#Uranium Market Update in a nutshell๐ฅ #U3O8 continues to be a best performing commodity of 2020, up 25% YTD, up 69% from its bottom in November 2016.๐๐ #Nuclear power growth remains robust โ๏ธ๐๏ธโ๏ธ Demand at 182M lbs/yr & rising, Supply deficit ~60M lbs, -317M lbs by 2026โ๏ธโฌ๐๏ธ
#Uranium has strong #bullish outlook ๐๐ฎ #Nuclear utility contracting has been below normal for past 8 yrs. Re-stocking cycle overdue with growing uncovered demand & delayed Long-term contracting since 2012.โ๏ธ
With such strong #Uranium supply/demand fundamentals, why is #U3O8 market rebalance taking so long? ๐ค Trade Issues, Russian Suspension Agreement, #COVID19 have sidelined #nuclear utilities BUT trade issues nearing resolution, utilities getting back to work, #China going all-in๐๏ธ
Secondary Supplies have been holding back #Uranium price response.๐ง๏ธ But inventory drawdown has accelerated, #Japan restarts coming, Kazatomprom has abandoned Spot #U3O8 market sales, Carry trades harder to execute.๐ #Nuclear getting #CarbonFree #GreenEnergy & #SMR boost.๐โ๏ธโ๏ธ
With #Uranium mines shutting down in #Niger & #Australia next year, while #Nuclear fuel demand rises โ๏ธ there is a growing "Market Appetite" for new #U3O8 mines to fill supply gap.โ๏ธ But, U price too low to stimulate new production... needs to double to bring new mines online๐ฒโซ
Current #Uranium Market can be described as a Spring Coiling Ever Tighter๐๏ธ - Whether it 'Pops' not a question of 'If' but 'When?' โ๏ธโคด๏ธ #Nuclear demand robust & growing, falling production accelerating market rebalancing, re-stocking cycle delayed & looming, new mines needed.๐๐
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