Killing of protester in widely publicized videos during anti-gov. #protests in #Belarus means significant escalation of conflict. It can lead to larger protests & more violent confrontations between gov. forces & protesters & toppling of #Lukashenko.
Large gunshot flash from firearm of #Belarus special forces member coinciding with impacted #protester & his falling to the ground in 10 seconds suggest that he could have been shot by special gov. forces member with stun grenade/rubber bullet or, less likely, live ammunition.
A possibility of another gunshot or some kind of small explosion when #Belarus protester fell to the ground cannot be completely excluded as of now because moment when he fell with wound in his chest is cut, unreleased or muted in 3 videos of his killing. img.pravda.com/images/doc/8/8…
Escalation of conflict in #Belarus as result of killing of protester can also lead to much more violent/deadly suppression of anti-government protests by government forces and introduction of martial law by #Lukashenko regime.
AP video of #Belarus protester killing is released & shows wound in his chest right after gunshot by government forces member. This means that he was apparently shot by gov. forces, most likely by stun grenade/rubber bullet, less likely by live ammunition
My analysis shows that in contrast to killing of #Belarus protester, times & locations of killing of specific Maidan protesters do not coincide, with a few exceptions, with specific times & locations of shots by Berkut policemen, charged with these murders
Live: there is a massive anti- #Lukashenko rally in Minsk in #Belarus. It is much larger than a rally in his support. #Belarus2020 #Belarusprotests
There is a massive anti- #Lukashenko rally in Minsk in #Belarus. It is much larger than a rally in his support. #Belarus2020 #Belarusprotests
