as it turns out, a @QUBelfast professor of political sociology working in & on the island of Ireland. @IrishEF Fellow #Brexit #Protocol #Border
Own my own views
Sep 22, 2022 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
It would be weird if a political sociologist in N.Ireland didn't have something to say about the #NIcensus2021 results released today, wouldn't it?!
& a pity if there weren't slides to go along with those comments...
So, here we are, a thread of nine. 1/9 nisra.gov.uk/publications/c…
NI population is up, more households with fewer people in each (2.44 ave).
There is more ethnic and language diversity than before but, oh my, it's still not very much. 2/9
May 28, 2022 • 23 tweets • 16 min read
*Thank you* for every tweet & supportive msg re: the slurs on my academic integrity
I'm not important, but information, evidence & facts are.
Here's 6 findings on political attitudes to pique your interest - 1/8
First up, everyone’s talking about the Belfast/Good Fri Agmt these days. What does NI really think about it?
2/3 see it as still the best basis for governing NI
Most want further implementation (Bill of Rts, Civic Forum)
Most want some reform too e.g. Petition of Concern 2/8
May 4, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Predicting the outcome of the Assembly #Election in N.Ireland is straightforward enough if you know how.
There are a handful of key factors to bear in mind.
Nail all of these & you’ll be way ahead of the game come results day 🤓 #AE22 🏖️
#1: the Issues 📝
What concerns are raised on the door steps? On the airwaves? Social media? Street demos?
What real life problems are addressed in the manifestos?
What policies are dissected in political debate?
Find the common thread across these & ... oh 😶
Feb 17, 2022 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
Serious concerns about growth of executive power & weakening rule of #law & #humanrights protection are closer to home than Hungary or Poland ⚠️
I'm proud to be part of the UK Constitution Monitoring Group, whose 2nd report is issued today @Con_Soc
👇 1/5 consoc.org.uk/publications/t…
In summary -
UK govt intent on reducing already-insufficient checks and balances on ministerial power. 2/5
To push agmt on the #Protocol, UKG threatened to use this Bill to breach it [I'm aware that sounds nonsensical]
What UKG wd hv broken was the need for *joint* UK-EU decisions on how to implement the Protocol.
We're told they have these ready now.
Nov 27, 2020 • 8 tweets • 5 min read
One chapter of the interim #Report on Irish unification referendums @ConUnit_UCL contains analysis of public #opinion polls & surveys in NI, GB & Ireland on the subject. 📊📈📉
Do see the report for the details & sources, but here's a snapshot... bit.ly/3nWfRiC
There's been a narrowing of the gap in recent yrs btn pro-Union & pro-Unity responses, & an increasing proportion think a united Ireland will happen at some point.
But if a #referendum were held tomorrow in NI, the combined evidence wouldn’t point to a clear majority Yes vote 2/8
Nov 26, 2020 • 8 tweets • 6 min read
If there was to be a #BorderPoll, how shd it best be designed & conducted?
A gp of academics convened to answer that Q… & we found it to be far from straightforward*
Here’s our interim report bit.ly/3nWfRiC
+a few thoughts 1/8 *Not just cos we like complicating things
The Working Gp was excellently chaired & expertly run… but it was no easy task.
Not just due to our various views/disciplines, but cos there was almost no element that cd not be interpreted in different ways.
Each part of this #report was laboriously debated & discussed.
But what you may not know:
It looks quite different to way it did before, inc. *big* amendments to part on N.Ireland #Protocol...
Eagle-eyed viewers among you will have spotted the first change.
The clauses have different numbers #⃣
Part 5 now starts with 42, not 40.
So the contentious clauses (which, "yes, do break international law") are now:
44 [export declns],
45 [state aid]
& 47 [law? schmaw!].
Sep 17, 2020 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
First reaction to this UKG statement on the 'Notwithstanding' clauses:
At the end it promises more such moves to come in the Finance Bill,
"inc. the same Parliamentary process that the Govt has committed to for the UKIM Bill" to related to "tariffs on GB-NI movement"...
Sep 13, 2020 • 13 tweets • 8 min read
N.Ireland is once again the rope in the UK/EU tug of war.
(we've been here before, several times 🙄😩)
Both claim to be acting on the grounds of the Good Friday/Belfast 1998 Agreement.