1/ a quick thread on trading, investing, and managing your own psychology.

we've all had moments where hindsight gives us 20/20 vision into a trade, an investment, or deal.

*BUT* we're bad at incorporating these experiences into our future decision-making.
2/ there is not enough self-improvement or mental fitness training out there for our relationship with money 💸 it's a toxic relationship for many

but you can take more ownership and control of your financial decisions by adopting some simple self-improvement practices!
3/ start by keeping a journal of your investing decisions. document *why* you're doing what you're doing.

simple questions:
- why am i investing?
- what are my expectations of return? are they realistic?
- what is the timeline i plan to hold this?
- how am i sizing this?
4/ re-visit your investments periodically and write down how your feelings change.

- what did you get right? what did you get wrong?
- how was your sizing? was it too small, too large, or appropriate for your portfolio
- how does this investment make you feel? worried? content?
5/ get actual data and review it!

look at your portfolio of investments and evaluate timing, risk, distribution across asset classes and sectors, effort / $ invested, look at it all

now write down how it makes you feel. write what you want to do differently next quarter.
6/ you can keep these notes anywhere, just keep it all together and keep it organized in a way that works for you and is easy to reference. your system will improve over time.

now when i trade, i take 2 minutes to jot down my thinking. i can now spot patterns.
7/ investing is just like any other skill - you can actively work to get better by tracking, evaluating, and improving your skills.

your psychology and your emotions are your most dangerous enemy. understanding how you react to your feelings can help you make better decisions.
8/ not advice, DYOR, but don't *not* invest because you're afraid or because of past mistakes. invest time and energy in getting better at investing!

i have too many conversations w people about "i wish i" "i should have" "why didn't i" - and i have little sympathy for them

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More from @Melt_Dem

7 Dec
1/ the scale of FinTech in China is mind blowing

in one year, Ant Group originated loans to 500 million consumers

this is unsecured lending, done 100% via mobile, with Ant providing the origination and servicing and banks underwriting the loans

wsj.com/articles/jack-…
2/ Ant takes none of the capital risk, but takes 30-40% of the interest on the loans for providing the technology and servicing

capital is no longer a competitive advantage!

lending as a service is coming, and FAST
3/ as covered in our @CoinSharesCo #CryptoCreditSummit, the crypto ecosystem has figured out securitization and is now figuring out lending

while crypto lending today is 100% collateralized (backed by assets), unsecured lending is coming!

learn more: coinshares.com/insights/crypt…
Read 5 tweets
7 Sep
1/ quick thread on capital markets and their participants

who participates in in capital markets? finance pro's and traders are focused on optimizing the opportunity cost of capital and (1) preserving principal while (2) optimizing growth

you usually start with a goal in mind
2/ understanding the opportunity cost of capital is an important exercise, and one that changes constantly.

if you have 100 bitcoin, your opportunity cost of capital could be 8% income from lending it. or it could be the 20,000% APY you could earn by wrapping it and farming.
3/ opportunity cost of capital is a fancy way of saying "making your money work in the best way possible"

crypto is a $300B market. a lot of ppl who are fundamentally long (holding assets) want to make money while waiting for "number go up"

financialization is inevitable
Read 9 tweets
4 Sep
1/ the crypto fundraising scene is *crazy* right now.

there's so much money chasing every deal, so many new funds, and every day i get a text, call, or email from at least 2-3 founders asking for help navigating the landscape.

some insights from 6 years and 200 deals
2/ you get what you optimize for.

if you optimize for valuation and raise a lot quickly, expectations will be high. raising too much and spending too much spirals very quickly.

there aren't many B / C investors, so be careful of the barbell. valuation isn't everything.
3/ don't raise without a STRONG lead! i've done way too many deals where i end up doing a TON of heavy lifting as an angel.

due diligence your investors. know what each investor is bringing to the table. get intros to founders in their portfolio.

bad investors are poison.
Read 10 tweets
29 Aug
1/ i see a lot of new ppl coming in and buying random tokens b/c number go up - a thread if u wanna "invest" - not financial advice and DYOR.

many projects launch with a limited supply of tokens. lots of demand, but little supply and sellers are incentivized to hold.
2/ there is often a huge reserve of "unvested" tokens that "vests" and become liquid over a period of time.

as these tokens vest, investors sell and unless there is a consumption-driven demand (staking, liquidity pooling, burning) or sustained buying.

then number go down.
3/ always look at the token emission schedule and distribution!

let's take @chainlink's as an example (no exposure personally or via @CoinSharesCo )

@MessariCrypto aggregates this data (i'm an investor in that co) so it's a good starting point

messari.io/asset/chainlin…
Read 11 tweets
19 Aug
1/ how does #Bitcoin fit into an investment portfolio? our latest @CoinSharesCo research “A Little Bitcoin Goes a Long Way” covers this topic

we believe bitcoin has a place in portfolios as an alternative, diversifying asset. Let’s dive in! 🤿👇

coinshares.com/research/a-lit…
2/ bitcoin is being increasingly financialized as an asset. the clearest evidence of the demand for bitcoin as a store of value is the rapid growth of AUM in financial products.
3/ data also supports the thesis that bitcoin is a savings technology - it is increasingly used as a store of value 🔒

data from @glassnode shows that this year alone, 8.7% of bitcoin has been taken off exchange, presumably for long term storage 🏦
Read 13 tweets
2 Apr
1/ to all the crypto people obsessing over the recent news of a "digital dollar" - it's terrifying and is basically the opposite of what crypto is all about (systemic hedge, self-sovereign, etc)

what they're talking about is similar to what Sweden has done

a short story...
2/ only 13% of people in Sweden use cash on a weekly basis

by contrast, 70% of Americans use cash on a weekly basis

why the difference? Sweden has great connectivity infrastructure (broadband), small population (under 10M), and a legacy of adopting new technology
3/ most Swedes are using a payment app called "Swish" to pay for things. it's basically like Venmo, and allows free and instant transfers. all you need is a phone number. but...

you still need a bank account to connect it to.

and to have a bank account, you need an identity.
Read 8 tweets

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