>60,000 deaths in the UK, with 595 deaths reported today. And rising excess deaths each wk.

Where are the COVID-19 deniers, and 'herd immunity' proponents now, when the impact of their disinformation campaigns is being felt?

We warned against this repeatedly, but were ignored.
We've all received so much abuse about 'fear-mongering', 'fake' predictions, fake tests etc.

The sad truth is not only was all this completely foreseeable, it was foreseen, and recommendations made to prevent it. But nothing was done.
Instead the govt chose to listen to people like Heneghan, and Gupta, and now we have the ERG, and Farage taking this on further.

All while we have to helplessly watch while entirely preventable deaths occur.
And we may have a vaccine soon. This is a cause for optimism, but also brings home how each an every death was preventable if only government had listened to the scientists screaming from the rooftops.
And if only some scientists had not been complicit in what is grossly unethical and negligent research practice, which has, and will cost tens of thousands of lives. We really need to rethink the structural deficiencies in UK academia, that allowed this to happen.
I can't even begin to describe how painful it has been to watch this entirely predictable disaster unfolding whilst being able to do absolutely nothing, feeling like a complete failure, and mourning the huge loss that's been with us all of this year. I'm outraged & heartbroken.
I know we're not supposed to be emotive, as scientists, and communicators, but this is really hard.

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More from @dgurdasani1

10 Nov
Our letter in the Lancet today- signed by 79 world-leading scientists - outlining key recommendations for a sustainable COVID-19 strategy within the UK. Thread.

thelancet.com/journals/lance…
We are in the second wave in England - seeing >20K COVID-19 cases/day and ~340 deaths/day - largely due to failures of govt policy. Lockdowns are needed when public health strategies to control the epidemic fail. It's essential the govt learns from this, and uses this time well.
What can we do to prevent being in the same position in a few months time? Here are our recommendations:

1. We need to urgently reform the find, test, trace, isolate and support system.

It's clear the current privately run system isn't fit for purpose.
Read 12 tweets
7 Nov
There have been recent reports of the mink farm related outbreak in Denmark which has received attention in the media, and has concerned many scientists, and health organisations. What's happening in Denmark now is important. Here's why. Thread.

who.int/csr/don/06-nov…
There have been reports of transmission related to mink farming across several countries over the past few months. The recent outbreak in Denmark suggests that a mutated strain of virus passed from minks to humans, and then spread across humans.
Mutations in SARS-CoV-2 occur regularly, and most have minimal or no impact on viral fitness, as far as we can see from the data. But animal reservoirs can be more important in this regard. Mutations in a virus occur randomly through natural processes.
Read 15 tweets
7 Nov
A few thoughts on these interpretations, that appear to suggest (with caveats) that schools in England haven't necessarily contributed much to transmission. The evidence presented here does not necessarily support this. A thread.
The lower number of cases identified among 0-10 yr olds ignores the fact that we know that children are likely to be asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic, which means that symptom-based testing is likely to vastly underestimate infections in this age group

There have been significant clusters of infection of COVID-19 identified in schools (both primary and secondary). These form the majority of clusters of acute respiratory incidents identified related to COVID-19 since September.
Read 13 tweets
22 Oct
A thread on where we are with the COVID-19 pandemic in England, and what we need to do urgently based on current evidence. This thread also explores why the govt Tier 1-3 strategy is nothing but a distraction from the actual public health response needed. 1/N
As we know, the PHE data shows an exponential increase in daily confirmed cases of COVID-19. We are currently seeing between 25-30K daily cases. This is likely an underestimate as testing capacity has been reached. Moreover, increases are occurring across all of England. 2/N ImageImage
Predictably increase in case numbers have translated over time into increasing hospitalisations across all of England, with regions in the North likely to hit NHS capacity soon if we don't act. While increases in the South appear slower, these are only lagging 3-4 wks behind. 3/N ImageImage
Read 22 tweets
20 Oct
tw: misogyny, discrimination, harassment in academia

A thread about my observations from academic and other contexts. I've felt compelled to write this after realising how the deliberate framing of these issues prevents any change in the status quo, and perpetuates injustice.
As women, many of us face misogyny in our workplaces, and in society on a daily basis. Here, misogyny is defined not as hatred of women, but rather structural patriarchal norms that have certain expectations from women & penalise those who break these, or speak out against these.
Of course, discrimination is intersectional, with ethnic minority women likely to fare worse in these systems. Much like with racism, experiences of women are often shaped by daily micro-aggressions - including a dismissal of their expertise, their discomfort, and their feelings.
Read 14 tweets
6 Oct
Another declaration on 'herd immunity' signed by Sunetra Gupta(Oxford), Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford) & Martin Kulldorff(Harvard) who don't have a single peer reviewed publication on covid-19 epidemiology between them

Can we stop platforming pseudoscience?

theguardian.com/world/2020/oct…
And these are not experts, or researchers who have provided any evidence to support their damaging views. If you want experts, there are so many around - who are basing their views on the actual evidence. There is zero evidence to support a 'herd immunity' based strategy.
@iansample - while I appreciate comments from actual experts like @trishgreenhalgh and @BillHanage are included, the way the piece is set seems to suggest these are equally valid opinions from equals in a field. This couldn't be further from the truth.
Read 5 tweets

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