This is about double what's coming through on Test and Trace data for the same time. And note that ONS doesn't include care homes, hospitals OR INSTITUTIONS - this means Uni halls of residences and colleges where we know there are significant outbreaks.
As with national testing data (as reported in PHE surveillance report), huge geographic variation with NE, NW, Yorkshire/Humber still massively more cases than elsewhere.
BUT cases may be plateauing in the north, although not in midlands/London.
But for me this is the key graph – age 2 to 11 (school yr 6) there really is no change.
For secondary school age, there’s now a real uptick for children up to age 16, but for 17-24, it’s beginning to level off.
This is important, because as @apsmunro notes in his thread on the previous release, this way of breaking down age is far more informative for policy than the 10-19 and 20-29 categories use in gov data.
And again as @apsmunro says - it looks increasingly like primary school age children are really not an issue here, but unlike in previous weeks, we now seeing more cases in 11-16y/o, may have big implications for secondary schools if trend continues.
And the new Flu and COVID surveillance report from @PHE_uk now doesn't break down incidents in educational settings by type (university, secondary school etc).
This would be so helpful for knowing if these are community or school transmission. Please start doing it again!
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Particularly pillar 2 (community)
Cases⬆️69% from 47,656 to 80,485; positivity⬆️to 7.7% from 5.3%
For Pillar 1 (hospitals/outbreaks)
Cases⬆️32% from 7,119 to 9,389. Positivity now 2.5% from 1.9%
And new for TT, number of individuals tested each week rising wk on wk.
By age – as with last week, cases in 10-29 y/o STILL rising fast without big changes in numbers of tests done. This is reflected in the PHE surveillance positivity data by age.
Cases and positivity (to 7.8% in pillar 2 and 2.7% in pillar 1).
Although not rising as quickly this week as in previous weeks, it remains hard to interpret what it means for community prevalence because it's still unclear what testing access issues remain across the country.
Case numbers and rates still dominated by 10-29y/o age gp, but worth looking at rising case rates in all age gps, including 0-4 and 5-9y/o
Local contact tracing is where local authorities set up local teams to contact cases that the national team is unable to reach within 24hrs.
They're seen as part of the solution to rising case numbers in England.
And with good reason. Early data from places like Blackburn with Darwen @BWDDPH suggest that they're able to reach up to 9 out of 10 cases that couldn't be contacted by the national team.