With what appears to be TWO U.S. Senate runoff elections coming up in GA on Jan. 5th (which will determine control of the Senate), I'd strongly recommend sharing this graphic widely.
Over 550,000 Georgia residents would likely lose healthcare coverage if the #ACA is struck down.
Actually, I'm gonna update it to also include the amount of FEDERAL FUNDING which Georgia would lose (it was $2.3 billion/year in the pre-#COVID19 era; today it'd be closer to $2.7 billion/year).
And GA hasn't even expanded Medicaid.
Here you go. this table has been updated with both projected coverage losses *and* federal funding losses, and also includes the updated House members in GA-05 & GA-07 starting in January:
For those wondering how this relates to the Supreme Court: The hearing is in 5 days, but the *ruling* isn't expected until sometime in April.
If Dems manage to win a Senate majority, they *should* be able to pass a simple bill which makes the case moot before SCOTUS rules on it.
NOTE: Doing so wouldn't be easy. There's 3 paths they can take, 2 of which would require killing the filibuster (or winning over some GOP support), the third of which involves reconciliation which can get messy. None would be easy w/just a bare majority...but they're possible.
The 3 options are: 1. Raise the mandate penalty back from $0 to >$0. 2. Clarify that the mandate is severable from the rest of the ACA. 3. Strike out the mandate language itself.
Any of these would render the case moot before SCOTUS issues a decision.
ONE CAVEAT: @urbaninstitute recently issued updated statewide estimates of both coverage & funding losses *as of 2022*. For Georgia specifically, they put the net loss of both coverage lower: 343,000 people vs. 552,000. Still a hell of a lot of people tho: urban.org/research/publi…
In addition to other structural changes like eliminating the Electoral College and the filibuster, making DC & PR states, and expanding the courts, we should also really move Inauguration Day up by another couple of weeks.
It used to be in March, back when it could take weeks fore the mew President to even travel to DC. It was moved to January 20th in 1933, but travel and communication could still take days or weeks. These days, there’s no reason not to move it up to, say, January 6th.
I know some state officials take office as soon as December, but Congress has to formally vote POTUS in I think and the new session starts on January 3rd, correct?
Both Kasich *AND* AOC should probably sit this out for the moment. There’ll be plenty of time for Dems to fall back into disarray AFTER WE FLIP THE TWO GA SENATE SEATS.
Understand this, everyone: As awesome as kicking Trump & his entire gang of thugs out is, if we don’t flip BOTH GA Senate seats you can kiss ANY remotely “progressive” or even *decent* legislation goodbye. McConnell will let every bill passed by the House continue to gather dust.
You can also kiss ANY federal judicial confirmations goodbye, much less expanding the courts. McConnell will let the benches sit empty for 4-8 more years if he needs to. He has 200+ young right wing zealots in place already.
IF YOU KNOW ANYONE IN GEORGIA, send them this graphic. These are projected estimates of how many Georgians would lose healthcare coverage if the #ACA is struck down. Electing Jon @ossoff & @ReverendWarnock is the key to saving healthcare coverage for up to 554,000 Georgians. 3/
A question about Trump messing w/the Census (ending it early, trying to add the citizenship question, possibly fucking around with the data itself, etc): 1/
If I understand correctly, the REASON Trump/Miller were screwing w/the Census is to deliberately undercount POC in order to reduce how much federal funding goes to those areas, correct?
If so, what does that mean for REDISTRICTING at the federal and state levels? 2/
For instance, let's say that Detroit, which has around 670,000 residents, is undercounted, and the 2020 Census claims it's down to just 600,000. When redistricting is done, each district is supposed to be roughly equal in population *according to Census data*, correct? 3/
THIS. Also, this will still be in the middle of a pandemic...which will likely be raging even worse than ever. It'll also be in early January, which means most early/mail-in voting will be done between...Christmas & New Year's?? Who's more/less likely to show up?
For comparison, here's what happened in the 2008 Georgia runoff election, when Republican Saxby Chambliss beat Jim Martin...but note some key differences:
Re. 2022: I agree that the prospects for Dems keeping the House aren't pretty based on history + gerrymandering, but it should also be noted that the same election experts who were CERTAIN that Dems would *expand* the House this year were dead wrong.
In 2002, at the height of GWBs approval & post-9/11 fever, NO ONE would have imagined that just 6 years later the next President would not only be a black Democrat with a "Muslim-sounding" name (including the middle name "Hussein")...
...but that he would be a 1st-term Senator who would beat a long-term, respected Senator who was also a legitimate war hero by 10 million votes.
In 2016, almost no one imagined that Hillary Clinton would be beaten a washed-up, racist, misogynistic reality TV star.