Compare the human and material losses sustained by India in the entirety of Kashmir insurgency with the human and material losses sustained by Pakistan in the insurgencies in Balochistan and KP province in the last 20 years only.

https://twitter.com/chamranii/status/1901224181343117727

I posted the above post on Grok and this is what Grok had to say about the matter:

Comparing the human and material losses sustained by India in the Kashmir insurgency (spanning from 1989 to the present) with those sustained by Pakistan in the insurgencies in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) over the last 20 years (2005–2025) is a complex task due to the differing durations, intensities, and data availability for these conflicts. Below is an analysis based on available estimates, focusing on human losses (fatalities) and, to a lesser extent, material losses, acknowledging the limitations in precise figures, especially for material damages.

Human Losses

India: Kashmir Insurgency (1989–Present)

The insurgency in Jammu and Kashmir began in 1989 and has involved separatist militants, Indian security forces, and civilians. Estimates of total fatalities vary depending on the source:

Official Indian Government Data: As of March 2017, approximately 41,000 people had died, including 14,000 civilians, 5,000 security personnel, and 22,000 militants. This figure covers the period from 1989 to 2017.

Other Estimates: The Jammu and Kashmir Coalition of Civil Society suggests a higher toll of around 70,000 deaths (mostly civilians) from 1989 to the early 2000s. Human Rights Watch reported at least 20,000 civilian deaths by 2006. Pro-Pakistan groups like the Hurriyat have claimed up to 80,000 deaths, though these figures are less substantiated.

Post-2017 Trends: Violence has significantly declined since the peak in the 1990s and early 2000s. From 2004 onward, annual deaths have dropped sharply, with the Institute for Conflict Management (ICM) reporting 47 security personnel deaths in 2022 and around 60 total fatalities (30 security forces, 30 civilians) in Kashmir in 2023. Extrapolating conservatively from 2017 to March 2025, assuming an average of 100–150 deaths per year (based on recent trends), an additional 800–1,200 deaths might be added, bringing the total to approximately 41,800–42,200 (official) or up to 71,000–80,000 (higher estimates).

Thus, a reasonable range for total fatalities in the Kashmir insurgency from 1989 to March 2025 is 42,000–80,000, with the majority occurring before 2005.

Pakistan: Balochistan and KP Insurgencies (2005–2025)

Pakistan has faced two distinct insurgencies in the last 20 years: the Baloch nationalist insurgency in Balochistan (intensifying since 2003–2004) and the Islamist insurgency in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), primarily led by the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), escalating after 2004.

Balochistan Insurgency:

The Baloch insurgency has been a low-to-mid-intensity conflict with periodic escalations. Reliable comprehensive data is scarce, but estimates can be pieced together:

From 2003 to 2012, the radical Islamist group Jundallah (active in Balochistan and Iran) alone caused around 296 deaths in Iran, with additional unquantified casualties in Pakistan.

In 2024, over 900 attacks were attributed to Baloch insurgent groups (e.g., Baloch Liberation Army—BLA), with significant incidents like Operation Herof in August 2024 killing over 70 people in a single day.

Analyst estimates suggest thousands of deaths over two decades. For example, the South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP) and other sources indicate that between 2004 and 2019, Balochistan saw consistent militant activity, with annual fatalities likely in the hundreds during peak years (e.g., 2006 after Akbar Bugti’s death, or 2022–2024 escalations).

A conservative estimate for 2005–2025 might range from 5,000–10,000 deaths, including militants, security forces, and civilians, based on sporadic high-impact attacks and ongoing low-level violence.

KP Insurgency (War in North-West Pakistan):

The insurgency in KP, often termed Pakistan’s "war on terror," began in 2004 and peaked between 2007 and 2014, transitioning to a lower-intensity conflict by 2017. Data is more robust here:

(Cont)

BREAKING:

IDF releases footage showing an Israeli hostage being taken inside Gaza's Al-Shifa Hospital by Hamas terrorists during the October 7 massacre in Israel. A second CCTV footage shows another hostage (this one injured) from Israel brought into the Al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza on Oct. 7th.

About these two videos, the IDF says one hostage is Thai and the other a Nepali.

BREAKING:

Initial unconfirmed reports of a suicide bombing by a female bomber in Turbat, Balochistan. Developing. #Pakistan Just saw the photos of the remains of the female suicide bomber who carried out today's attack in Balochistan. Damn. She's been blown to pieces but her severed head is surprisingly pretty intact. One security personnel dead and three wounded. #Pakistan

Taliban's Balkh province governor Muhammad Dawood Muzamil has been assassinated in his office this morning in a suicide bombing.

#Afghanistan Taliban's spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid:

"With great sadness we received the news that Balkh Governor Alhaji Mullah Mohammad Daud Muzamal was martyred in an explosion by the enemies of Islam.
An investigation into the incident is underway."

Russia's Ambassador to Afghanistan Dmitry Zhirnov:

Taliban are a reality, so we are working with them. The financial blockade by US has stalled Taliban's efforts to fight [ISKP's] terrorism.

tass.com/pressreview/15… Russia's Ambassador to Afghanistan Dmitry Zhirnov:

Russia has established working contacts with the Taliban. Several Russian delegations visited Kabul. Afghan Chamber of Commerce attended St. Petersburg Economic Forum. Trade turnover has increased 40% in one year.

Women supporters of Imran Khan shaming Pakistani policemen while comparing them with the Indian Army and telling them to go conquer Kashmir.

Background: Currently there's a massive crackdown going on against Imran Khan supporters in Lahore, Pakistan.

