#FL #VoteByMail In-Depth Case Study: Sumter County
Earlier today, @Redistrict suggested Sumter County (The Villages) would be a good place to monitor on the election night. I agree and I looked into the county level data to assess the VBM situaion. ----
Earlier today, @Redistrict suggested Sumter County (The Villages) would be a good place to monitor on the election night. I agree and I looked into the county level data to assess the VBM situaion. ----
https://twitter.com/athein1/status/1315074376283254786
2/ Doing so eliminates the artifact due to discrepancy of different counties mailing out ballots at different times.
I then looked up the VBM data from the primary election this year. What I found was fascinating. Only 24% of Rs have returned VBM ballots ----
I then looked up the VBM data from the primary election this year. What I found was fascinating. Only 24% of Rs have returned VBM ballots ----
3/ while 40% of Dems have done so. Compare that to 75% of Rs retuned VBM ballots during the primary vs 62% for Dems. This tells us that Rs are not just receiving the VBM ballots late (like in some counties). ----
4/ They're holding on to them and they plan to bring them IN PERSON. There's no reason to doubt that they will not eventually match or exceed their return rate of 75% for the primary. So, what I said earlier today (below) might turn out to be true.
https://twitter.com/athein1/status/1315008130254688256
@threadreaderapp unroll please
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