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5 Nov, 4 tweets, 1 min read
1/n
I'll just keep repeating - Unless there's a hand recount & voter registration confirmation in the 7 states in question, this nation will be in chaos whoever the next President is.

Its not a numbers game anymore..

Thread - 1/n
2/n
These 7 states have been counting ballots for 54 hours. The entire process is completely tainted. An insufficient numbers of American trust the process

Any "results" and number crunching occurring against any of these ballots is pointless.

2/n
3/end

2000 was resolved by hand recount in FL. Voter reg confirmation needs to be included in 2020. It will take weeks to do this - Fine.

Otherwise the next President will lead a Banana Republic w half the nation in open revolt.

It's too late for Tuesday ballot counting
4/ps

We are all wasting our time trying to compare voter turnout numbers to 2016. Or ED voting to IPEV to MIV.

All of the data is worthless. Its all tainted. Its meaningless.

It all needs to start over via hand recount with observers and comparison to voter rolls.

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More from @therealarod1984

therealarod1984 Profile picture
4 Nov
As someone who has been trying in my own way to push back the darkness in regards to how our media and public health officials have used a pandemic to seize power and control...

What I witnessed last night in regards to our election was openly and brazenly evil

1/n
While I am not shocked, I am discouraged that it appears the deep state, media and public officials will disregard any sense of decency, in any domain, to win power and control over all of our lives.

The entire night was example after example, and its continued overnight

2/n
The media refusing to call any state for Trump unless it was "100% sure," while calling any state for Biden the second the polls closed. No attempt to avoid the appearance of impropriety. VA, AZ called early, while every Trump battleground called super late or not at all.

3/n
Read 7 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
2 Nov
North Carolina Early Vote (EV) - Full Analysis of Early Vote

THREAD 1/N

Methodology
* Take all EV per county through 10/30
* Multiply 2016 T or C %

Estimated EV estimate
* Trump 51.4 to Biden 48.6%
* Trump is up 132K votes
* Targetearly.Targetsmart.com = B 47.2% to T 46.2%

1/n Image
2/n
* 99.54% of the turnout vs. 2016
* Dark Red = Counties Trump win > 10%+ in 2016
* Pink = Trump win 0% < > 10%
* Blue = Clinton win any margin

Next we look at
* Sorted by most EV % over 2016, most raw 2020 EV total
* 2016 Clinton, Trump, Battleground Counties

2/n
3/n
If you sort the table by Biggest % increase over 2016 vote, the Top 38 counties shown are:

9 Clinton Counties
2 Battleground counties
27 Trump Counties

Biden with a small leads in estimated EV 1,566,018 to 1,507,529. 59K lead

3/n Image
Read 6 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
31 Oct
Texas Early Vote (EV) - Full Analysis of Early Vote

THREAD 1/N

Methodology
* Take all EV per county through 10/30
* Multiply 2016 T or C %

Estimated EV estimate
* Trump 51.7% to Biden 43.9%
* Trump is up 755K votes
* Targetearly.Targetsmart.com = 51.3% to 38.9%

1/n
2/n
* 108.28% of the turnout vs. 2016
* Dark Red = Counties Trump win > 20%+ in 2016
* Pink = Trump win 0% < > 20%
* Blue = Clinton win any margin

Next we look at
* Sorted by most EV % over 2016, most raw 2020 EV total
* 2016 Clinton, Trump, Battleground Counties

2/n
3/n
If you sort the table by Biggest % increase over 2016 vote, the Top 38 counties shown are:

8 Clinton Counties
4 Battleground counties
26 Trump Counties

Trump leads in estimated EV 3,010,137 to 2,886,586. 124K lead

3/n
Read 7 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
14 Oct
Scott Atlas: Prolonged lockdowns a Complete Disaster

* Working class & low income people destroyed
* 46% of cancers not diagnosed
* 50% chemo appts missed
* 50% missed immunizations
* 200K missed cases of abuse
* 25% of young people considering suicide

a.msn.com/05/en-us/BB19Z…
Found a better link
Here's a link that is working since MSN videos aren't playing right now.

Read 5 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
13 Oct
10/12 Texas Border Update - THREAD

* Counties that border Mexico, 9% of the population, accounted for almost 27% of TX fatalities between Jun & now
* 7 of Top 23 counties in fatalities are border counties (Orange)
* 5 of Top 12
* Border Deaths per million - crazy high

1/n
Here is the breakdown for all the Texas Border counties. At the bottom you'll notice that the Border accounts for 9.01% of Texas' population. Yet for the entire pandemic, the border accounts for 23.41% of the fatalities. This is up half a point from my last report in Sept

2/n
For the Entire Pandemic, you can see on this chart that fatalities on the border were running right at population through mid June. July saw a surge that raised the proportion to 24% by the end of August, and has remained there, decreasing slightly in recent weeks

3/n
Read 7 tweets
therealarod1984 Profile picture
12 Oct
10/11 TX C-19 Hospital Census: Capacity

* Census - 3622 - up 430 beds Week over Week (WoW)
* % Beds used by C19 - 5.56%
* ICU C19 - 1142, up 71 beds WoW
* Hospital bed capacity - record 65,151
* C19 % beds used (orange) diverging from C19 census (blue)

1/n
#RationalGround Image
TX Hospital Bed Capacity - Up Bigly

* 10/11 Bed Capacity - 65,151 (Image 1)
* Highest since June 5
* Up 7,084 beds from last week
* Meanwhile free beds are down 41 WoW (Image 2), meaning 7K more patients than last week.
* Delayed Care / Elective surgery increasing rapidly

2/n ImageImage
10/11 ICU vs General Bed Census

ICU still basically flat with a small rise the past 3 days. Meanwhile General census is up over 300 in the past 8 days alone.

With more electives and delayed care being admitted, all being PCR tested = rise in census numbers.

3/n Image
Read 6 tweets

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