When you look at counties with an expanded electorate, such as Latino-majority counties, it's important to consider the actual vote share and *not just the percentage.*
Along the border, BOTH Democrats AND Republicans increased their votes:
Cameron
2020 - D 64k, R 49k
2016 - D 59k, R 29k
Hidalgo
20 - D 128k, R 90k
16 - D 119k, R 49k
Webb (still reporting)
20 - D 32k, R 19k
16 - D 42k, R 13k
Biden got 5.2 million votes in Texas, which adds 1.3 mil from 2016. The last three presidential margins here:
2012 = 12 points
2016 = 9 points
2020 = 6 points
The revolution will not happen overnight, but it will happen over time.
Biden carried Texas urban counties 2.5 mil to 1.5 mil (was 1.95mil to 1.23mil in 2016).
Dems are also neutralizing the suburban stronghold Republicans enjoyed for years; 2.6 million votes were cast and R's lead by 14k overall (they led with 200k in 2012).
THREAD: New Texas presidential poll of 1,045 likely Democratic primary voters. Commissioned by @ProgressTX with @ppppolls, conducted Feb. 24th & 25th via phone and text. Margin of error +/- 3%. To get data this quickly we had to keep it short. Here we go... 1/10
@ProgressTX@ppppolls Super Tuesday is the first time Bloomberg will be on the ballot, we wanted to see how his appearance impacts the race. So we asked voters their preferences with and without Bloomberg. We also tested approval/disapproval ratings and top issue. 2/10
@ProgressTX@ppppolls With Bloomberg on the Texas ballot:
Biden 24
Bernie 24
Bloomberg 17
Warren 14
Buttigieg 10
Klobuchar 4
Gabbard 1
Steyer 1
Without Bloomberg on Texas ballot:
Biden 31
Bernie 25
Warren 17
Buttigieg 11
Klobuchar 7
Steyer 3
Gabbard 1
On the ballot tonight: 3 special elections for the State Legislature, the Houston mayor's race, and 10 statewide constitutional amendments. Also a ton of municipal elections (both candidate and initiative).
Of the 3 State Legislative seats on the ballot in Texas tonight, 2 are safe D seats (Dallas and Houston) and the third is a formerly solid R seat that was narrowed to 4 points in the 2018 election (Fort Bend county, a Houston suburb). #txlege#tx2019