0/ [RESEARCH RECAP PUBLIC RELEASE]

First, a huge thank you to everyone who's supported the Delphi team this past year!

As a small token of appreciation, we’re releasing a special edition report covering some of our best work recently!

TLDR thread below:
delphidigital.io/reports/happy-…
1/ Bitcoin is King of the Hill…Again

@Kevin_Kelly_II illustrates why #bitcoin can no longer be ignored by investment managers on the back of its 2nd consecutive year outperforming just about every major asset class.

delphidigital.io/reports/bitcoi…
2/ The Bitcoin Bull Case: 2021 & Beyond

@mediodelphi's rigorous on-chain analysis paints the ideal setup for BTC while @Kevin_Kelly_II reaffirms several technical & macro tailwinds heading into 2021.

$BTC is up ~70% since the report was first published.
delphidigital.io/reports/the-bi…
3/ 'Tis the Season

@mediodelphi examines seasonality and foreshadows $ETH outperformance heading into early 2021.

Return since publish (12/23):
🔸ETH = 79%
🔸BTC = 38%
delphidigital.io/reports/tis-th…
4/ #Ethereum Ecosystem Analysis & ETH 2.0

@Alex_Ged's marquee monthly deep dive into all things ETH.

$ETH began heating up in late Nov. as holders refused to sell & the amount held by centralized exchanges fell ~15%.

A staple report for us internally.
delphidigital.io/reports/eth-2-…
5/ As this market matures, institutions & traditional investors will begin to wade into DeFi.

Pros: strong project teams will attract more capital, harnessing the potential of DeFi.

Cons: greater congestion = higher gas prices.
The savior from this new norm? L2 solutions.
6/ Layer 2: Rollups

@Alex_Ged takes a 28-page deep dive into L2 solutions and provides a comparative analysis for each.

While L2 adoption is far from mainstream, it's important to understand the best potential solutions for various projects.
delphidigital.io/reports/layer-…
7/ Polkadot’s DeFi Stack

@ashwath_22 examines @Polkadot's focus on scalability & connectivity as a layer 0 protocol and the network’s attempt to recreate similar functionality to Ethereum’s DeFi ecosystem.

This was one of our most read reports of Q4.
delphidigital.io/reports/polkad…
8/ If you’re a fan of @AaveAave then you’ll enjoy @ZeMariaMacedo's back-to-back reports on $AAVE token economic structure and proposed enhancements.

The first reviews Aave's current model and how it can be further optimized (11/10/20).
delphidigital.io/reports/toward…
9/ Aave Token Architecture v2

Capital protection is paramount & the core focus of the 2nd report.

Aided by @JonathanErlichL, our team breaks down the strengths & drawbacks of Aave’s Safety Module, which underwrites all risks for protocol participants.
delphidigital.io/reports/aave-t…
10/ A Look Into Public DeFi Treasuries

When researching any token, it’s important to fully understand the project’s issuance schedule and treasury management

@ashwath_22 explores the treasury models of major projects & their potential impact on price.
delphidigital.io/reports/a-look…
11/ @iearnfinance didn’t have the luxury of pre-funding a treasury and because the token is fully issued, $YFI adopted a new fee structure with the hopes of using the protocol’s cash flow to attract skilled strategy creators.
12/ On the other hand, @synthetix_io is not fully diluted and is benefiting from the recent $SNX price run up.

With close to 20% of the total $SNX supply, the DAO can generate passive income via trading fees on the protocol paid to stakers, on top of SNX staking rewards.
13/ Meanwhile, @thorchain_org / $RUNE is using its treasury for the sole purpose of funding of its ongoing development.

The model is straightforward and the team doesn’t intend on having a long-lasting treasury, with plans to become obsolete in mid-2022.
14/ Now for DeFi’s golden child: @UniswapProtocol.

As of now, 43% of $UNI supply is vested to its treasury over 4 years. With both $UNI vesting and the free cash flow levels, this protocol may be the best funded treasury around.

Our recap includes 3 possible scenarios:
15/ @iearnfinance was the first major protocol to merge with not one but two DeFi protocols.

Read @ashwath_22's take on the $Pickle acquisition in late November, a relevant topic for those expecting more protocol M&A.
delphidigital.io/reports/the-im…
16/ The Great yBundling (YFI)

@Shaughnessy119 dissects The Great Unbundling (s/o @benthompson) and the implications for $YFI's moat & value proposition.

One of our most popular Delphi Daily's.
delphidigital.io/reports/the-gr…
18/ Public Goods Problem

There are things we all agree we want but remain underfunded. In “Coordination, Public Goods and Crypto (Parts 1 & 2)” @ZeMariaMacedo explores how crypto may be able to solve this problem.
delphidigital.io/reports/coordi…
19/ Jose also provided a great framework for thinking about the broader picture of crypto investing alongside some of the key considerations unique to this market.

Through his exploration, he highlights why insurance might still be undervalued.
delphidigital.io/reports/crypto…
20/ The Graph: Our Experience Creating a Subgraph for $ESD

@lukedelphi walks through the subgraph he and our team built for @emptysetdollar using @graphprotocol.

