.@ucl's outgoing & incoming heads have issued a statement👇that stands out for its acknowledgement of how bad things are in London, its responsibility to the wider community, & of what needs to be done. (@SusanLiautaud) 1/3
ucl.ac.uk/news/2021/jan/… Image
The statement notes👇that their position is out in front of the current position of the UK govt but correctly maintains that this is the most responsible course of action. Also draws attention to the risks of travel into London when transmission is dangerously high. 2/3 Image
.@ucl has stood out during the pandemic for taking its public health responsibilities to the wider community seriously. They've led with their actions rather than waiting (in vain) for the government to provide cover by telling them to do what they know they ought to do. 3/3
This thread👇by the Director of @UCL_CORU, on the imminent danger to London NHS hospitals, sheds light on @ucl's decision to stay online till at least mid-February & potential to the end of March. 1/3
.@UCL_CORU👇specialises in the assessment of hospital capacity that @chrischirp offers👆. Her analysis is highly plausible. It's hard to deny that the situation will be horrendous in London, once the current high number of cases translates into further hospital admissions. 2/3 Image
Given how difficult it is to deny the above analysis of where we're headed, I hope other London universities will reinforce @ucl's decision to go online this term for the sake of the wider community as well as their own. Among other reasons👇. 3/3
.@ucl's sensible, responsible approach might reflect the fact that incoming head Michael Spence is now VC at Sydney, which moved most teaching online early & for a long time, in a country which has been much more serious about & successful w/r/to Covid.👇
ft.com/content/1dc305…
Last night the government announced that they will direct universities to do exactly what @ucl declared on Saturday was needed to help prevent the NHS from being overwhelmed: keep teaching online till at least mid-February. 1/2
.@ucl did the right & socially responsible thing, thereby putting pressure on a government prone to indecision & delay to act in relatively timely fashion this time. A welcome contrast to the reluctance of others to put their heads above the parapet. 2/2
Another exemplary @ucl policy, which all @UniversitiesUK employers should adopt: "If you decide not to return to UCL accommodation this term, you will not be charged rent." (From an email to students👇.)
thetab.com/uk/london/2021… Image

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More from @MikeOtsuka

18 Oct 20
🚨UK longitudinal study of 201 individuals with #LongCovid reveals a high proportion are relatively young & without pre-existing health conditions. Also reveals "almost 70%…have impairment in one or more organs four months after initial symptoms". 1/4
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
▶️"prevalence of pre-existing conditions (obesity: 20%, hypertension: 6%; diabetes: 2%; heart disease: 4%) was low"
▶️Only 18% had been hospitalised
▶️Mean age: 44
▶️"impairment in heart (32%), lungs (33%), kidneys (12%), liver (10%), pancreas (17%), and spleen (6%)"
2/4
"In this young cohort with low prevalence of comorbidities, the extent of symptom burden and organ impairment is concerning", given the "pandemic's scale and high infection rates" among this population deemed "low risk". 3/4
Read 6 tweets
16 Oct 20
🚨"you're in that very, very fast upward swing of the epidemic, and a day's delay matters, a week's delay really matters... We saw that in March/April... The red lights are flashing...". SAGE member @JeremyFarrar case for circuit breaker starting NOW. 1/2
bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episod… Image
Informative piece on the 21 Sept SAGE meeting, Johnson's decision not to follow their advice & the subsequent alarm of scientists. @JeremyFarrar 'described the measures [the government adopted] as "the worst of all worlds".'👇 2/2
theguardian.com/world/2020/oct…
UK government advisor & Oxford Regius Professor of Medicine John Bell supports a circuit breaker:
theguardian.com/world/live/202… Image
Read 4 tweets
14 Oct 20
According to the recently released SAGE papers👇, keeping universities open plays a greater role in spreading Covid-19 infection -- ~0.3 (0.2-0.5) increase in R -- than any other activity, apart from keeping secondary schools open -- ~0.35 (0.2-0.5). 1/
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
By contrast:
▶️General directive to work from home where possible decreases R by 0.2-0.4
▶️Closure of bars, pubs, cafés and restaurants decreases R by 0.1-0.2
▶️"Stopping all contacts between different households in the home might reduce Rt by ~0.1-0.2" 2/
▶️Closure of indoor gyms, leisure centres, fitness etc.: "reduction in Rt of up to 0.1"
▶️Closure of places of worship / community centres: "reduction in Rt of up to 0.1" 3/
Read 8 tweets
13 Oct 20
This tweet from yesterday👇on the Manchester VC's interview with @bbcnickrobinson is now my 5th most viewed for 2020, at 92k and rising. Countdown of the other 4 below. 1/5
#3 from before the pandemic with 160k views: 3/5
Read 6 tweets
12 Oct 20
Jaw-dropping @BBCRadio4 interview w VC of University of Manchester: surprised by rapidity of outbreaks!; claims the main problem was failure to sufficiently communicate to students the need to follow guidelines!
.@OfficialUoM VC: "I think we were surprised by the speed and scale of the numbers that tested positive. ...It was very much a feature of something that seemed to happen very fast about a week after they returned – a week to 10 days -- and now they're coming down." 1/
👆WTF? How could you have been surprised, given that *exactly the same thing* happened in university after university in the US in August & early September. 2/
Read 32 tweets
15 Sep 20
A thread on the impending, foreseeable @UniversitiesUK car crash: Cases have been surging since the re-opening of schools & the call to return to work in early September. 1/10
With the re-opening of schools, demand for tests now outstrips supply, and it will be a struggle for schools to remain open as a result. 2/10
theguardian.com/education/2020…
An especially grim upshot is that there is now insufficient testing even for NHS workers. 3/10
bbc.co.uk/news/uk-541568…
Read 21 tweets

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