Three thoughts.

First, take a look at hospitalizations right now in the #StLouis area. We're back to roughly where things stood in April in terms of total numbers of in-patients, and we're adding new patients at a faster pace than at any point prior during the pandemic. 1/6
Second, the irony here is that there are areas of MO - especially Mid-Missouri's two metros (Columbia and Jefferson City) - that have far, far higher rates of new cases. 2/6
Even within the #StLouis metro, Franklin, Jefferson, and St. Charles counties all have per capita 7-day averages of new cases that are similar or exceed what the County is experiencing right now. This is why we need *statewide* and *regional* interventions. 3/6
This gets me to point three - Page is acting alone because literally every other layer of government has failed us. There should be federal and state guidelines on phased interventions. We need a statewide mask mandate, and surrounding counties need to get their acts together. 4/
If you're frustrated about a shutdown, this is where you need to direct your energy. We need federal, statewide, and regional leadership. Otherwise the County and the City are the metaphorical little Dutch boys, trying to stem the flood of cases without any help. 5/6
And, if you're frustrated about a shutdown, imagine how the nurses, physicians, and other providers in #StLouis hospitals feel right now with nearly 600 in-patients and a community unwilling to back them up. Ask yourself if you've done everything you can to help them. 6/6

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More from @chrisprener

8 Nov
My #Missouri #COVID19 tracking site has been fully updated for Saturday, 11/7 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi….

It feels like we’ve hit a tipping point now - we’re now adding over 3000 cases per day, on average, statewide. Our regional averages are each at all-time highs. 1/6 ImageImageImageImage
We don’t know how exactly how this compares to the spring ☝️, because testing limits affected our ability to identify cases. But take a look at our hospitalizations in #StLouis if you want a sense of how bad things are right now 👇. We. Must. Act. Decisively. Now. 2/6 ImageImage
I’ve made another round of updates to the ZIP code maps for #StLouis to include Lincoln County on both the case and 14-day average maps. Warren County and Metro East will be added to the 14-day avg. maps next Friday. Lincoln County will follow later. 3/6 slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi… ImageImage
Read 7 tweets
7 Nov
My #Missouri #COVID19 tracking site has been fully updated for Friday, 11/6 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi….

Our 7-day averages continue to climb to all-time highs statewide and in all three regions; all of our alarm bells should be ringing loudly right now. 1/5 ImageImageImageImage
I now have significantly expanded ZIP code mapping for the St. Louis area. Lincoln and Franklin counties are the only metro counties missing, but will be added soon! I should have 14-day averages for Metro East and Warren County next Friday. 2/5 slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi… Image
I’ve also published the latest edition of “River City Data” this evening. It has an update on plans for new data products, an overview of where we're at with COVID, some thoughts on political polling, and my interview with @stltoday's @michelemunz. 3/5 chrisprener.substack.com/p/weekly-covid…
Read 5 tweets
6 Sep
My #Missouri #COVID19 tracking site has been fully updated for Sunday, 9/6 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi….

The statewide 7-day average continued upward, sitting about ~20 cases per day on average below our peak value in July. This increase came entirely from the “outstate” trend. 1/5
In contrast to “outstate,” which continues to climb, the trends for #StLouis are falling and they are steady in the #KansasCity meso region ☝️. This is great news for those areas considering the large # of new cases yesterday, but deeply concerning for “outstate” hotspots. 2/5
Those hotspots are primarily centered on the Columbia, Springfield, and Joplin metro areas as well as a smattering of counties in northern (esp. Marion and Nodaway) and southeastern MO (esp. St. Francois, not shown). 3/5
Read 5 tweets
27 Aug
This is my #Missouri #COVID19 evening update 🧵 for Thursday, 8/27. My website has been fully updated - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi….

The 7-day average of new cases statewide ticked back up yesterday, with corresponding increases in #KansasCity and in the "outstate" region. 1/16
Outstate is back to posting highs relative to past report days ☝️, which now makes up 48.4% of our statewide 7-day average. Only #StLouis continues to show steady improvements. 2/16
The area around Springfield is a big part of the outstate trend. Greene County is averaging 80 new cases per day on average right now, and the Springfield metro is averaging around 100, though 7-day averages have dropped in surrounding counties. 3/16
Read 16 tweets
25 Jul
My #Missouri #COVID19 tracking site has been fully updated for Friday, 7/24 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi….

The 7-day averages of new cases statewide and in the meso regions all reached new highs yet again yesterday. 1/6
This does not include the ~1350 new cases reported today 👆, which will continue drive these trends upward. 2/6
There are two new additions to the website that I want to announce.

First, Nodaway County has been added to the northern MO plots, and Marion will be added tomorrow. Both are adding about 4 new cases per day on average, the highest right now in northern MO. 3/6
Read 6 tweets
11 Jul
My #Missouri #COVID19 tracking site has been fully updated for Saturday, 7/11 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi….

The 7-day averages of new cases reached new highs again yesterday in each of the three meta “regions” of Missouri I plot 👇. 1/5
However, when you interpret these trends, please be cognizant of the caveats I posted yesterday in the third tweet of my non-thread thread. 2/5
Also of note - the 7-day averages of new cases that I pointed out yesterday in #StLouis and #KansasCity continued to climb in the latest data update. 3/5
Read 5 tweets

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