Worked out the Testing performance for the States of India (based off partially reconstructed series, since ICMR has ceased to provide information). A major finding is that testing rate growth is strongly correlated with how well a state is doing ...
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Observe Gujarat here, the worst of ALL states.
#Covid19India
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Punjab and Rajashthan ramp up on need, but, of late the former appears of registering the importance of maintaining a decisive edge/margin.
#Covid19India
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And how UP lost the early control it seemed to have.
And why Uttarakhand is doing okay while West Bengal is exploding unnchecked.
#Covid19India
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Explains why the data shows no containment yet.
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Rules for series reconstruction: Interpolation by compunded growth between gaps in series (e.g. missing data for some dates). Series termination before last date - extended to the end (for maintaining integrity of totals).
Growth Rate (Y-axis): Total Count on Day N / Total Count on Day N-1
X-Axis: Date
Since it may still not be clear to some, continuing this thread with a view of the Impact of State Testing on National Case Count.
Plotted the % of Total (National) Tests that States have used with the % of Total (National) Positives they've contributed ...
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It isn't rocket science at all.
#Lockdown MUST be accompanied by commensurate and effective Testing with #TraceTestIsolate.
We can clearly see which States are failing the National Effort.
#Covid19India
Impact on daily new case counts between Haryana (maintaining an edge for testing growth) & Gujarat (doing the opposite). Likewise for the two hotspots - Delhi & Maharashtra.
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if growth rates are not easy to understand, here's the same picture of the States above - in terms of Doubling Times. States doing well maintain a shorter doubling time for tests against that for positives.
Doubling Time = LogN(2)/LogN(Growth Rate)
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#Covid19India
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And good for Karnataka that it seems to have figured out that the Haryana approach is the way to go - if it means business.
#Covid19India
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Notice the contrast with Kerala and Odisha.
#Covid19India
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Punjab appears to have chosen to give a boost to testing.
Tamil Nadu has learnt well from the superspreader surge.
#Covid19India
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#Covid19India
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