Interesting results on people's self-described national identity in Northern Ireland from 2016-2018 using @ARK_info NI Life & Times survey data when considering the variable of religion.
Breakdown of respondents is roughly 4/10 Catholic, 4/10 Protestant & 2/10 No Religion.
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We see that 2016-2018 there has been very little change since 2016 in the proportion of #Catholic respondents saying they have Irish-only and predominantly-Irish identity.
Notably, c.1 in 10 describe themselves as having an 'other' identity.
Here are the 2018 results 👇 2/4
There has been a significant shift among #Protestant respondents towards having a more exclusively British identity.
That said, the proportion saying that their identity is (at least) mainly British has remained stable after a boost in 2017.
Here are the 2017 results
👇 3/4
The biggest change has been among those with 'No Religion'.
Big drop in 2018 in proportion of this group saying that they are equally #British & #Irish.
Potential contributing factors: lack of #devolution & #Brexit.
More analysis needed!
Here are the results from 2016
👇 4/4
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It would be weird if a political sociologist in N.Ireland didn't have something to say about the #NIcensus2021 results released today, wouldn't it?!
& a pity if there weren't slides to go along with those comments...
NI population is up, more households with fewer people in each (2.44 ave).
There is more ethnic and language diversity than before but, oh my, it's still not very much. 2/9
"How would you describe your national identity" - a comparison here between 2011 & 2021.
A drop in British only (down 8 percentage points), and a rise in Irish only (up by 4 % points). 3/9
Predicting the outcome of the Assembly #Election in N.Ireland is straightforward enough if you know how.
There are a handful of key factors to bear in mind.
Nail all of these & you’ll be way ahead of the game come results day 🤓 #AE22 🏖️
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#1: the Issues 📝
What concerns are raised on the door steps? On the airwaves? Social media? Street demos?
What real life problems are addressed in the manifestos?
What policies are dissected in political debate?
Find the common thread across these & ... oh 😶
Moving on💨
2/8
#2: the Parties🥳
What do the polls say [& do they tally]?
How trusted are their leaders, & how secure are they?
How did they perform in the last mandate?
Have they made major blunders?
Are they running too many or too few candidates?
How transfer-friendly are they, to whom?
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