1. If you are reluctant to commit to any uptrend, (or for that matter even in a downtrend), yet, have to create a position, then consider bullish butterfly as your go to strategy.
Below is an example I have created for #bhartiairtel
2. Attached are the positions deployed:
3. Benefits:
a. Low capital requirement (1.3L)
b. Risk limited (~4k)
c. High Max profit potential (32.8K)
Chart is strong but has rallied alot. View is it would find strong resistance around 500 but may not fall much.
Is there any other strategy you think can be used here?
4. One need not wait till expiry to make a decent return on this strategy. Theta decay is small but will be consistent. Over the next 15 days or so, if price stays in 480-520bracket, decay would easily give 5-7% on capital.
That would be decent on all count.
5. How slow it will add to your account? Lets see.
Given we are reluctantly bullish on this counter, main aim is to protect capital if we are wrong. A 5% fall from here over next 20 days wud lead to a loss of approx 1% capital while in the most favorable scenario, we'd be up 5%.
6. Not considering beyond 20 days as physical settlement norms kick in. However, you can safely hold beyond 20 days also if price is below 480. If its higher, convert it into a regular butterfly to avoid higher margin requirements. 2 days of additional decay would double profits.
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1."Conditional Buy"
Aim is to capture theta on a day to day basis by selling straddles/strangles.
Instead of putting stops on the sold arms, close contracts are bought to convert naked arms into bull/bear debit spreads if the index is breaking away from a range. #OptionsTrading
2. Sharing my strategy as I execute it. At around 9:30 AM, I would assess probable demand and supply zones on #banknifty chart. Breach of these zones would lead to quick price movements, which may or may not result in a trend. #OptionsTrading
3. Now I choose the nearest 500 strike to write a strangle. Eg. #Banknifty closed at 29631 on Friday, 27th Nov. So I would be writing 29000PE and 30000CE Weekly contracts.
a. 29000 PE premium: 184
b. 30000 CE premium: 246
c. Total Premium collected per lot : 430 #OptionsTrading
1. If there was any doubt about how important Options charts are.. today was the day that removed it.
Below is #BANKNIFTYFUTURE chart on 5-min time frame.
The first line of support for Banknifty futures was around 22130. It bounced off that zone multiple times yesterday.
2. Then today even after a gap up, the rally got sold into and took support around the same levels and bounced back.
However the fat 12:10 candle was the last attempt by bulls to breakout of the zone. But there was no followup and it was back again at 22130 levels.
3. I was tracking the 20th Aug Expiry 22200 CE-PE contracts since morning and even with BNF gapping up, along with IV sliding lower by upto 2%, the ATM Put was not going below VWAP in any meaningful manner. This was the show of strength. #banknifty#bankniftyoption
1. #Banknifty Strategy : Here, I have created a weekly strategy which is high on time decay and has negative vega. Given vega has been falling off significantly in the past few days. Hoping the trend to continue. Bias is positive in weekly.
2. As the market rallied hard last week and used last hours of Thursday and whole of Friday to consolidate without giving up crucial zone of 21800 completely,there is a good likelihood of it attempting the recent highs again in the coming week.Thats an assumption I am working on.
3. Hence the weekly has a positive delta. However, if the rally has to resume, the fall in volatility/Vega may continue. Thats why it makes more sense to write more, buy less. Hence theta is positive. Gamma would need to be tackled if there is a fresh breakout of sorts.
Decent Week. Decent Gains. Sharing my #Banknifty strategy for learning purpose. The below positions and P&L are only for reference. Actual trades were done in my account, but would not share actual P&L Screenshots here.
2. What you see here is a Double Calendar Spread modified to follow trend of the market. If the market is non-trending and stays within 0.5 sigma (standard deviation), it gains due to positive #theta or time-decay. If the market is trending on one side, #gamma gets active.
3. I should have captured initial #Greek positions also, that would have given a good perspective on how the strategy was planned. Will do it next time.