Thread by @ArielBlocker

OK, so in response to the content of the video in the link given below, I would like to address the thread further below especially to @SecBlinken @USAmbUN @POTUS @vp @EmmanuelMacron @NDeRiviere @jensstoltenberg

In case you prefer to read this online rather than from tweets, here’s the link to the material I will be discussing : en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_…

And before I start I finally want to thank @ZevShalev ´s @NarativTv for bringing this to my attention in the last episode of his podcast where the no fly zone is discussed very astutely by two of his guests @mhmck and @ericgarland .

I only just understood that while neither Ukraine nor Russia are in #NATOpact , there IS (naturally!) a pre-existing international document that explicitly pertains to the situation that #Ukraine and hence the World are now in. That document is known as The Budapest Memorandum.

What is the #BudapestMemorandum ? Please see photos below from Wikipedia site (and whoopsies I realise that I forgot to cc @BorisJohnson and @BWoodward_UN ; apologies!)

For those who wish to read the full text of the memorandum, here’s the link: en.m.wikisource.org/wiki/Ukraine._…

and for those who don’t know or can’t immediately remember what OSCE is:

So moving on from that stage setting for lay readers, voici la “pièce de résistance” (and yes, pun intended), ie what is actually in the memorandum. First, a simple overall summary:

Now, while the history of how the memorandum came about it is fascinating & I encourage all readers to remind themselves of it, let’s continue on with detailing the content:

Okay, so to summarise #Ukraine and two of its neighbours gave up their past, present and future abilities to make, house or use #NuclearWeapons against an agreement from their real and potential ennemies (Russia and China) not attack them and a strong (from 🇺🇸 and 🇬🇧) & slightly

less strong (from 🇫🇷) promise from their allies that they would act in every way possible to defend them should their ennemies attack them nonetheless. Moreover it is clearly stated that the Allies can call upon the #UNSC at any point to ask for help in providing said protection

Ok, just another brief digression for any lay readers who might need reminding of what #UNSC actually is (other than the UN committee #Putin and #Nebenzia, who was then chairing it, publicly insulted by initiating war while it held a meeting on the situation in Ukraine) & does:

All very good and important Methinks but before I continue to give you my conclusion, let’s finish reading some of what that truly excellent #Wikipedia article says (NB this is mostly for specialists only, except in yellow where I highlight what might be of general interest) :

And more, sadly:

And further, up to now, even more sadly @POTUS @VP @UNAmbUS , though crucially IMHO, the vagueness of all this means you are free to reinterpret that point any way you see fit presently :

Indeed, others have already done this for you and IMHO with good justification and great skill:

FINALLY an important conclusion, testifying again that unlike #Putin’s , #Ukraine’s word can internationally be relied upon:

And now let’s sadly move on to the 1st major breach of this Memorandum, 2cd being even more sadly the present aggressive and unprovoked invasion of #Ukraine by #Putin’s Russia:

Of course many realised at the time, and those that didn’t do so now, that this Annexation, its initiation, its international reception and its consequences were eerily reminiscent, of the Annexation of the Sudetenland that eventually brought about WW2:
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudetenla…

For conciseness’ sake (!), only how it was internationally dealt with will be described here:

Here #Canada did the right thing:

And the now also globally infamous #Lavrov , #Putin’s foreign minister who was unanimously shunned at a Human Rights conference in Geneva last week, demonstrated already the disgusting sickness of his mind:

A little bit more that on one, to let the enormity of #Lavrov lie really sink in:

And that finally brings us to the present day crisis, into which enters also of course the remarkably clear thinking and prescient President of #Ukraine @ZelenskyyUa :

Ok, so what can we conclude from all this regarding our initial starting point, the #NOFLYZONE that @ZelenskyyUa IMHO so rightly minimally requests, from the above exposé?

Well, Methinks the following:
evidently, and quite indisputably IMHO, there exists at least one other route internationally pre-agreed route, besides the extension of @NATO, that has so far been insufficiently explored to provide #Ukraine with the help it needs. And that involves

the Allies (US, Britain and France) making use of point 4 in #BudapestMemorandum to appeal to @OSCE (which has observer status at UN) & @UN and in particular to @sec_council for IMMEDIATE assistance in imposing the #NOFLYZONE & humanitarian corridors @ZelenskyyUa is begging for.

As a reminder @SecBlinken @USAmbUN @POTUS @vp @EmmanuelMacron @NDeRiviere @BorisJohnson @BWoodward_UN @jensstoltenberg the @sec_council ‘s are VERY polyvalent, far-reaching and STRONG.

.@USAmbUN, I thought your interventions (as I understand it carefully coordinated with @POTUS) during that faithful #UNSC meeting so monstrously desecrated by #Nebenzia were especially eloquent. . At one point you said to #Putin that he should…

he should « Send his tanks etc back. And send his diplomats to the negotiating table » . There are thankfully peace negotiations already ongoing between #Putin and @ZelenskyyUa but in the meantime however there is MUCH you, @BWoodward_UN & @NDeRiviere can do to…

to make sure the @UN does not remain a place where so much is always said and yet so little is ever done, and thus a mere « machin » as my former President Charles de Gaulle ever so disdainfully called it :

Together with @antonioguterres , there is MUCH that at long last you, @NDeRiviere and @BWoodward_UN can do with support of @POTUS @BorisJohnson and @EmmanuelMacron . To start with you’ll have to decide whether you wish to exclude Russia temporarily from #UNSC

so it can no longer inappropriately and unethically exercise its right to veto (news.un.org/en/story/2022/…) when #Ukraine is discussed (car on ne peut pas être à la fois juge et partie!) or whether you systematically refer your decisions to the General Assembly.

Personally, if I were in your (for me by far too outstandingly accomplished!) shoes @USAmbUN, I would opt for former because: It’s high time the Free World taught #Putin & ses sbires lugubres qu’on ne peut pas ou plus, littéralement, se foutre du Monde sans conséquence aucune!

Thereafter, @antonioguterres @USAmbUN @NDeRiviere @BWoodward_UN road would be wide open for you to ACT quickly, strongly & creatively within @sec_council ‘s vast remit (stated twice above) with @NATO @OCSE & other allies internationally towards 🇺🇦 to uphold #BudapestMemorandom.

THE AS YET FAR FROM HAPPY END FOR NOW.