Only two types of startups exist: technology-led and culture-led

(a short thread on this mental model)

🔥 It's also the 7th chapter of my book invertedpassion.com/types-of-start…
1/ There are two ways an entrepreneur can fail:

a) launch a product that nobody desires;

b) launch a product that people desire but with no significant advantage over established competitors (hence give no strong reason for a customer to switch away).
2/ These two failure modes have their analogous success modes:

a) culture-led startup success where a new desire is discovered and fulfilled;

b) technology-led startup success where new technology is used to fulfill an existing desire.
3/ Let’s explore culture-led startups first.

They are the ones in which the entrepreneur is able to observe a pattern of new derivative desires that didn’t exist before.

Such trends are very hard to spot because initially they can be mistaken either as fads or insignificant.
4/ However, an entrepreneur who has good observation skills is able to connect the dots from diverse sources to grow his conviction about a cultural shift just when the market is ripe.

invertedpassion.com/dont-be-a-firs…
5/ This is why keeping an eye on early signs of growth in VC funding activity, new product launches, new regulations, and new careers/jobs is a great way to get a sense of which cultural trends are imminent.
6/ New cultural trends create new markets by creating new derivative desires that didn’t exist before.

The simplest example of this is banking or finance startups in developing nations.

Let's see how.
7/ Founders of these startups understand that as an economy grows, the population tends to consume more and therefore the desire for consumer finance products will naturally emerge.
8/ Notice that this is a bet on the future desires of consumers, but it is an informed bet because that’s how the story has played in other nations.

invertedpassion.com/evidence-of-de…
9/ Another example of culture-led startups is the ever-growing number of startups around the idea of sharing and renting economy because the success of Uber and Airbnb has softened consumers into trusting strangers.
10/ This cultural change led to hundreds of other successful startups that are enabling, among many other services, sharing dog walking (Rover, DogBnB) and car parking (JustPark, ParkAmigo).
11/ Such companies are not using new technology.

Rather, they’re using existing technology and shifts in culture to offer a cheaper and more convenient solution to age-old desires of dog walking and parking.

invertedpassion.com/jobs-to-be-don…
12/ Established competitors are usually focused on their existing market, which often is built to serve well-established desires.

Hence, a culture-led startup often has a wide “blue-ocean” of newly emerging derivative desires to fulfill.
13/ Now let's talk about technology-led startups

These startups require innovative technology for substantially improving upon solutions offered by existing players.

Such superior technology can either be developed in-house or be borrowed from an adjacent industry.
14/ The reason technology-led startups succeed is because new technology can help make a new product that’s cheaper, better, or faster than existing products.

And customers love making progress on those dimensions.

invertedpassion.com/why-do-busines…
15/ Christopher Clayton called this process “disruption” and suggested that the reason entrenched competitors ignore startups with innovative technology because initially, technology-led startups do not have a fully built solution for the entire market.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptiv…
16/ New technology often looks like a gimmick in the early days and by the time established players realize the full potential, it’s already too late and a startup has gotten the escape velocity it needs.
17/ A classic example of a technology-led startup is Google.

Their key innovation was PageRank, using which they offered demonstrably better search results and beat other established players at that time (Yahoo and AltaVista).
18/ The culture-tech spectrum of startups is a continuum.

In reality, no successful startup is either only culture-led or only technology-led.

Usually, there’s a mix of both elements in successful startups.
19/ For example, Uber realized that people increasingly have internet and GPS-enabled phones and that people have developed a comfort with transacting online (a cultural trend).
20/ They combined this insight with technology innovations to produce a significantly better way to fulfill two pre-existing desires: faster taxi access to consumers and faster customer access to taxi-drivers.
21/ 🧠

Remember: best startup ideas capitalize on both emerging cultural trends and emerging technology.
22/ That's it!

Read the full chapter here: invertedpassion.com/types-of-start…
23/ I'm posting ~1 new mental model for entrepreneurs every week.

Here's the entire list of 60+ mental models that I'll cover in a year or so: invertedpassion.com/free-book-ment…

Make sure you sign up for email updates on the book page.
24/ Revisit the previous mental model here:

25/ If you've reached this far in the thread, a question for you.

👇 👇

What are some examples of culture-led and tech-led startups that come to your mind?

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More from @paraschopra

8 Dec
Was making a presentation for the @wingify team reflecting on 2020 and here are some of the memes I stole for the presentation. Image
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Read 7 tweets
7 Dec
This is why most published research is false (as in being non-replicable)

You ask why?

Let’s dive in.
1/ You are looking at the distribution of Z-values from medical papers.

Z value tells you how unlikely is your observed data to happen by chance given there is no effect.

Which means, lower the Z-value, the more likely your results are due to noise and not genuine phenomena.
2/ Notice the two nice bumps around 0?

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1 Dec
Don’t be a first-mover, be the first one to get it right

(a short thread on this mental model)

🚀 It's also the 6th chapter of my book invertedpassion.com/dont-be-a-firs…
1/ Any one person or one company cannot create a new market.

Markets are usually co-created by multiple competitors offering to satisfy a particular customer desire.

invertedpassion.com/jobs-to-be-don…
2/ Even the markets that seem to be dominated by one company usually have multiple credible competitors – Google has Bing and DuckDuckGo and Facebook has Twitter, TikTok and Snapchat.
Read 23 tweets
23 Nov
Market research firm @nielsen annually publishes case studies on breakthrough consumer retail goods that achieved >$50million in sales in 1st year.

I read their 2016 report (which is awesome), and here are my notes about 🧫 innovation nielsen.com/wp-content/upl…
1/ I was amazed by the fact that almost all the winning products had nailed the consumer "jobs".

What are jobs? To put it simply, jobs are specific circumstances that people struggle with and as we all know, people would prefer not to struggle.

E.g. getting rid of cat piss odor
2/ It's a fantastic reiteration of this mental model I wrote about before.

BUSINESSES EXIST TO FULFIL HUMAN DESIRES invertedpassion.com/why-do-busines…
Read 15 tweets
18 Nov
Search for market-product fit, not product-market fit

(a short thread on this mental model)

🔥 It's also the 5th chapter of my new book invertedpassion.com/product-market…
1/ It’s near impossible for a product to create a new desire in customers all by itself. No single product creates a market.

Multiple environmental, political, economic, social, and technological factors come together to delicately and gradually shape what customers desire.
2/ That collective process, which is beyond any single company, creates an opening for new products to address evolved customer expectations.

The million dollar question is: how do you discover these evolving trends?
Read 20 tweets
5 Nov
How Covid19 is impacting demand for B2B / SaaS.

Search trends for B2B / SaaS in different categories for the US (the largest market for SaaS).
1/ Here are trends for "Shopify".

Notice a clear bump around March?

We see a similar bump in our small business leads in Online Retail.
2/ For midmarket and enterprise SaaS, demand seems to have been gradually getting (negatively) impacted.

Many such categories show a decline.
Read 8 tweets

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