#Moldova: President-elect Sandu’s political party managed to mobilize around 100 people so far. The controversial politician Usatii has is backing the today’s protest too. However, his voter base is not in Chisinau. Parliament might try to vote some problematic laws. Read more👇
1) The real size of protests is hard to assess. From the pictures it’s visible that we can’t talk about dozens, but rather hundreds. So, more people might join soon. The protesters wear masks, but the social distance is not respected, as asked for the president-elect Sandu.
2) To read accurate and objective information about the situation in Moldova follow newsmaker.md and moldova.europalibera.org. During the day, I come up with more updates. Stay tuned!
2) President-elect Sandu joined the protests. The criticism she is expressing are almost identical to the slogans from the recent presidential campaign. She is surrounded (photo) by some members of the parliamentary faction of her Action and Solidarity Party.
3) These protests and the resistance against Dodon’s Socialists Party brings together Sandu’s party & her former political allies from the Platform DA. The latter opposes the fiscal and budgetary policies of Socialists that can lead to higher taxes, including for some businesses.
There are many protesters in between the presidency and the parliament buildings that are next to each other. They are chanting “We are the people!”
5) The opposition has stated that Dodon and the Socialists try to “federalize” Moldova through the proposed law on languages. Not clear what they mean. Opposition has also mentioned that many provisions of laws proposed by the Socialists are unconstitutional.
6) Sandu’s party and their political allies (Platforma DA) are blocking the budgetary-fiscal law. The Socialists (Dodon) underlined that the law is coming from loyal to them government. If Sandu’s party+Platforma DA dislike the proposal, then they can arrange a no-confidence vote
7) To eliminate any attempt of disinformation, the protests from today were related to the attempt of the Socialists to transfer SIS (intelligence service) from President’s competences to a larger control of the parliament.
8) So, nobody is revising the results of elections & cannot do that. The Const. Court is waiting to validate Sandu as president as far as the courts finish the rulings on the irregularities during the elections. In any case, the draft law can be still attacked in the Const. Court
9) The Socialists (Dodon) and the oligarch-controlled Shor group voted in two readings the law that transfer SIS from President’s coordination to the Parliament. They planned this well and acted efficiently. Now, the only solution is to attack the law in the Constitutional Court.
10) The Socialists decided to deviate the attention from what they did today and proposed a draft law on de-oligarchization. This law once adopted can hit the independence of state institutions, like National Bank etc. The snap elections seems to be inevitable to clean the parl.
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The president elect Maia Sandu may encounter problems in the relations with Russia. Here is the THREAD (/18):
1.The election of the new Moldovan president inevitably influences FP, but less structurally and more at the institutional level. Objectively, the qualitative transformations in FP began after the fall of the oligarchic regime in the summer of 2019. neweasterneurope.eu/2019/11/13/the…
2.The presidential elections in November 2020 and the victory of Maia Sandu can produce qualitative changes at the level of the president's institution. Therefore, under Sandu's leadership, the president's office needs to escape from "isolation", and less so the country.
#Moldova: 1) The president-elect Maia Sandu asked people to take to the streets and protest against Dodon and the Socialists Party. Sandu accuses the latter of the attempt to strip the president of the control over the intelligent service.
2) She presented this initiative as a tentative to steal the results of the elections. The protests should start tomorrow. The president-elect condemned harshly Dodon for allegedly trying to serve the interests of the oligarchic groups.
3) Earlier today, the former allies of Sandu, the Platform DA slammed Dodon and the Socialist for stirring inter-ethnic animosities by planning to pass in the parliament the law on a special status for Russian language.
#Moldova: Freshly elected president Sandu made statements that are producing first controversies related to her presidential mandate. The statements referred to Russia and the Moldovan breakaway region. (THREAD)
1. Sandu was asked by @BBCSteveR about the settlement of the Transnistrian conflict. She told that it is necessary to withdraw the Russian peacekeepers from Transnistria. This is not a new request, but depends the modality of saying it. bbc.com/news/world-eur…
2. A first negative reaction came from the Russian Duma. The member of the Committee on International Affairs Elena Panina rejected this idea of withdrawal because it would lead to the “unfreezing” of the conflict. She suggested that the separatist regime will never accept this.
#Armenia: The war in NK is over, but now Pashinyan’s government should survive another “war”, a political one, at home, where the public is deeply disillusioned. The situation is very unstable. This serves the old system that may mull a counter-revolution. ria.ru/20201110/armen…
This situation creates a momentum for the “old system”.
The Armenian President Sarkissian praises Pashinyan and Russia in this interview, and accuses Turkey and Azerbaijan of “continuing the genocide”. armenpress.am/eng/news/10344…
#Nagorno-Karabakh: The ceasefire deal favors Azerbaijan and Russia, and less so Armenia. Here are my takeaways after examining the agreement (THREAD /6):
1. The complete ceasefire comes together with the withdrawal of Armenia from all Azeri territories controlled outside NK - Aghdam (until Nov. 20), Kelbajar region (until Nov. 15); Lachin region (until Dec. 1). The remaining territory (in red circle) is tiny compared to pre-war.
2. Russia comes into play. Its 1970 peacekeepers will be deployed for 5 years, with possible prolongation, in the remaining part of NK and the Lachin corridor (5 km wide). This also will include a “center” for peacekeepers that could be converted into a military base by Russia.
#Moldova: Here is a list of publications on Moldovan elections that I have produced so far. Additionally, I am adding interviews & articles of the foreign journalists. If you follow Moldova, then this thread could be helpful to get equipped before the run-off in one week: