1) #ISIS has released its first video from its so-called Turkey branch (wilayah), having first casually revealed its presence on 29 April 2019 via Baghdadi msg
2) The brief Turkey vid is part of IS’ vid series showing militants from IS branches around the world affirming their allegiance to the group & vowing to fight on, to prove their commitment to IS despite its territorial losses
3) The Turkey vid, like the others in the series, reiterates loyalty to Baghdadi & threatens the local gov, in this case Erdogan and his government, with attacks
4) So far IS has put out a total of 8 such videos, featuring IS militants in Libya; Azerbaijan (1st time); India, Pakistan, Afghanistan & Iran (all 4 under Khorasan); “West Africa", Sinai in Egypt, “East Asia" and the Caucasus.
5) Up to now there have been no similar videos from Syria or Iraq, possibly bec the series is partly meant to show solidarity with fighters in those two countries given the losses they suffered
6) It remains to be seen if the IS Turkey “branch” is just a propaganda stunt or more. IS last claimed an attack in the county in 2017.
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In the latest issue of its weekly paper al-Naba, #ISIS gloats about "the impact" of its deadly attack of 26 Oct on members of a Shia tribe (Bani Tamim) in Iraq's eastern Diyala province /1
The attack in the mixed Sunni-Shia province is clearly designed to reignite sectarian tensions in the hope of creating a Shia backlash against Sunnis that IS can then exploit /2
The attack gave rise to sectarian tensions and recriminations on the political & communal levels, and you can see it playing out online. There were reports of revenge attacks on an adjacent Sunni village. Such tensions on this scale have been largely absent in recent years /3
#ISIS admits some of its members have been killed in Taliban raids on IS-linked homes/hideouts in recent days. Says 3 militants killed + wife & child of one in Taliban raid in Parwan on 1 Oct. Says 4 IS militants killed + 3 women & children in Taliban raid in Kabul on 3 Oct/1
The IS account, which came in the group's weekly paper al-Naba on 8 Oct, claims the IS members fought fiercely when Taliban raided their homes in Kabul & Parwan and that gunfights lasted hours causing deaths and injuries in Taliban ranks before the IS militants perished /2
Within the same report, al-Naba features an image of a blindfolded man whom it says is the Taliban member later beheaded by IS in Jalalabad. The pose of one of the IS militants in the image suggests it's a still from a video which might come out later /3
1) #IS/#ISKP claims first attacks specifically targeting #Taliban in Afghanistan since the latter took power on 15 Aug. IS said it carried out a series of 7 IED attacks on Taliban members in the eastern city of Jalalabad on 18 and 19 Sep, allegedly "killing and wounding over 35"
2) In its claims, IS uses its typical wording to describe the Taliban, calling them an "apostate militia". IS released an image and a video of a low-profile IED blast to support its claims
3) As far as I can see, the Taliban have yet to comment on these attacks, which local media said also harmed civilians who were in the vicinity of the blasts
Thread on 9/11 anniversary, based on @BBCMonitoring analysis. It looks at the state of jihad, particularly that of al-Qaeda, in the context of the current geopolitical developments, esp the Taliban's return to power: monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/c202vk… 👇
Jihadists are celebrating the 20th anniversary of 9/11 as a double victory. It coincides with the Taliban's return to power in Afghanistan, seen as a coup for jihad, and the departure of all US troops from the country /1
Al-Qaeda has been at the forefront in congratulating the Taliban on their "historic victory", saying it foreshadows jihadist gains elsewhere. Jihadists are largely interpreting Taliban's return to power as a divine sign from Allah 2/
Thread: Al-Qaeda’s “general command” has finally issued a statement congratulating Taliban on the “great victory”, seeing it as a “prelude” to Muslims successes elsewhere & end to “American-European arrogance”, hegemony. AQ branches have already issued congratulatory statements/1
AQ urges Afghans to rally around TB and trust & obey its leadership; calls on Muslims worldwide to support TB by providing needed skills and funds to help it build a state. Similar to other AQ statements, prays TB will govern by Sharia - a make or break issue for jihadists /2
AQ pays tribute TB leadership, naming its chief, “commander of the faithful” Hibatullah Akhundzada. AQ is bound to TB by a pledge of allegiance. In theory, this means AQ places itself under the orders of TB /3
Jealous IS snubs Taliban saying it didn’t win Afghanistan through jihad, but was given it on silver platter by US. Argues “new Taliban” is a fake Muslim group US is using to mislead Muslims & fight IS. Says IS is preparing for new phase of jihad, possibly meaning in Afghanistan/1
Also expresses doubt that Taliban will implement true Sharia law in Afghanistan /2
IS supporters, who have been making similar arguments for days now, are likely to launch a coordinated hashtag campaign online to amplify the latest IS message /3