@Noahpinion You do know that this is my reading of the subtext in Mayk Boskin's "defense" <project-syndicate.org/commentary/rep…> against Larry Summers & Jason Furman of his claims <wsj.com/articles/how-t…> <project-syndicate.org/commentary/rep…> that the McConnell-Ryan-Trump TCJA tax cut for the rich would boost 1/
@Noahpinion GDP by 4-7%? The vibe in Boskin's piece is **very** defensive: "the end product usually diverges from what economists would consider ideal. ..." "the current tax bill could, in principle, have been better..." "the question, then, is whether a viable final bill will be better2/
@Noahpinion than the status quo..." "I certainly respect Summers and Furman’s right to their views..." "there are legitimate differences of opinion..." "the actual tax provisions people and businesses will be required to use have yet to be written..." Now if I had just played a role 3/
@Noahpinion pushing through a policy change that promised a 4-7% increase in national income $800-$1400B/year, discounted at 2.5% is $32-$56 trillion of added national wealth in present value, I would not have been at all defensive about it, and would not mourn the gap between Plato's 4/
@Noahpinion Forms & the Sewer of Romulus. I would be all: "We did very good, & in 10 years you are going to be crawling on your bellies begging me to accept your apology". But that's not what Boskin says. What he says is: "I believe that the current reform may well have deviated further 5/
@Noahpinion from the ideal had we not offered our analysis and advice..." I read this as: "We had to tell lies in order to get into the room to make it better", and as a whimper that we not be too hard on him. Am I wrong? 6/END

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More from @delong

22 Nov
@mattyglesias Matt--

I find myself more with @tomscocca here than you. You write <slowboring.com/p/whats-wrong-…> 'The problem here, to me, is not that Walker ought to “stick to sports.” It’s that the analysis is bad. But because it’s in a video game console review rather than a policy analysis 1/
@mattyglesias @tomscocca section and conforms to the predominant ideological fads, it just sails through to our screens...'

And then you say: 'What actually happened is that starting in March the household savings rate soared.... Middle class people are seeing their homeowners’ equity rise and... 2/
@mattyglesias @tomscocca their debt payments fall, while cash piles up on their balance sheets...' This makes sense as a criticism of Ian Walker only if you think that when Ian Walker wrote 'I’d be remiss to ignore all the reasons not to be excited for the PlayStation 5...', it was meant to be the 3/
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12 Nov
…oliticaleconomy.pantheon.berkeley.edu/my-calendar/?m…

Matthew C. Klein, "Trade Wars are Class Wars." Fr 2020-11-13 12:00 PM PST: Trade Wars are Class Wars: How Rising Inequality Distorts the Global Economy and Threatens International Peace." The talk will be moderated by Professor Brad DeLong (Economics) 1/
…oliticaleconomy.pantheon.berkeley.edu/my-calendar/?m…

Trade disputes are usually understood as conflicts between countries with competing national interests, but as Matthew C. Klein and Michael Pettis show, they are often the unexpected result of domestic political choices to serve the interests of the 2/
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3 Nov
@paulkrugman brookings.edu/bpea-articles/…



Absolutely brilliant.

The sad thing is that so few got what I think is the principal message: In a full-employment flex-price economy, when you hit the zero lower bound the economy deals with it by generating inflation. If 1/
@paulkrugman think—as I do—that the task of the central bank is to make Say's Law true in practice even though it is false in theory & to mimic what a full-employment economy would do, that means: when you hit the zero lower bound, generate inflation.

But lots of people did not get that. 2/
@paulkrugman I find myself particularly thinking about Bernanke, whose take on Japan
princeton.edu/~pkrugman/bern… was that its depression was self-induced, and that claims of monetary-policy impotence violated an arbitrage condition. So prolonged depression was the central bank's fault.

Yet 3/
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30 Sep
DeLongToday <delongtoday.com> earlier this morning. From the Q&A:

**Q: What did you think about the debate?** A: Back in the 1960s, SF State University President S.I. Hayakawa became a U.S. Senator—briefly—by making sure he controlled the microphone. Chris Wallace... 1/
A (cont): ... committed moderatorial malpractice by not having—and using—a microphone switch. May whoever follows him as a moderator be… less oblivious to the situation.

**Q: What do you think of the "Trump Economy"?** A: About the Trump economy, what is to say? Douglas... 2/
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bradford-delong.com/2020/09/briefl…

Willem Jongman (2006): Gibbon Was Right: þe Decline & Fall of þe Roman Economy github.com/braddelong/pub…: ‘Imagine a pre-industrial and largely agricultural economy in a fairly stable equilibrium. Next that equilibrium is disturbed by catastrophic... 1/
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...The reason must have been the needs of the state. It had become difficult to collect taxes in the turmoil of the day, precisely when the state also... 3/
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18 Sep
@Claudia_Sahm But we are, again. & this time the political considerations are all on the side of the Republicans cooperating to try to boost employment...

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