Also includes a step-by-step guide for those more technically inclined!
delphidigital.io/reports/the-gr…
21/ We round out the research recap with a selection of @PodcastDelphi highlights & complimentary access to several FULL length Delphi Daily’s!

To receive our free weekly Delphi Debrief, sign up at → delphidigital.io/research/

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More from @Delphi_Digital

20 Dec 20
0/ Every week, we send out a free 5 min weekly recap called 🌀 The Delphi Debrief 🌀

This week we published analysis on:
🔹 Layer 2s
🔹 $MKR underperformance
🔹 @beeple sell out
🔹 Crypto Investing Frameworks
delphidigital.io/reports/layer-…
1/ Our must read for members this week was the all-encompassing L2 report that @Alex_Ged & our CTO @lukedelphi put together.

We spoke with all the top teams building these rollups + the projects leveraging them to answer all the q’s our clients may have.
delphidigital.io/reports/layer-… Image
2/ @MakerDAO is the largest DeFi protocol by TVL, with over $2.5B in collateral.

Earlier this week, @ashwath_22 took a look at the recent underperformance of $MKR vs other DeFi blue chips like $SNX $YFI $AAVE
delphidigital.io/reports/analyz…
Read 7 tweets
7 Dec 20
0/ [PUBLIC RELEASE] The Bitcoin Bull Case: 2021 & Beyond

After 1,081 days of waiting, #Bitcoin recently reached a new ATH. So what’s next?

We’re making our latest report public to provide the $BTC community with ammo 👇
delphidigital.io/reports/the-bi…
1/ It's packed w/ on-chain data, market cycle forecasts, key trading trends, and macro market analysis (thread below):

🔸 UTXO Analysis
🔸 Market Cycle Patterns & Forecasts
🔸 Supply Shortage & Exchange Balances
🔸 Price Breakout & Momentum
🔸 Correlations, Sentiment, Volatility
2/ Forecasting Market Cycles

In our inaugural #Bitcoin report (Dec ‘18) we analyzed historical holder activity to predict a $BTC price bottom by 1Q19.

$BTC hit a cycle low 5 days later, setting up its 2019 surge.
Read 18 tweets
6 Nov 20
0/ [NEW] Monthly Delphi Research Recap

A monthly digest highlighting some of our research team’s top reports and content.

Free access to the first edition here: delphidigital.io/reports/best-o…

Highlights 👇
1/ If you like what you see, we're offering a limited time discount on ALL our memberships.

Just use the code "DELPHIRECAP" at checkout to lock in a 50% discount on your 1st month OR a 20% discount on any of our annual plans!

(FYI: This won't last long!)
delphidigital.io/subscription-p…
2/ This edition includes:

🔸 Setup for #Bitcoin & key on-chain metrics $BTC
🔸 Analysis on Ethereum's evolving ecosystem $ETH
🔸 Crypto taxation
🔸 Relationship between Yearn & Curve $YFI $CRV
🔸 In-depth notes on $NXM, smart stablecoins, impact of vested rewards, & more! Image
Read 5 tweets
13 May 20
0/ We hope everyone’s enjoying our new State of #Bitcoin report!

It’s close to 60 pages, so for convenience we wanted to tweet out a few of our favorite takeaways:

Short thread below 👇👇👇
delphidigital.io/halving
1/ The current composition of the underlying holder base looks nearly identical to the one leading into the 2nd halving:

58% of holders hadn’t moved their $BTC in at least 1YR back in 2016, that # stands at 59% today

27.1% hadn’t moved their $BTC in at least 3YRS, 27.8% today
2/ Prior #bitcoin cycles tended to peak when major central bank balance sheet growth began to decelerate (albeit price history is limited).

Meanwhile, U.S. debt-to-GDP is all but guaranteed to surpass its previous WWII high (~120%).
Read 11 tweets
11 May 20
0/ The State of Bitcoin 2020

For the 3rd $BTC halving, our team wanted to arm the community with the most thorough, all-encompassing report on the current state of #Bitcoin.

Dive in here: delphidigital.io/halving
1/ This report serves as a special update to our inaugural State of Bitcoin report released back in Dec. 2018. At the time, we claimed $BTC was “easier to dismiss than understand.”

Safe to say a great deal has changed since then. Dismissing Bitcoin is no longer an option.
2/ Within The State of Bitcoin 2020, our team dives into all this and more!

🔸 Macro Backdrop
🔸 Adoption Analysis
🔸 On-Chain Trends
🔸 Exchange Flows
🔸 Upcoming Bitcoin Upgrades
🔸 Lightning Network
🔸 Contributor Pieces
Read 8 tweets
1 Nov 19
0/ We recently sent our clients a special edition of the Monthly #Bitcoin Outlook by @YanLiberman and @Kevin_Kelly_II, and we’re excited to share it publicly today. This thread summarizes our take of the interplay between Price and Open Interest on Bitmex.
delphidigital.io/btc
1/ We start off by recapping the 2019 volume profile for $BTC. This year, Bitcoin's volume profile has resembled that of a mini bull bear cycle. A more detailed recap can be found within the report.
2/ Open Interest (OI) represents the number of perpetual futures contracts in existence, serving as a useful proxy for the amount of leverage in the market. In 2019, peaking OI has functioned as a potential sign of trend exhaustion and subsequent reversal.
Read 13 tweets

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