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Michael Donnelly 🏳️‍🌈 Profile picture
Michael Donnelly 🏳️‍🌈
@donnellymjd
Proud “nerd node” and community health advocate (he/him)
Jul 1, 2022 • 16 tweets • 5 min read
1/ A quick thread for my GBTQuties going out this holiday weekend on risk and harm reduction from #monkeypox...
I've gotten lots of questions from friends recently and I hope it's helpful to share my thoughts more broadly on these topics. Disclaimer/ Quick reminder before we start that the only MD I have is my initials. I'm not a doctor; just a data scientist who reads too much epi research & also likes going out dancing...
Jun 28, 2022 • 18 tweets • 6 min read
(1/18) We are moving FAR too slowly to stop #monkeypox in the US, esp. considering that summer parties are now in full swing. Here’s a quick recap + some thoughts on a better, faster, fairer response. (2/18) Last Thursday we saw extreme demand for vaccines among the highest risk demographic, GBTQ men + our sexual networks, as NYC’s single vaccine site was OVERWHELMED w/in minutes. cbsnews.com/newyork/news/s…
Dec 12, 2020 • 18 tweets • 5 min read
(1/15) As NY braces for more #COVID19 restrictions, let's understand why certain out-of-home activities are being restricted before others.

In particular, why restrict indoor dining and bars before salons and gyms?

Let's go to the #data. (2/15) This chart comes from data reported by @NYGovCuomo yesterday. The table presented by the governor is based on contact tracing. This sort of data is rarely published and is super valuable to making good science-based policies.

But, there's a problem...
Apr 1, 2020 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
(1/) Hey Small Business Owners! Are you aware of the new federal Payroll Protection Program? It can help you keep your employees on the payroll during this period through FULLY FORGIVABLE LOANS! Read on for more details... (2/) A one page summary of the program can be found here on the @USTreasury's website. Image
Mar 20, 2020 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
(1/) Five days ago I forecast that NYC’s hospitals would be at capacity with #coronavirus cases by Mar 30. I was wrong. New data suggest that #NYC’s hospitals will reach capacity of approx. 3,000 cases by Mar 24. #shutdownNYC
medium.com/@donnellymjd/c… (2/) While there is now nothing we can do to prevent reaching capacity short of immediately adding beds, we can prevent additional deaths and hospitalizations by fully shutting down NYC except for absolutely essential services, like Italy’s current restrictions.
Mar 18, 2020 • 12 tweets • 6 min read
(1/) The @imperialcollege study by @MRC_Outbreak on #COVID19 is incredibly important. You should read it. How do their approaches and conclusions for the US compare to mine? tl;dr: they are very similar. More detail in the thread. (2/) Comparing charts for overall deaths from their model and mine, you'll see that the Imperial College model finds that we stop adding significant numbers to the death count by mid July. My model puts that around June. Total Deaths - IC: 2.2M, My forecast: 1.2M
Mar 12, 2020 • 11 tweets • 7 min read
(1/11) The #NYC Region is in trouble. Our #COVID19 case load is growing so quickly that we risk running out of hospital beds in UNDER TWO WEEKS. To avoid a crisis at our hospitals, we need to act now. 1,200 hospital beds are not enough. @BilldeBlasio @NYCSpeakerCoJo @NYGovCuomo (2/11) @BilldeBlasio says we have ONLY 1,200 beds for #COVID19. (1010wins.radio.com/articles/de-bl…) At this rate, we could see over half a million severely sick people at once. There’s no way the NYC hospitals can handle that influx. The ill who can’t get care will die at higher rates.