J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 Profile picture
J'avais pris un nv compte pour me détendre... C'est raté. ex Night Owl - ex consultant - Nowadays cat specialist. Cartes, réflexions & Analyses... parfois.

Nov 10, 2022, 21 tweets

Hello there!

2/ everything going according to the "plan"...
100 days (3 months) like that would mean 74000 casualties 8000 pieces of important equipment/material
Next spring is going to be "something special" my friends..
remember this :

3/ first time last time.. #Kherson Propaganda Ru crew

watch till the end of the video and check for what we call the emotional micro signs... while they are saying "yeah hope/future/normal" their body language is : "oh dear God, please don't let me cry in front of the camera..."

4/ yesterday #Shoigu confirmed statements from Surovkin's report to Defense Minister Shoigu:

▪️The city of Kherson and adjacent settlements cannot be supplied & function under the current conditions.

▪️Russian troops will take prepared positions on the left bank of the Dnieper.

5/ Considering they needed to take care of over 15k soldiers plus supports & collabs men, this meant they needed more than 300 trucks in and out all day long everyday. plus to deal with the evac of men (in itself could mean more than 100 vehicles a day) and this only to "stay".

6/ so at the end of the day (as all the person who follow me long enough can remember/from Ru Pyrrhus- like "victory" when they seized #Popasna) when Ru dynamic crumbled, Kremlin finally decided to pull the plug off in #Kherson abt 15 days ago as first heavy materials was removed

7/ this is part of war "gogo" Ru mouth, morning report..
"don't panic we are still there - but no more - but it's ok - but Ukr are baddies now with us" 🙃🤡

8/ and i guess the best day to deal with/cope such an enormous amount of emotional stress is for them to create a story where they are working under angels wings -literally- in order to defeat the evil..

hummm.. but they are just working on implementing the plan right now..🤣🤡

9/ in the meantime in real world...
and even in "real fantasy one" :

10/ funny thing also #Surovikin reports that UKr has lost 12k men to date in October, from August to October in #Kherson district only, #Ukraine -nian would have lost 9.5k soldiers (killed & wounded -which would imply 2k dead here only). So #Arestovych explained very well that

11/ he believes, that this is almost the exact opposite, and Russia is spinning their numbers and presenting their own losses numbers as #Ukrainian losses.

exactly like what they did in #Severodonestk where - the bare minimum - RU losses was about 10k-15k men (KIA & wounded)

12/ also be aware of all the constant lies of stupid ru channels that tries to "hype" some abysmal ridicule gain in some areas in order to cope even harder w their shitty lives.
As @serhey_hayday reports on TG #Bilohorivka is still in full control of #UAarmy #ZSU is in da place!

13/ also quite interesting this morning is several reports emerging and explaining diff point of views from soldiers on the ground and the way they explain or "understand" some of the shitty situation in #Kherson
and as usual the exact same pbs as in the beginning of the war..

14/ also just in from @GeneralStaffUA

15/ first morning report
part 1&2

15/ et ne jamais oublier l'économie baby !-)

16/ German general also confirms yesterday that :
IRIS-T air defence system shot down 18 #Russian cruise missiles during last attack onUkr capital #Kyiv
so this is to take very seriously as we are still waiting to see on the "field" the incoming 1000 next IRAN "kamikaze drones"

17/ about the other areas and #Kherson ... we won't have much info, as usual by the Ukr offcial canal i'm afraid. (or as usual only when it is rock solid confirms) (which i explained 100 times is normal)

18/ another UKr sub source "aggregator" about #Kherson area reports :

19/ also if you care about some IMINT report (geoloc imagery report) not really "intel" per say... but good sources of observations in the area of #Kherson and crossings, you can check

20/ Also this morning : one of the most influential RU TG, wagner's "grey zone", is shitting all over their own for coping with the "we are actually fighting NATO" take. going as far as pointing out that RU is actually the biggest weapons supplier to #Ukraine
SPLENDID day so far!

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