While jihadis roam around freely in the Banana Republic of Pakistan, the state authorities prefer to attack a women's rally.

https://twitter.com/etribune/status/1633413091944718337

Frankly, I don't really approve of the whole message of intersectional feminists. I think some of it is really stupid and misguided. So I mostly ignore them.

If you don't like something, ignore it. But don't resort to bans and crackdowns. You're displaying your own weakness.

An explosion of unknown origin took place in an IRGC safe house in al-Hamidiyah neighborhood, Deir Ezzor city at around 8:30 am. #Syria

There are reports of at least 8 people were killed and several others were injured. Meanwhile, Syrian state media claimed the explosion was caused by a landmine likely left behind by ISIS. #Syria

https://twitter.com/SANAEnOfficial/status/1633382478650941440?s=20

Hilarious story of how a Pakistani retired Major was recruited by the Pakistani intelligence to counter an Indian retired Major in the domain of information warfare, only to have the Pakistani Major turn against his own bosses. Now there are two Majors - … twitter.com/i/web/status/1… The fun part is I have watched some videos of the Indian Major and I have seen some videos of the Pakistani Major - and I can say that there's no comparison of intellect between both. The Indian Major's caliber is much higher than the Pakistani one.

There are reports of a suspected Israeli strike hitting Iran-linked targets at the Aleppo airport in Syria. m.jpost.com/breaking-news/…

The Russia-Iran axis may prompt the West to see Israel with new eyes
eureporter.co/world/israel/2… "The West now sees Iran in a new way. They do not see it as a problem to be solved but as an outright enemy of the West that is helping to prolong the first land war in Europe since World War II."

"Don't worry, everything will be ok": Part 2

Pakistani Defence Minister, Intelligence chief and other officials are in Kabul, Afghanistan to (once again) beg the Afghan Taliban to stop cross-border attacks and put a leash on TTP. Good luck with that. Nothing much will come out of this.

Worth noting that Pakistani delegation is in Kabul just hours after two cross-border attacks from Afghanistan, including one by the Afghan Taliban itself. 😄

Indian sources are reporting that Ejaz Ahmad Ahangar aka Abu Usman al-Kashmiri has been killed by the Afghan Taliban in southern Afghanistan.

Ahangar was designated by the Indian Home Ministry earlier this year. Ahangar is believed to be the first emir of IS Wilayah Hind (ISHP). He started out with Harkat-ul-Mujahideen and later joined al-Qaeda in 2006 & finally defected to ISKP (Wilayah Khorasan) in Afghanistan in 2015. His teenage son Umais al-Kashmiri got recruited as a suicide bomber

#IDEX2023 kicks off in Abu Dhabi, UAE.

https://twitter.com/_edgegroup/status/1627663854183260160?t=qhPz47sBgsSO_ZqQnENipw&s=19

Taliban's Kabul Police spokesman claimed that an IED targeted a private vehicle this morning in PD-2, Kabul city and there were no casualties. #Afghanistan twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Reported video of today's explosion in Kabul city. #Afghanistan

Confirmed by Pakistan sources:

Imtiaz Alam AKA Basheer Ahmad, third top ranking commander of Hizb-ul-Mujahideen, a militant org operating in Indian Kashmir, was assassinated by unknown gunmen in Islamabad/Rawalpindi today.

The news is being widely covered in Indian media.

https://twitter.com/TheNewIndian_in/status/1627704194567401475

Pakistani journalists and pro-Kashmir campaigners also confirmed the incident.

(2022) Mufti Alim Nourani, the third secretary appointed by the Taliban at Afghanistan embassy in Tehran, has 3 wives & 12 children. He could not find a house in Tehran to accommodate his entire family. Embassy requested $28,750 for his annual house rent.
iranintl.com/en/202205289635 LATEST:

Iran has decided to hand over Afghanistan's embassy in Tehran to the Taliban next Saturday.

15 Afghan diplomats have decided not to work with the Taliban, and Iran has closed the embassy and prohibited these diplomats from entering this place.

https://twitter.com/AFIntlBrk/status/1627698908473294848?s=20

The Afghan Taliban opened fire on Pakistani border forces after an Afghan patient was refused entry into Pakistan due to lack of documentation. Clashes were ongoing until an hour ago and the border crossing was closed. One Pakistani soldier injured.

#Afghanistan #Pakistan The clashes between Afghan Taliban and Pakistani border forces are taking place at Torkham border.

The Pakistani FC soldier injured in Taliban gunfire is named Havaldar Nawaz.

The situation at the border market area turned into chaos after the clashes started.

BREAKING:

Syrian AD active over Damascus, state media says "hostile targets" are being engaged. Looks like an Israeli attack is underway. #Syria Site of damage in Kafar Sousah in Damascus following tonight's Israeli strikes. #Syria

Initial reports of a shooting in #LaDefense mall, Paris, France

https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1626982986473144325

NEW: @ITCTofficial interview with deputy leader of TIP (aka ETIM).

EXCLUSIVE: TIP IN THEIR OWN WORDS – AN INTERVIEW WITH ABDUSALAM AT-TURKISTANI, DEPUTY LEADER OF TURKISTAN ISLAMIC PARTY - by @meliniya34__

#China #Xinjiang #Uyghur #Syria

itct.org.uk/tip-in-their-o… Was TIP involved in the July 2021 suicide bombing against Chinese nationals in Kohistan, Pakistan?

In this interview, TIP deputy leader Abdusalam At-Turkistani denies TIP's involvement in the attack.

READ FULL INTERVIEW HERE: itct.org.uk/tip-in-their-o…