Nicolas Tenzer Profile picture
Sr civil servant former director @RevueLeBanquet chair @CERAP_Paris Guest Prof @PSIASciencesPo non-resident senior fellow @cepa #geostrategy #risks #humanrights

Sep 18, 2022, 10 tweets

Always remember the genocide of the Tatars of #Crimea.
Also always talk about the forced disappearances, torture, persecution of #Tatars and the destruction of their culture by Putin's #Russia since 2014.
Also do not write off Crimea.
Right time to write a #thread on #Crimea.
1/9

1 Some consider Crimea a side issue. No, in terms of law #CrimeaIsUkraine and Western leaders must be consistent with their statements on Crimea's territorial integrity. It comprehends Crimea.
Full stop.
2/9

2 Let's stop with the lying "Crimea is Russian" speech. Besides the fact that it has not always been, the historical legitimization has no value. Only international law counts.
The annexation of Crimea had only one precedent in Europe since WWII: the Sudetenland by Hitler.
3/9

3 Moreover, Crimea voted for independence from #Ukraine in 1991.
Please do not mention the pseudo-referendum of 2014, conducted under threat, and whose result was never recognized by the international community.
The EU far right rushed there to supposedly observe... Bastards!
4/9

4 Narrative also heard: "For #Russia, Crimea is Russian and part of its vital interests".
First reaction: so what?
Second: let's stop buying the Russian propaganda speech. Let's also stop buying the perception it seeks to impose of its alleged #redlines. Let's pulverize them!
5/9

See also how little reaction there was when the Russian bases in Crimea were attacked and and the Russian tourists panicked and left this peninsula which is not theirs.
Joyful humiliation. And then?
6/9

5 From a military point of view, it is not excluded (not for sure) that Crimea can be reconquered even before the Donbass. We had this discussion in Prague (@Forum_2000) with @PavloKlimkin during a panel. Pavlo and I fully agreed to consider this hypothesis.
7/9

6 Strategically, no doubt the #Crimea matters to #Russia (notably Sevastopol), but it also matters to #Ukraine and the Allies.
We must stop systematically and first of all placing ourselves on the side of a Russian point of view.
Have we learned nothing?
8/9

7 As for the rest of #Ukraine, giving Kyiv all the means to reconquer Crimea is also a way to stop Russian exactions against the civ.ilian population. Time is of the essence.
It is not incidental, either in terms of values or in strategic terms.
#SaveTheUkrainians
9/9

Of #Ukraine, of course (sorry for the misprint).

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