Sam Abbott Profile picture
Real-time modelling @cmmid_lshtm. Member of https://t.co/Wt0ouSpmJM. Failing upwards.
May 28 7 tweets 1 min read
👍😢🚙💵 Recently I’ve been wondering if there is value in talking about incentive structures and how they are misaligned in Science. I mean everyone knows (they must?) who is involved and yet so little change happens.
Apr 19, 2021 12 tweets 7 min read
1/10 Since October @ftargument has been running a crowd forecasting project for #COVID19. First in Germany and Poland and now in all ECDC nations + the United Kingdom.

You can contribute your forecasts here: cmmid-lshtm.shinyapps.io/crowd-forecast/ Image 2/10 We submit an ensemble of these forecasts to the ECDC forecast hub where they are combined with many other models from other forecasters and evaluated.

covid19forecasthub.eu/visualisation Image
Aug 9, 2019 13 tweets 10 min read
1. PhD thesis 'Modelling BCG vaccination in the UK: What is the impact of changing policy?' submitted and everything is totally normal....

Written with #rstats, #bookdown, and #thesisdown.

Read here: bit.ly/seabbs-thesis

#phdchat #epitwitter #openscience #tuberculosis 2. Thanks to my supervisors @n3113n and @Christensen_H + my funders @HPRU_EI + @PHE_uk for the data.
Aug 1, 2019 9 tweets 9 min read
1. First release of {#idmodelr} is now on CRAN. {idmodelr} is a library of #infectiousdisease models and utilities for using them. Use case is exploration/education/research + signposting.

bit.ly/idmodelr

#rstats #epitwitter #dynamics #opensource #openscience 2. Current status is WIP with more features - and additional models - planned. Contributions much appreciated!

Planned features: github.com/seabbs/idmodel…
Jul 9, 2019 7 tweets 5 min read
1. New (first) paper now available: Exploring the effects of BCG #vaccination in patients diagnosed with #tuberculosis: Observational study using the Enhanced Tuberculosis Surveillance system

Paper: doi.org/10.1016/j.vacc…
Preprint: doi.org/10.1101/366476

#phdchat #rstats 2. Highlights

Evidence of an association between BCG vaccination and reduced all-cause mortality in TB cases.

Weaker evidence of an association between BCG vaccination and reduced repeat TB episodes in TB cases.

Little evidence of an association with other TB outcomes.