#Daraa Thread
Upsum: 2 of largest & most grandstanding Eastern Daraa brig. have close family/financial ties to #UAE-based #Russia-phile businessman. Rumours mounting of them "flipping".
One previously escorted & shielded #Dail econciliation envoy to Feb 2018 Sochi Con.
Dr Khaled Al-Mahamid, rich UAE-based Daraawi businessman, been financin South brigades since 2012. Main recipients: Shabab Al-Sunnah & Usud Al-Sunnah. Since 2017, advocating #Russia view 4 'solution' in #Syria. Isn’t shy bout admitting role n negotiations re #Daraa & #Nassib
Mahamid is brother-in-law of Ahmad Al-Awdeh, leader of #Busra-based #Shabab.
Mahamid is also the direct cousin of Abu Omar Zaghloul, leader of Umm Al-Mayathen-based #Usud. Both towns been linked recently with rumours of a “flip mvmt” once regime troops are on outskirts.
In July 2017, when USA suspended aid for MOC, Mahamid stepped in through his UAE backing & own fortune to pay for the salaries of leaders, opinion makers and military commanders. Critics were wary about the level of #UAE/#Russia influence his stepping in would bring.
The meetings to ‘normalise’ relations with #Russia & find a solution to the Nassib crossing started in Oct 2017 in Irbid, Jordan. Al-Mahamid, Awdeh and Zaghloul were joined by 3 other major commanders from different #SouthernFront outfits. More meetings took place inside #Syria
#Russia rapprochement with # Shabab was evident on 1 Feb when one of their brigades escorted #Dail reconciliation member back from attending Sochi Conference. They protected him 4m arrest warrant issued vs him. Blowback was so hard that they had 2 issue "wasn't us" statement.
Last meeting between #Shabab leader Awdeh, #Usud's Zaghloul with #Russia officers was reported to be around end of April/Early May. It was attended by another cousin of Al-Mahamid. Nothing was leaked out of it.
Both Awdeh & Zaghloul deny such meeting took place.
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-Rumoured killed so far 40+ #Syria#SNA fighters. Most of whom are with the Sultan Murad Brigade.
- Syrians fighting 'ferocious' mountain warfare in #NagornoKarabakh.
- Injured to be repatriated.
-List has grown to 32 names.
- 15confirmed w/near certainty. (Possibly 17 shortly)
According to one of our contacts, a unit of #Syria#SNA Fighters has been killed fighting in #NagornoKarabakh today. 8 KIA and 2 MIAs.
He's on a family WhatsApp group of one of the dead fighters. A message was sent to explain the case of the officer missing in action. 1/5
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'One of the fighters was martyred. during the assault. The major, and 2 other fighters, went to retrieve his body. On their way back, a shell exploded next to them. The major was injured and a rescue team went to get him' 2/5
An official #Lebanon Customs document proven authentic, circulating on social media, shows that Customs had tried until 2015 to ask the original shipper to re-export the explosive material from Hangar12.
In 2014, the request was changed to either re-ship, or allow the sale to the Lebanese Explosives Company the requests were made up until 2017, stating that action should be taken considering 'its continued storage exposes facilities and employees to severe dangers'.
Investigative journo @riadkobaissi who has been stripping bare the #Beirut port Customs corruption over the past 10 years says that according to the laws, Customs 'didn't have the right to sell off' the cargo because of pending legal issues with the shipping company.
An extremely important thread on the spread of #COVID19 in #Damascus#Syria following lift of quarantine measures, emulating the #Lebanon example detailed by Dr @firassabiad
Al-Sharq al-Awsat's @ibrahimhamidi says 193 deaths were recorded yesterday, Friday, not all, from Covid but certainly many.
@omarsyrianok5 provides more details, says the burial measures are strict. Patients who die in hospital will be taken to the nearest cemetery to be buried there, regardless of family traditions. (bribery still an option to release the body)
Thread Upsum on view from #Damascus of #Syria MP Elections:
- 'North Korea option' seems a lot more likely.
- Under new and emerging external pressures, any internal dissent will be quelled, starting by parliament.
-A prelude to the '99.99% 2021 Presidential Elections'
A Damascus source commented on the recent elections result saying that @Charles_Lister analysis that Syria was going towards the 'North Korea option' is partially correct for the foreseeable future. politico.com/news/magazine/…
He said that in previous elections under Bashar al-Assad, the people were free to select independents because they had already been security vetted. Independent MPs in parliament also had a margin of freedom to operate under.
Chances are Rami #Makhlouf's life isn't in danger whatever may happen next . He's blood, after all.
The fall of the #Jaber Brothers, whom #Damascus perceived their actions as 'treason' (punishable by death), may be the most recent example.
The Jaber Brothers, once #Syria’s biggest tycoons and most powerful militia leaders, fell precipitously once they crossed red lines.
Tied to the #Assad family through marriage likely saved their lives and their ultimate downfall was limited to public disgrace & financial ruin.
The #Makhlouf saga is reminder that no matter how big a whale you are in #Syria, the megalodon is the apex predator.
Pieced together through insiders, at various intervals, this is the tale of the the fall of the Jaber Brothers, the ‘frog(s) that wished to be as big as the ox’.
Thread: #Damascus source view on the #Makhlouf saga:
“Rami's issues are with Maher Al-Assad and his frontmen, not with the first lady”
Source speculated that the much-publicised spat may be resolved in coming days, though he clarified that this isn't based on any concrete info
Going back to Aug 2019, he explained that in order for Maher to rid of #Makhlouf and replace him in the shadows without much popular backlash, he had to first isolate him from his support base. Therefore, his charities and the Boustan paramilitary forces had to be neutralised.
However, completely shutting down an organisation distributing aid, helping and hospitalising citizens would have incurred the wrath of the people against authorities and those perceived behind the clampdown. Therefore, the charity should still operate but under “new management”.