1/9 - BREAKING NEWS!!! Swiss data now available by cantons - Oct. 27 to Nov 02 - Surge in #COVID19 activity at high levels (R-eff=1.35) with medium level of mortality
7 cantons detailed
Data: zh.ch/de/politik-sta…
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/9 - Geneva will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.33) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at very high levels, with high to very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
3/9 - Zürich will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.33) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with medium to high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
4/9 - Vaud (Lausanne) will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.33) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at very high levels, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
5/9 - Basel Stadt will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.39) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with very low levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
6/9 - Bern will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.42) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with medium levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
7/9 - Ticino will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.40) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
8/9 - Fribourg will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.38) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at very high levels, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
9/9 -
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
Mortality assessment:
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50

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More from @FLAHAULT

29 Oct
1/9 - Suisse : “Parmi les mesures prises par le Conseil fédéral, certaines sont des mesures de confinement. La fermeture des discothèques, l’interdiction de cours dans les établissements supérieurs… sont des formes de confinement.”letemps.ch/sciences/antoi…
2/9 - “Le taux de reproduction aujourd’hui n’est pas celui du mois de mars. Nous sommes <1,5 quand nous étions >3 au printemps. Ces mesures devraient être de nature à ralentir la progression de la #COVID19, mais nous saurons si elles auront été suffisantes dans 15 jours.”
3/9 - “Les autorités suisses prennent un risque en ce moment, en optant pour des mesures qui pourraient ne pas être assez fortes pour enrayer une progression de l’épidémie particulièrement intense sur notre territoire.”
Read 9 tweets
28 Oct
1/21. Oct 29 to Nov 04 -
#COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting for 209 countries/territories.
21 countries analyzed in the thread.
Data: @ECDC_EU or coronavirus.jhu.edu or ourworldindata.org/coronavirus

Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…

Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience Image
2/21. Switzerland will be experiencing rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.33) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity, at very high levels, with increasing medium levels of mortality,
The embedded thread provides details on 7 cantons:

with 7-day forecasts. ImageImage
3/21. Italy will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.34) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high level, with increasing high levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
Read 21 tweets
27 Oct
1/4 - “Je plaide pour la fermeture physique totale des établissements d’enseignement supérieur et secondaire, pendant environ deux semaines, afin de casser la courbe de progression du #SARSCoV2 sans causer de décrochages scolaires irréparables.” google.ch/amp/s/amp.lefi…
2/4 - “Travailler à distance est une très bonne façon de réduire le nombre de contacts dans l’entreprise mais aussi dans les transports en commun.” #télétravail
3/4 - “Un couvre-feu n’est rien d’autre qu’un confinement nocturne, plus vous l’allongez, plus il a d’efficacité en réduisant les contacts sociaux. L’étendre au week-end ne fera que renforcer cette dernière.” #reconfinement
Read 4 tweets
27 Oct
1/21. Oct 28 to Nov 03 - #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting for 209 countries/territories.
21 countries analyzed in the thread.
Data: @ECDC_EU or coronavirus.jhu.edu or ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/21. Austria will be experiencing rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.25) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity, at high levels, with increasing medium levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
3/21. Italy will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.35) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high level, with increasing high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Read 21 tweets
26 Oct
1/21. Oct 27 to Nov 02 - #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting for 209 countries/territories.
21 countries analyzed in the thread.
Data: @ECDC_EU or coronavirus.jhu.edu or ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/21. Austria will be experiencing rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.25) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity, at high levels, with increasing medium levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
3/21. Italy will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.38) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high level, with increasing high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Read 21 tweets
25 Oct
1/21. Oct 26 to Nov 01 - #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting for 209 countries/territories.
21 countries analyzed in the thread.
Data: @ECDC_EU or coronavirus.jhu.edu or ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience Image
2/21. Austria will be experiencing rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.27) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity, at high levels, with increasing medium levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
3/21. Italy will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.38) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high level, with increasing (by mid-week) medium to highu levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
Read 22 tweets

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