Democrats have a 3-in-4 chance of flipping the Senate, according to our final forecast. 53eig.ht/361eHL5
A ton of seats in the Senate are in play, making a wide range of outcomes plausible.
In 80% of our model’s simulations, Democrats wind up with anywhere between 48 and 55 seats. 53eig.ht/361eHL5
In 80% of our model’s simulations, Democrats wind up with anywhere between 48 and 55 seats. 53eig.ht/361eHL5
There are 17 Senate seats where both Rs and Dems have at least a 5% chance of victory.
But a big reason why Democrats are favored overall is that Rs have far more seats at risk. 53eig.ht/361eHL5
But a big reason why Democrats are favored overall is that Rs have far more seats at risk. 53eig.ht/361eHL5
Republicans have a few chances to play offense, but they have fewer seats to target and are likely to flip just one seat. 53eig.ht/361eHL5
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