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This is exactly what will happen, which is why centering a strategy around appealing to those votes is an unwise strategy.

They will find an excuse for what they don't want to admit in polite company they are absolutely going to do.
Again, even a slight willingness to vote for Trump is an extreme right autocratic position. Even being open to it—no matter what the other option is.

Any of them are welcome to change their minds, but I think time spent trying to change them is better spent elsewhere.
If Biden wins, there will be entire news segments dedicated to painting him as a far-left socialist, and anybody who is susceptible to that message will fall for it, because (and this is the key) they want to fall for it.

We're have to win without them, whoever the nominee is.
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