Thread by @jonworth

The most likely “path to a Deal”, 22 Dec, 0830:
- Barnier+Frost agree a Deal by end of 23 Dec
- EP stomachs Provisional Application
- 🇫🇮🇩🇰🇳🇱 Parliaments give their ok to Govts to agree Deal
- Commons+Lords have 30 Dec to vote on a Bill to implement
- No Deal period avoided

NOTE: this isn’t a prediction. It’s instead answering this question: if there is to be a Deal, what’s the easiest way to get there? I’ll do this each morning from now on, until we know the answer.

Also note: we *think* it's the EU Committee of 🇩🇰 Parliament, Grand Committee of 🇫🇮 Parliament, and maybe even the plenary in 🇳🇱 that'd be needed - I've been trying to work this out, but have made little headway so far...

Also also note: Johnson said yesterday he did not want Provisional Application (as reported by @PippaCrerar), but the UK has no say over that on the EU side. So I assume Johnson means he wants it all done by 31 Dec, *UK side*