This is pretty cool.

#FauciGrandRounds
Dr. Fauci "not naming names", but clearly not pulling punches. Thinks strategy of protecting nursing homes alone exposes large proportion of susceptible Americans at risk for severe infection.
Gov't has bought 150 million of the rapid Abbott antigen test, will be distributing to schools etc.
Trials ongoing testing remdesivir vs. remdesivir plus.
News trials for antibody treatments
Unprecedented collaboration in vaccine development. Common DSMB, shared protocols and trial infrastructure.

3 in Phase III.

"By Nov/Dec, we will know we whether we have effective vaccines." Nothing guaranteed, but trials over > 2/3 enrolled.
Thousands of questions rolling in on Zoom per MGH Chief of Medicine @katrinarmstrong.... but a large number just wanting to thank Dr. Fauci for his incredible service.
Fauci: The wide variation in presentation (40-50% of asymptomatic indviduals) unlikely related to differences in immune responses.

Believes it is more likely related to heterogeneity in the relative density of ACE-2 receptors.

Acknowledges this is really not known.
"I don't talk about second surges because we're still in the first surge."

On influenza season: In Australia, "they've had the lightest influenza season in memory" - due to masking/distancing/vaccination. Hopes we see that here as well.
"This has really been like a depressing game of whack-a-mole. I think we need to hunker down and get through this fall and winter"

Thinks we'll get a vaccine by Jan/Feb and that will be our exit.
@RWalensky: distribution of vaccines won't be trivial.
- Some require multiple doses.
- Some require substantial cold chain
- Critical to ensure trust in a "vaccine-hesitant society"
- Challenges of distributing in vulnerable communities
Fauci:
- Local public health systems have deteriorated over decades.
- Supply chain and distribution being put in hands of military which is atypical - usually a CDC job.
- Concerned about getting the vulnerable groups vaccinated, but they are not the ones getting into trials.
Fauci:
- Low enrollment of African Americans in trials thus far.
- Surveys showing large number not wanting to get vaccinated are disturbing. Have our work cut out for us to build trust.
On sports leagues:
- Baseball - tried hard to do it right. Have had challenges, pleasantly surprised they are still playing, but sad National's are in last place.
- Sports important to the American psyche. Thinks "bubble strategy" should be effective to allow it safely.
Lessons:
@DrAnthonyF: Humility is the theme.
- Don't ever underestimate a pandemic.
- We can do ethically sound research DURING an outbreak. Controlled clinical trials are needed.
(cont)
- Need to be mentally flexible, guidelines can change based on data that evolves. We don't know all at the start
- Need to make a commitment to address social determinants of health now. Has to be a catalyzing event for this.
Public accessible resources and all talks in the HMS Grand Rounds series on #COVID19 can be found here. See links below provided by @EileenEReynolds

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More from @rwyeh

13 Nov 19
1/Lot's of angst about #ISCHEMIA and what it will mean for cardiology practice. For me, a positive trial is likely to mean more for changing my practice than a negative one. I'll try to explain (Thread). #AHA19
2/I was trained by conservative cardiologists in the post-COURAGE era. I don't offer PCI to stable patients with the idea that I am going to make them live longer or reduce hard endpoints. We offer PCI to stable patients for one predominant reason - symptoms despite meds.
3/However, it is VERY common for patients to be surprised that walking around with a blocked artery is safe. Even after a clear conversation about what the benefits of elective PCI are, post-PCI patients will often say, "Now I can walk around without worrying...".
Read 10 tweets
13 Dec 18
BREAKING NEWS!!!

In the first ever randomized clinical trial, we demonstrated that parachutes did NOT prevent death or major injury compared to control in individuals jumping from aircraft.

Published today in @bmj_latest: bmj.com/content/363/bm…

#PARACHUTETrial #XmasBMJ
Deeply appreciative of all the efforts of all the PARACHUTE Trial Investigators.

A multicenter collaboration between @SmithBIDMC and @UM_MiCHAMP.

#XmasBMJ #PARACHUTETrial
Our editorial, behind the scenes of the trial, linked below.

N.B. to the public - please continue to use parachutes for skydiving.

blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2018/12/13…
Read 4 tweets
26 Aug 18
Interesting validation of the DAPT Score in a large real world population. I'm most interested in the authors discussion, because the data are largely consistent with everything else that has been published. It's the spin that is different here. 1/
Let's start with the validation. The DAPT score is built on 2 separate Cox models. The authors validated each one in their study. Here is how they performed: C-statistic 0.67 for ischemia and 0.67 for bleeding. That's basically how well they performed in the original cohort.
Somehow, that didn't make it to the abstract, but instead, they focused on this.
Read 11 tweets
10 May 18
How could you use IV to analyze #CABANA? I haven't seen the publication (is it published?) and am going mostly on what people have tweeted. But if most of the crossover happened early, before patients experienced endpoints, then it could be pretty straightforward...
Getting randomized to ablation in the trial meant that you were very likely to get it, but not in all cases. Similarly, getting med Rx meant very likely to get med Rx, but not in all cases. So the breakdown is something like below.
If you imagine that the populations in both arms are identical (which is true on average), then for every patient in one arm, there is his/her equivalent doppleganger who is identical in all ways, except got randomized to the other arm.
Read 18 tweets

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