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Ari Melber @AriMelber
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Manafort jury note suggests they are only deadlocked on one count, so they would have consensus on the other 17.
Legally, a judge can push a jury to keep seeking consensus on a deadlocked count, or can clear the way for a partial verdict on the counts where there is consensus.
What would happen to the Manafort case in the event of a partial verdict?

Legally, he would still face any VA charges that this jury deadlocked on, plus the DC charges — so potentially two more federal trials.
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Francis Ford Coppola makes evolution look fast.
I waited a long time to see Godfather III, but not long enough.
Like how did this even happen? Did anyone talk to each other during the writing / casting / filming / blocking?
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Trump’s project always required creating his “own reality” —

Trump U. is a ‘great business’ (until it goes bankrupt);

Trump Admin will ‘make’ Mexico fund the wall (until it won’t & the US gov shuts down over it);

Trump will give his supporters ‘the news’ instead of the news..
This approach can shape public opinion in the short run, but that “propaganda effect” feeds bubbles which can eventually pop. Some things are easier to lie about than others...
So even one argues Trump has “gotten away” with more lies than a typical POTUS — sanctioned less by the political system, paying less of a price with his base (while Bush was pummeled for 1 lie about new taxes) — consider the two areas where Trump is facing swift backlash...
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New: Federal prosecutors in NY unimpressed with Cohen’s DMX defense, they recommend a “substantial” term of about four years in jail.
Breaking in NY prosecutors new filing:

“Michael Cohen’s decision to plead guilty rather than seek a pardon for his manifold crimes does not make him a hero.”

They ask the judge to imprison him for about 4 years.
NY prosecutors: Cohen’s campaign crimes for Trump “struck a blow to one of the core goals of the federal campaign finance laws: transparency.”
Read 6 tweets

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Manafort flipped. This is the "statement of the offenses" in which Manafort confesses to doing the crimes...

assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4883…
This first count #Manafort admits to is violation of 18 USC § 371, "Conspiracy Against the United States."

What does that mean? He conspired to commit a crime against the US or to defraud the US:
A conspiracy, definitionally, requires more than one conspirator. Who did Manafort conspire with? The first paragraph dealing with Count 1 names Richard Gates and Konstantin Kilimnik "and others"
Read 6 tweets
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#Manafort charging document for today's guilty plea includes details of his planting disinformation in US press to smear political rivals of his pro-Russia clients in Ukraine. Eg "Plant some stink on Tymo"—painting a female rival as a criminal who paid for murder. Sound familiar?
Manafort had used the same propaganda smear tactics in Ukraine that Trump rolled out in his campaign for president in 2016. Manafort not only had Tymo soliciting murder. He pushed tribal divisions, using "Obama Jews" & anti-Semitism to tarnish her. assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4883…
#Manafort manipulated the media with disinformation and then used those planted news stories to manipulate US govt: "I have someone pushing it on the NY Post. Bada bing bada boom…The Jewish community will take this out on Obama on election day if he does nothing.”
Read 13 tweets
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1/ Giuliani revealed that Trump asked his lawyers for advice about how to pardon Manafort, and it has an obvious purpose: to signal to Manafort and other potential cooperators to "refuse to break," to use Trump's words. The message: don't flip.

washingtonpost.com/politics/trump…
2/ Giuliani couldn't reveal confidential attorney-client communications without Trump's permission, which suggests this release is strategic. Since Manafort was convicted, he's under pressure to strike a deal with Mueller rather than spend a lot of money fighting a second trial.
3/ Trump's fixation on "flipping" after the convictions of Manafort and Cohen suggests he is worried about what one or both men will tell prosecutors. You will hear commentators suggest this talk of pardons is obstruction of justice or witness tampering. In a broad sense, it is.
Read 6 tweets
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🚨BREAKING🚨

@CNN reports that the #Manafort jury sent a note to the judge asking what happens if they cannot reach a unanimous verdict on **ONE count**. the jury also asked for a fresh verdict sheet, suggesting that they may have reached a verdict on the remaining 17 counts.
CNN legal expert says this suggests that the jury has reached a verdict on the other 17 counts, and it's UNLIKELY that the verdict was "not guilty" on all 17 counts; otherwise, the last count would also be "not guilty."🤞🏼

More from @ShimonPro👇🏼
CNN legal analyst says that the judge likely will ask the jury to record their verdict on the 17 counts (if decided) to preserve their decision, then ask the jury to continue deliberations on the final, undecided (non-unanimous decision) count.

Read 5 tweets
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#Manafort's Virginia trial begins today—1st of 2 for Trump's Campaign Manager whose shady work for pro-Russia oligarchs in Ukraine were well known. Mueller team will tell this story thru 18 counts of financial crimes. They'll likely also establish debt/cash flow problems by 2016.
#Manafort trial update: Federal judge approves jury of 6 men and 6 women to hear Special Counsel Mueller’s case. The panel of jurors deciding fmr Trump campaign mgr’s fate was plucked from Fairfax County, a part of Virginia that voted heavily against Trump abcn.ws/2AqQ9i9
#Manafort Trial: Mueller Team Opening Statement Paints Manafort as "shrewd liar," rich cheat & thief who acted above the law. Mind-blowing resemblance betw Manafort & disgraced patron Yanukovych, who also happens to be on trial now—for treason in Ukraine. cnn.com/2018/07/31/pol…
Read 7 tweets
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1. Oh, Kilimnik... Konstantin Kilimnik. remember him? He's the one who was working directly with Manafort and Gates. A "former Russian intelligence officer (There's no such thing, once RU intelligence always RU intelligence).
2. Van der Zwaan (yes the Dutch attorney who is serving prison time for lying to Mueller) is the one who confirmed, via HIS PHONE RECORDS that Gates and Manafort were working directly with Kilimnik. And not by themselves, but FOR TRUMP, in case it isn't clear.
3. Kilimnik (who is person no. TWENTY in Mueller's investigation to face charges for those who keep score) and Manafort face two counts of obstruction of justice and one count of conspiracy to obstruct justice. They worked together to tamper with witnesses.
Read 9 tweets

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