Michigan Vote Database analysis - THREAD

1/n

Similar to the Pennsylvania analysis I did this morning using the New York Times Decision Desk JSON.

CLICK THE IMAGES in each tweet, starting with below. Michigan's issue was different than PA, so I start in reverse...

1/n
2/n

Here is the full report.

I didn't see the same discrepancies and vote reductions that I saw in PA. Michigan came down to 6 large dumps of actual ballots run through the front end of the system on 11/4 and 11/5, 361K of them, that went 90%+ for Biden.

2/n
3/n

Here are the 6 ballot dumps in Green, across 3 screen shots. Red/Blue is the variance & vote total work, similar to PA, which turned up little either way.

The 6 ballot dumps won MI for Biden, and 90%+ on 361K ballots is virtually a statistical impossibility

3/n
4/end

Here is the Michigan JSON from NYT

static01.nyt.com/elections-asse…

4/end

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with therealarod1984

therealarod1984 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @therealarod1984

16 Nov
.
Pennsylvania Vote Database analysis - THREAD

1/n

I have downloaded and saved the New York Times Decision Desk JSONs for 8 states. Used a tool to convert to CSV.

Next few slides will break down what I found. CLICK THE IMAGES in each tweet, starting with below

1/n
.
2/n

Pennsylvania's data, especially early in the night, is a total mess. But it smooths out about 9:30pm. After that Biden's impacts occur mostly during EN. After 2am, it all goes heavy one way against Trump.

2/n
Here's 2 screen shots of the spreadsheet I built using the converted JSON to CSV.

* One from 11/3 including the 66,388% variance instance that ended up on CNN.
* The second, from 11/5, littered with both variances and outright vote reductions all going Biden's way.

3/n
Read 5 tweets
5 Nov
1/n

I'll just keep repeating - Unless there's a hand recount & voter registration confirmation in the 7 states in question, this nation will be in chaos whoever the next President is.

Its not a numbers game anymore..

Thread - 1/n
2/n

These 7 states have been counting ballots for 54 hours. The entire process is completely tainted. An insufficient numbers of American trust the process

Any "results" and number crunching occurring against any of these ballots is pointless.

2/n
3/end

2000 was resolved by hand recount in FL. Voter reg confirmation needs to be included in 2020. It will take weeks to do this - Fine.

Otherwise the next President will lead a Banana Republic w half the nation in open revolt.

It's too late for Tuesday ballot counting
Read 4 tweets
4 Nov
As someone who has been trying in my own way to push back the darkness in regards to how our media and public health officials have used a pandemic to seize power and control...

What I witnessed last night in regards to our election was openly and brazenly evil

1/n
While I am not shocked, I am discouraged that it appears the deep state, media and public officials will disregard any sense of decency, in any domain, to win power and control over all of our lives.

The entire night was example after example, and its continued overnight

2/n
The media refusing to call any state for Trump unless it was "100% sure," while calling any state for Biden the second the polls closed. No attempt to avoid the appearance of impropriety. VA, AZ called early, while every Trump battleground called super late or not at all.

3/n
Read 7 tweets
2 Nov
North Carolina Early Vote (EV) - Full Analysis of Early Vote

THREAD 1/N

Methodology
* Take all EV per county through 10/30
* Multiply 2016 T or C %

Estimated EV estimate
* Trump 51.4 to Biden 48.6%
* Trump is up 132K votes
* Targetearly.Targetsmart.com = B 47.2% to T 46.2%

1/n Image
2/n

* 99.54% of the turnout vs. 2016
* Dark Red = Counties Trump win > 10%+ in 2016
* Pink = Trump win 0% < > 10%
* Blue = Clinton win any margin

Next we look at
* Sorted by most EV % over 2016, most raw 2020 EV total
* 2016 Clinton, Trump, Battleground Counties

2/n
3/n

If you sort the table by Biggest % increase over 2016 vote, the Top 38 counties shown are:

9 Clinton Counties
2 Battleground counties
27 Trump Counties

Biden with a small leads in estimated EV 1,566,018 to 1,507,529. 59K lead

3/n Image
Read 6 tweets
31 Oct
Texas Early Vote (EV) - Full Analysis of Early Vote

THREAD 1/N

Methodology
* Take all EV per county through 10/30
* Multiply 2016 T or C %

Estimated EV estimate
* Trump 51.7% to Biden 43.9%
* Trump is up 755K votes
* Targetearly.Targetsmart.com = 51.3% to 38.9%

1/n
2/n

* 108.28% of the turnout vs. 2016
* Dark Red = Counties Trump win > 20%+ in 2016
* Pink = Trump win 0% < > 20%
* Blue = Clinton win any margin

Next we look at
* Sorted by most EV % over 2016, most raw 2020 EV total
* 2016 Clinton, Trump, Battleground Counties

2/n
3/n

If you sort the table by Biggest % increase over 2016 vote, the Top 38 counties shown are:

8 Clinton Counties
4 Battleground counties
26 Trump Counties

Trump leads in estimated EV 3,010,137 to 2,886,586. 124K lead

3/n
Read 7 tweets
14 Oct
Scott Atlas: Prolonged lockdowns a Complete Disaster

* Working class & low income people destroyed
* 46% of cancers not diagnosed
* 50% chemo appts missed
* 50% missed immunizations
* 200K missed cases of abuse
* 25% of young people considering suicide

a.msn.com/05/en-us/BB19Z…
Found a better link
Here's a link that is working since MSN videos aren't playing right now.

Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!