Thread by @Laurie_Garrett

NEW -- 2023 ANNUAL THREAT ASSESSMENT OF THE U.S. INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY
Some highlights:
"#China will persist w/efforts to acquire foreign science & technology information & expertise,
making extensive use of foreign scientific collaborations & partnerships, investments..."
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Intel/2
"...and acquisitions, talent recruitment, economic espionage, & cyber theft to acquire & transfer technologies & technical knowledge."
"China’s dominance in the mining & processing of several strategic materials, including rare-earth
elements, presents a major..."
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Intel/3
"...vulnerability to the U.S."
"China produces 40% of the world’s active pharmaceutical ingredients; and China’s global share across all the manufacturing stages of solar panels now exceeds 80% and is set to rise to more than 95%."
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Intel/4
"Moscow has cont'ed to show that it views its nuclear capabilities as necess for maintaining deterrence & achieving its goals in a potential conflict
against the U.S. & NATO & it sees its nuclear weapons arsenal as the ultimate guarantor of the Russian Federation."
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Intel/5
"Moscow views U.S. elections as opportunities for malign influence as part of its larger foreign policy
strategy. #Moscow has conducted influence ops against U.S. elections as recently as elections in 2022. It will try to strengthen ties to U.S. persons..."
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Intel/6
"...in the media & politics in hopes of developing vectors for future influence operations."
"As temperatures rise & more extreme #climate effects manifest, there is a growing risk of conflict over resources associated w/water, arable land, & the #Arctic ."
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Intel/7
"Geopolitical tensions between countries about how to accelerate reductions in #GreenhouseGas
emissions are likely to grow, and states will compete to try to control resources and dominate the new
technologies needed for a global transition to low-carbon energy."
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Intel/8 #COVID19
"During the next year, #pandemic -related higher debt burdens, constrained govt spending &
ongoing employment disruptions & insecurity are expected to heighten the risk of financial instability
& poverty, particularly in low-income countries..."
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Intel/9
"All agencies assess that 2 hypotheses are plausible explanations for the #origin of #COVID19 : natural exposure to an infected animal & a laboratory-associated incident. Beijing continues to hinder the global investigation, resist sharing information, & blame..."
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Intel/10
"...other countries, including the U.S."
"A lack of global field #biosafety standards & protective measures continues to raise concerns of viral spillover worldwide."
"Global shortcomings in preparedness for the #COVID19 #pandemic & concerns w/biosecurity..."
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Intel/11
"...fabricated public claims about U.S. biological weapons development fueled by U.S. adversaries, as well as continued questions surrounding the origins of the #COVID19 virus, may inspire some adversaries to consider ops related to the devel of biological weapons."
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Intel/12
"Rapid advances in dual-use technology, including bioinformatics, synthetic biology, nanotechnology,
and genomic editing, could enable development of novel biological weapons that complicate detection,
attribution, and treatment."
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Intel/13
"Push & pull factors that drive #migrants from L. America & the Caribbean to the U.S.—such as deteriorating socioeconomic & security conditions in certain countries, misperceptions of U.S. policies & employment opportunities—probably will persist thru 2023."
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Intel/14 Transnational Racially or Ethnically Motivated Violent Extremists (RMVEs)
"Transnational RMVEs continue to pose the most lethal threat to U.S. persons & interests, & a significant threat to a number of U.S. allies & partners through attacks & propaganda that..."
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Intel/15
"...espouses violence. RMVEs are largely a decentralized movement of adherents to an ideology that espouses the use of violence to advance white supremacy, neo-Nazism, & other exclusionary cultural-nationalist beliefs..."
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Intel/16
"...RMVEs increasingly seek to sow social divisions, support fascist-style governments, and attack government institutions."
"RMVEs capitalize on societal & political hyperpolarization to try to legitimatize their aims & mainstream their conspiracy theories..."
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Intel/17
If you think you can handle it, and manage to sleep tonight, there's plenty more to worry about: dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…