PHE weekly flu and covid surveillance report for cases between 26/10 and 1/11.
Some takeaways.
TL;DR: hospitals are filling up, and not from flu.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Some takeaways.
TL;DR: hospitals are filling up, and not from flu.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Slight drop in cases wk on wk, but positivity rate still rising. This essentially means we're still not doing enough tests.
(note, ONS survey to 23/10 suggests community cases still rising fast, at 52,000/day, approx 3 times as many)
(note, ONS survey to 23/10 suggests community cases still rising fast, at 52,000/day, approx 3 times as many)
Case rates falling in <40y/o (but still account for a little over half of cases), but rising in >40y/o.
Positivity rates for pillar 2 upwards of 15% for 10-19y/o. This is really high (WHO said in May should be <5% for easing lockdown measures).
Positivity rates for pillar 2 upwards of 15% for 10-19y/o. This is really high (WHO said in May should be <5% for easing lockdown measures).
As ever, would be hugely useful to have positivity rates for symptomatic vs non-symptomatic cases.
Continue to be stark geographical differences. And whilst case rates still appear to be falling in NW/NE (although they're still really very high), they continue to climb in Yorkshire and Humber, and in the West Midlands.
In terms of outbreaks in care homes, this increase in numbers the week before thankfully hasn't continued to this week.
Plus expected drop in outbreaks in edu settings (half term), and little change in workplaces. This should fall from start of lockdown.
Plus expected drop in outbreaks in edu settings (half term), and little change in workplaces. This should fall from start of lockdown.
And cases of flu being picked up by PHE's respiratory surveillance network remain mercifully low.
And by low, I mean 1.
As in, 1 case. 0 admissions.
And by low, I mean 1.
As in, 1 case. 0 admissions.
As we know. COVID admissions are rising everywhere. Of greatest concern is the continued steep rises in the North and Midlands.
SE is the only region that isn't showing increasing admission rates (yet)
SE is the only region that isn't showing increasing admission rates (yet)
And it's these admissions, along with the associated ICU requirements that we hope lockdown can help with. But of course, we won't see any signal for a good two weeks from today.
And finally, deaths continue to climb. The slight slowing of the increase I suspect will unfortunately only be temporary.
There are clear excess deaths over the 5yr average, and at the moment the NW (and Yorkshire/Humber to a lesser extend) are really bearing the brunt of this.
There are clear excess deaths over the 5yr average, and at the moment the NW (and Yorkshire/Humber to a lesser extend) are really bearing the brunt of this.
PHE surveillance rpt, TT to follow @felly500 @deb_cohen @martinmckee @carolecadwalla @mgtmccartney @ADPHUk @Jeanelleuk @fascinatorfun @profchrisham @petermbenglish @HPIAndyCowper @Davewwest @HSJEditor @KateAlvanley @IndependentSage @nedwards_1 @SamanthaJonesUK @ewanbirney
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
