 1 on #NS2. Neither CURRENTLY in use to ship gas due to breakdown in relations btwn #Russia & #Europe over #RussiaUkraineWar 1/8 #NordStream leaks are near #Bornholm, #Denmark. 12 nautical miles from international waters, 70 meters deep = dive-able 🤿 2/8
Feb 24, 2022 10 tweets 3 min read
Quick thread on #Europe #EnergySecurity given the context of today's events. 1. It is HIGHLY UNLIKELY that there will be a major interruption of Russian gas supplies to Europe because Russia and Europe are energy *interdependent* 1/x That means Russia is also reliant on Europe as a consumer of its natural gas. It is not technically possible for Russia to turn around & sell gas bound for Europe to Asian consumers because infrastructure binds certain Russian gas fields with European export routes. 2/x