Thread by @FLAHAULT

1/9 - BREAKING NEWS!!! Swiss data now available by cantons - Oct. 27 to Nov 02 - Surge in #COVID19 activity at high levels (R-eff=1.35) with medium level of mortality
7 cantons detailed
Data: zh.ch/de/politik-sta…
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
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2/9 - Geneva will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.33) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at very high levels, with high to very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

3/9 - Zürich will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.33) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with medium to high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

4/9 - Vaud (Lausanne) will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.33) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at very high levels, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

5/9 - Basel Stadt will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.39) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with very low levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

6/9 - Bern will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.42) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with medium levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

7/9 - Ticino will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.40) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

8/9 - Fribourg will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.38) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at very high levels, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

9/9 -
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
Mortality assessment:
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50