Private gathering limited to 10 people and fewer.
Intracity travel now discouraged
Quarantine for international arrivals has been increased to 14 days (in dedicated hotels) + 14 days (at home)
The restrictions are likely to last until early March.
They have started mass inoculation, but interestingly they prioritize high-risk working population for now. No news yet on when 65+yo would start to receive their vaccine.
Vaccine hesitance is pretty high at the moment in China, because of a couple of high-profile counterfeit vaccine scandals in the past two years (nothing to do with the covid vaccine makers though)
IMO, there is a 70% chance that Trump will issue an America-first executive order on $PFE and $MRNA vaccines soon after FDA EUA on $MRNA vaccine.
2/ should that happen, PFE and MRNA would not be able to export COVID vaccine to other countries. until the need in the US is met.
This means most countries in the world, except for UK, Canada, Germany and China, would be denied access to COVID vaccines until March 2021.
3/ UK and Canada gambled by approving PFE vaccine faster than US FDA, to rush ahead of Trump export ban. This probably is the right decision, given the political dynamics.
Germany and China have their own productive capacity, but are unlikely to supply RoW by March 2021.
Also, reportedly Ant wanted to issue consumer-debt backed ABS in China, which made regulators even more nervous.
3/ It seems that the regulators believed that Ant has the ambition to be a commercial bank, an investment bank, and maybe a shadow central bank in CNY.
The most optimistic timeline: FDA EUA at EOM Nov to the earliest.
Rolling out to 65+ yo in general public in mid-Dec to the earliest.
2nd shot administered in early Jan to the earliest.
Recipient developing protective level of antibodies in mid Jan to the earliest.
Thus, most 65+ yos will still need to social distance for Thanksgiving and Christmas.
And i still expect covid cases to peak in late Dec and early Jan, at a scale many times bigger than we have today.