This is so misleading.

There is no legal provisions available to extend the status quo (i.e. the transition). The deadline for doing this passed on 1st July. That's it. Opportunity gone. Now the only options are to end transition with a deal, or without a deal.
Here's the relevant provision from the Withdrawal Agreement.

eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/…
So the only way now to extend the status quo is to create a new legal base in international law that make provision for this. This can only be done by:
1. Amending the Withdrawal Agreement. This wld need a negotiation (takes time) and comes with political risk (the whole agreement wld have to be "opened up", allowing both sides to play games with other elements of the deal). Given this, it's never going to happen)
2. Negotiating a new treaty that overrides the Withdrawal Agreement. technically a different approach to no. 1, but the problems are the same. So this is never going to happen.
And even if pigs were to fly & a new legal base was created, there wld be a political storm in the UK, since Parl. has legislated to prohibit an extension of the status quo transition (Section 33 of the European Union (Withdrawal Agreement) Act 2020).
legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2020/1/s…
Although it is worth noting that, given the way this prohibition has been drafted, a new international agreement with the EU wld circumvent it, were govt. to attempt this, it could break the Cons in two, so...this is never going to happen.
Given all of this, suggesting that the status quo can be extended is classic unicorn territory, and it wld be best to leave the other lot to try to herd these mythical beasts.

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More from @NashSGC

28 Nov
I have to admit that I am completely bemused by the debate on how Labour should vote on an EU trade deal (assuming we get one), for two reasons.
The first is the politics. Voting against is a trap. It’s a vote against Brexit (at least that’s how the Conservatives will portray it).
It is also a vote for no-deal, which wld go against every position Labour has taken on Brexit since 2016.
Read 19 tweets
27 Nov
I’m increasingly convinced that #Kent is heading for an open revolt.
Even before #Brexit, there was already discontent about proposed house building in many parts of the country.

kentonline.co.uk/maidstone/news…
Decades of over-priced and unreliable train services have left the county’s 100s of 1000s of commuters in a constant state of expensive and exhausted frustration.
Read 9 tweets
26 Nov
EU getting their fish in a row. Barnier making sure he knows exactly what room for manoeuvre there is. Perhaps a chance to squeeze some for a little more flex. No real signs of the EU walking away, or of the UK not running the clock for a few more days (weeks?).
Or maybe its just a coffee and a catch-up.

Or maybe it actually is something after all.

Seems tomorrow's meeting of ministers responsible for fisheries was scheduled knowing that Barnier would then be getting the Eurostar to London.

Read 4 tweets
24 Nov
This is absolutely excellent @DavidHenigUK. Perfectly summarises where we are, how we got here, and why a deal, no matter how thin is better than no-deal.

prospectmagazine.co.uk/economics-and-…
Read the whole article, but here are some key quotes, first on the absence of vision. Image
On the uniquely confused and untrusting nature of the negotiation. Image
Read 4 tweets
13 Nov
Interesting article from @jgforsyth on the geo-political impact of no-deal, but it’s been obvious for quite a while that the UK/EU relationship has been seriously wounded by Brexit & four yrs of insults (both petty & serious) and acrimonious negotiations.
thetimes.co.uk/article/no-dea…
Deal, or no-deal, the UK and the EU are now set up to be economic rivals. The rushed negotiation on the future relationship ensures that there will be numerous loose ends come the end of the yr and disputes are almost inevitable.
At the beginning of the year, Pascal Lamy said that these negotiations would result in a “geopolitical and geoeconomic rivalry…[couched] in nice friendly diplomatic language”. He’s right, although the nice language is often absent.
Read 15 tweets
11 Nov
Still think it’s worth putting a fiver on UK/EU #trade negotiations going into December.

Why? Four reasons…
1. This government are firm believers in deadlines focusing minds (it’s the journalists in the them).
2. Brexiteers have never stopped believing that the #EU will fold in the face of no-deal.
Read 11 tweets

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