Charts on the correlation between population density and covid-19 cases and deaths in Ontario.

More densely population regions tend to have more deaths per 100,000. The correlation exists but is not a very strong correlation, suggesting that other factors are more influential. Image
Removing Toronto, the correlation is weaker. Image
Looking at cases, the situation is similar when comparing population density and cases (positive test results). Image
Removing Toronto, though, the correlation is even stronger. Image
So what conclusions to draw?

Density is perhaps not as important a variable as some might suggest when comparing outcomes by region (this may apply at an international level too).

However, it can't be ignored either. Cities and rural areas are not comparable.
Forgot to cite sources in the charts so I'll add that Covid data is from the usual Ontario data page. Population and area statistics for pop density from Wikipedia.

This is only a draft and I probably won't update.

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More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

23 Dec
Mise à jour du Québec

Les données sont 100% publiques et officielles.

#COVID19Canada #covid19qc Image
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs. Image
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs. Image
Read 10 tweets
18 Dec
Here we have the total number of deaths in Canada over the past four years. The most recent 12 months of data do not suggest a spike in deaths relative to historical trends.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19 #Canada Image
Zooming out nationally over the past decade, we see that it's perfectly natural for deaths in one year to exceed deaths in the previous year.

***This does not necessarily = excess deaths.***

Look how often the blue growth line is above 0%. Image
So deaths are rising.

Is that due to population growth?

Population aging?

It's a bit of both, but not covid.
Read 8 tweets
17 Dec
Here's how I differentiate between a true liberal and a true conservative:

Both are liberals in the classical sense, believing that individual liberty is paramount.

1/5
The liberal seeks to advance liberty by freeing the individual of the hardships and injustices that prevent one from reaching their potential. Government is a means to that end.

2/5
The conservative seeks to advance liberty largely by freeing the individual of the restraints placed on them by government. Government is a barrier.

3/5
Read 5 tweets
17 Dec
Greater Toronto and Ottawa together account for 50.3% of Ontario’s population but 78.6% of Ontario deaths by/with covid-19.

Thread:
Greater Toronto (population: 6,417,516 or 43.5% of Ontario):

Total deaths by/with covid-19: 2,783 (434 deaths per every million people in the region or 0.04%)

69.0% of Ontario deaths by/with covid-19
Greater Toronto - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line).
Read 11 tweets
16 Dec
Ontario update

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario
Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.
The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 69.4% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 52.2% of all deaths (all causes) in 2018.

More deaths over 90 than under 80.
Read 17 tweets
15 Dec
Mise à jour du Québec

Les données sont 100% publiques et officielles.

#COVID19Canada #covid19qc
Québec (population: 8,552,362):

Nombre total de décès liés à Covid-19: 7 553 (881 décès pour chaque million de personnes au Québec ou 0,09%).

22,5% de la population canadienne, mais 55,6% des décès liés à la covid-19 au Canada.
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs.
Read 12 tweets

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