Tropical Storm Warning posted for South Florida and the Keys.
Forecast track for Eta as a robust tropical or subtropical storm nudged northward to the Upper Keys and south Miami-Dade with the latest NHC advisory. The Euro and Japanese models only holdouts showing FL Straits
Forecast track for Eta as a robust tropical or subtropical storm nudged northward to the Upper Keys and south Miami-Dade with the latest NHC advisory. The Euro and Japanese models only holdouts showing FL Straits
The intensity forecast from NHC has remained unchanged over the last several advisories. It is more aggressive than the model forecasts, which, eyeballing it, average to a ~50 MPH max wind storm. However, given the track adjustment, chances for storm-force winds increased.
2/
2/
Chance for tropical storm winds (%)
Orlando 15
Ft Pierce 28
W Palm Beach 43
Ft Lauderdale 51
Miami 41
Homestead 41
Marathon 42
Key West 34
Naples 46
Ft Myers 33
Based on NHC 10 AM EST #Eta
(note: FLL airport is a coastal ocean exposure and therefore has a higher %)
3/3
Orlando 15
Ft Pierce 28
W Palm Beach 43
Ft Lauderdale 51
Miami 41
Homestead 41
Marathon 42
Key West 34
Naples 46
Ft Myers 33
Based on NHC 10 AM EST #Eta
(note: FLL airport is a coastal ocean exposure and therefore has a higher %)
3/3
Important detail: #Broward County and points north have been left *out* of the Tropical Storm Warning. Those areas remain under a TS Watch.
4/3 fin #eta
4/3 fin #eta
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