Thread Update: Hearing from parents all over that plans to expand in-person school instructions are now being postponed or cancelled altogether.
So much for only returning to normality when there is a vaccine.
What a total con.
We're not protecting our children against public health "experts" — cons with God Syndrome — teacher union tyrants, and their media mouthpieces.
Make no mistake. Our kids will suffer the ramifications for our failures.
As a result of an ahistorical panic policy justified by ZERO evidence, our kids will be stunted socially/intellectually, while big corporations will be far more rich and powerful.
We went from "The Greatest Generation" to "The Dumbest Generation" in less than a hundred years.
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Don't believe it. I wish I could tell you to believe it. But I can't, so I won't. Of course, you could listen to the excuses of my competitors, who haven't called an election correctly, EVER, but are desperately looking for something to justify their incompetence.
Tell me... what election has Dave Wasserman @Redistrict called correctly? The guy and is his organization is a total fraud, a bunch of glorified poll readers who aren't objective nor intelligent enough to digest "non-consensus" polling data.
There's no such thing as a consensus.
Look at one of Dave's great claims to fame. Pinellas County. Half a million votes and Trump/Biden are about even. No double-digit swing. Duval? Nope. None of that, either.
The guy is a fraud and so is his fake, fraudulent model I can debunk in about 15 seconds. Get your $ back.
Let me tell you a story about what happened to us today.
Today, Laura, I, and our daughter were in @MichaelsStores, and speaking to a woman about holidays & politics.
This crackpot @JoeBiden supporter didn't think she was sufficiently wearing her mask and threw her cart at her.
At first, I thought it was someone she knew. Who would possibly be so ridiculous, right? But no. He must've overheard what she was saying and didn't like it.
Aside from the obvious, which is that you don't complain about masks if you touch someone's personal space...
... the bottom line is that this was of course, crazy. Anyway, he was shouting and demanding she should "stop socializing" and that "wearing a mask is a federal law".
That's of course, total bu!!$#!t. But even if it wasn't, you don't physically attack a woman like that...
Recall #InsideTheNumbers when I showed you how badly data must be manipulated to find that.
On that episode of #InsideTheNumbers, we discussed the results of Ohio in the poll we conducted for @EpochTimes and crunched live raw data on air from responses we separately gathered after @FoxNewsPoll Biden +3.
It was incompetence. A lie. Or both.
Watch it. 👆. You'll see
Worth noting, after the @FoxNewsPoll showing Biden +3 in Ohio, the Tiny Crystal Balls moved Ohio to "Toss Up".
Why? Because demographics and other predictive indicators suggested it was one?
No, folks.
Because they have tiny crystal balls and poll-readers. Bad ones at that.
Thread on Exit Polls and Voter Analysis: Neither the right or the left should put much, if any stock, in either.
Over the years, after witnessing one horrible blunder after another and the damage they leave in their wake, I truly believe media should abstain from using them.
We often ignore the years when exit polls correctly called the winner, though were still showing serious issues due to at least non-response bias.
Veteran exit pollster Murray Edelman has spoken a lot about this.
Here are some notable, egregious misses.
In 2004, the Kerry Campaign was elated. The Bush Campaign was in shock re Florida. The latter was confident they over-performed exit polls. By night's end, a Kerry exit poll win turned into a historically comfortable Bush win in a razor thin state he barely won 4 years before.
Another tidbit from #Wisconsin: Overall, 68.9% of voters "believe there is a significant number of 'shy' voters who do not want to share that they are voting for @realDonaldTrump," the second highest state yet.
Remember, #Michigan posted the highest percentage of voters (37.6%) who say they are uncomfortable being truthful to pollsters.
Suburban voters (20%) were much more likely than rural and urban voters (14.2% each) to say they are "very" uncomfortable. docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Not surprisingly, suburban voters in Michigan were the most likely (70.4%) to "believe there is a significant number of 'shy' voters who do not want to share that they are voting for @realDonaldTrump."