Thread by @CR_Partou

The Possible Outcomes of the #US withdraw from #Afghanistan

Interior outcomes :

• Possibilities of civil conflict
• Dissolution of Afghanistan
• Return of terrorist organizations and their activities in the country

• The need for Foreign investment in the country’s mining business and foreign aids to the #Taliban regime
• Resume of Intra-Ethnic competitions

Regional Outcomes :
• Security issues in Central Asia
• Security issues in Southern Asia
• Security issues in Iran

• Security issues in the Middle East
• Competitions between Arab states to have a superior effect on #Pakistan and Taliban relations
• Resume of a new competition between Iran and #Turkey and Turkey and Arab states over Afghanistan.

• Turkey would face troubles over its strategic plans for central Asia
• Resume of demands for security and military support by Central Asian states from #Russia, #China, and the U.S
• China would face troubles over its Silk Road economic plan

• #India’s position regarding Afghanistan would be weakened
Geo-Strategic Outcomes:
• The U.S would now have more financial support to rebuild its Armed Forces
• India’s position will be weakening in the competition with China

• The U.S Pacific treaty will be weakening regarding India’s situation with China
• The U.S will be built a better relationship with Pakistan.
• The U.S and Turkey relations will be rebuilt.

• The U.S mining companies will resume their operations in Afghanistan after an agreement.
• The U.S will resume its counter-terrorism operations in the region with cooperation with the Taliban and Central Asian states.

• The Afghanistan civil conflict will resume and it will have a devastating effect on Eastern Iran.