🚨🚨🇪🇺🇬🇧🚚🚚🚗🚗🇬🇧🇪🇺🚨🚨West Midlands’ Tory mayor warns over post-Brexit car tariffs via @FT me with ⁦@AndyBounds
...you might think all a bit late in the #brexit game /1 on.ft.com/3pzPuRe
@FT @AndyBounds Business leaders raised the issue in the weekly Economic Impact Group meeting, chaired by Mayor Andy Street...it relates to the fact that after #Brexit carmakers that use non-EU parts will face tariffs EVEN IF we get a 'zero tariff' deal.../2 Image
@FT @AndyBounds As he put it: "the [European] Commission has made clear that it will not agree third country cumulation in any circumstances, which we regret, but obviously cannot insist upon" /3

ft.com/content/4fa473…
@FT @AndyBounds So Mr Street's letter won't have as news to @trussliz when it arrived...

...but barring a last minute EU U-turn (unlikely given @MichelBarnier warnings about the UK becoming an undercutting 'assembly hub' for the EU disappointment awaits /4
@FT @AndyBounds @trussliz @MichelBarnier Whether local trade groups think raising this now will work is not really clear...but it points, perhaps, to the level of surprise that might come when a "zero tariff free trade deal"...turns out not to deliver "free" (flowing) trade or zero-tariffs for everything /5
@FT @AndyBounds @trussliz @MichelBarnier The food and drink sector (which has similar problems as it uses, say Canadian wheat for example) is also very exposed to so-called 'rules of origin' issue which it says will risk a "hidden hard #Brexit" see this brilliant report for @Foodanddrinkfed - /6
fdf.org.uk/corporate_pubs…
@FT @AndyBounds @trussliz @MichelBarnier @Foodanddrinkfed This @Lexcommuk report Manufacturing in the Marginals shows just how m'fing jobs a) are more valuable than other jobs b) are key in several key marginal where m'fing jobs actually outnumber majorities /7

lexcomm.co.uk/manufacturing-…
@FT @AndyBounds @trussliz @MichelBarnier @Foodanddrinkfed @Lexcommuk So these realities will surely be weighing in on the @DavidGHFrost as he enters the final straight of the #Brexit talks....IF he can get the EU to be more generous on these 'rules of origin', what might he need to give away? What price the car industry? Or bits of it?/8
@FT @AndyBounds @trussliz @MichelBarnier @Foodanddrinkfed @Lexcommuk @DavidGHFrost There was brave talk in January of the industry being in 'secular' decline...but it has emotive resonance for British manufacturing and is key to Midlands in particular...worth some fish maybe?? I don't know. But we'll see soon enough. ENDS

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More from @pmdfoster

16 Nov
NEW: 🚨🚨🚚🚚🛳⚓️🚢🚨🚨
As Global Britain prepares to set sail, @IHSMarkit port performance data shows @felixstowe_port - the ”Port of Britain” - at the bottom of the efficiency stakes. This is port that takes 40% U.K. containers /1 on.ft.com/3lyVFlP
The congestion is so bad that George Griffiths of @plattsshipping tells me, companies are piling on surcharges - $500-$800 a 40ft box. /2
@plattsshipping This has been a long-running saga - @ft reported in October of calls for the government to intervene as trade groups like @BIFA said their members where being bit by so many delays. @BIFA_DG Robert keen is still suprised govt not doing more /3

ft.com/content/cde6ef…
Read 9 tweets
14 Nov
Worth reading Charles Moore - one former @BorisJohnson boss who is still loyal to him, but without being unaware of his failings. Full of personal and political insights...starting with why he needed #cummings to counteracted the prevarication... 1/

telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/11/1…
..for which “two columns” Johnson is famous and which - if one set of briefings today are correct - ultimately drove Cumming’s and co to distraction/despair. But on that, Moore says, Johnson often uses ambiguity as a shield. /2
Moore had always been alive to Johnson failings, in one piece about a Boris Brexit essay dismissing the “Borisian tosh” - but always aware of his powers to persuade and carry the #brexit charabanc forward. Now he sees others losing faith.../3
Read 5 tweets
13 Nov
The #Brexit talks enter yet another weekend with no obvious signs of progress in sight - what's going on? Will the #Cummings departure lead to the 'cave in' many are assuming?

Quick pre-weekend thread /1
First the talks. Summed up by convos with two sources from this week.

EU side: "UK not moving where it should if it wants a deal ...

UK side: "They just want us to do all the moving..."

We are stuck on a philosophical/substantive divide /2
The EU side says that it HAS move, a long way, and not just on 'dynamic alignment' on State Aid and ECJ oversight - but that movement is still off the baseline set in the Political Declaration of October 2019, which talked about "robust" guarantees on free/fair competition /3
Read 20 tweets
11 Nov
NEW:🚨🇬🇧🇪🇺🚛🚛🚚🚚🇪🇺🇬🇧🚨

There are 35 days to go until new #brexit border comes into force ...and the Dept of Transport hasn’t even got a “hauliers handbook” ready. My latest via @FT This one a real head scratcher. 1/thread
on.ft.com/36nSx6g
@FT It's pretty remarkable story, but as we know 10,000 trucks a day go over 'short strait' and 80 per cent of them are foreign - and as of Jan 1 that free-flowing system is going to be fetterd by full customs control, with huge new burdens for drivers. So a handbook be handy! /2
@FT This is doubly true of THIS government since it elected not to seek a waiver on safety and security declarations - it's choice - but that's burden that falls on the hauliers particularly. That's been knowns since January. Enough time to write the book, you'd think.../3
Read 11 tweets
9 Nov
Important move by DUP and Sinn Fein leaders in NI demand pragmatism from EU Commission over NI protocol...fearing new Irish Sea border will drive up prices/cut choice (it will) but can a reasonable balance be found? @MichaelAodhan @ManufacturingNI et al. via @tconnellyRTE 1/
@MichaelAodhan @ManufacturingNI @tconnellyRTE Recall this leaked @hmtreasury assessment of the costs of the Protocol for NI consumers.../2

@MichaelAodhan @ManufacturingNI @tconnellyRTE @hmtreasury The government is spending £200m on a 'trader support scheme' to help companies sending goods from GB to NIreland, but even so, unless derogations are given (proportionate to actual risk to Single Market) there is a risk that NI moves to reject deal the deal (as it can) /3
Read 7 tweets
6 Nov
🚨🚨🇪🇺🇬🇧🚚🚛🚇🇬🇧🇪🇺🚨🚨NEW. Unvarnished ⁦@NAOorguk⁩ report highlighting govt failure to prepare for post-Brexit borders - warns “widespread disruption” likely. My latest via @FT. Stay with me.../1
on.ft.com/2TXRqEl
@NAOorguk @FT You can read the 85-page public spending watchdog's whole report here, but it warns of

- insufficient customs brokers,
- unprepared border sites
- and a failure to build enough capacity in new customs software.

...and that this was forseeable. /2

nao.org.uk/wp-content/upl…
@NAOorguk @FT Remarkably it says that even by July 1 2021, the govt Border Delivery Groups finds "high risk" not all infrastructure will be ready...even at the end of UK's unilateral 'transition' period, which itself creates under-discussed second cliff edge. /3
Read 18 tweets

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