BREAKING—Reports of a highly contagious new variant in the United States are based on speculative statements made by Dr. Deborah Birx and are inaccurate, according to several government officials. CDC was dismayed and tried to stop her, but failed #COVID19
nytimes.com/2021/01/08/hea…
2) “erroneous report originated at a meeting where Dr. Birx presented graphs of the escalating cases in the country. She suggested to other members of the task force that a new, more transmissible variant originating in the U.S. might explain the surge”
3) “Her hypothesis made it into a weekly report sent to state governors. “This fall/winter surge has been at nearly twice the rate of rise of cases as the spring and summer surges...”
4) “This acceleration suggests there may be a USA variant that has evolved here, in addition to the UK variant that is already spreading in our communities and may be 50% more transmissible,” the report read. “Aggressive mitigation must be used to match a more aggressive virus.”
5) “Dismayed, officials at the C.D.C. tried to have the speculative statements removed, but were unsuccessful.

C.D.C. officials did not agree with her assessment and asked to remove it but were told no, according to one frustrated C.D.C. official.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Eric Feigl-Ding

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DrEricDing

11 Jan
GOOD NEWS—a mutation seen in a few #SARSCoV2 variants doesn’t seem to harm the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, finding “no reduction in neutralization activity against virus”.

HOWEVER—did not yet test for worrisome E484K mutation, which many experts say might.🧵
statnews.com/2021/01/08/pfi…
2) A colleague of mine, @AliNouriPhD, wrote a post on a recent reinfection case involving the E484K mutation. We know it can “escape” many current neutralizing antibodies.
3) What do we mean by “escape neutralizing antibodies”? It means antibodies known to bind the common type of the #SARSCoV2 virus no longer bind to the mutated version. And that is what we are noticing with the E484K mutation that’s in receptor binding domain. (@jbloom_lab credit) Image
Read 4 tweets
10 Jan
HORRENDOUS—Physician for US Congress sends a warning that the protective safe room for Members of Congress where tons of people were huddle together—had someone w/ #COVID19, and thus everyone possibly exposed. Everyone asked to get PCR test.

We knew this could happen. Horrible. Image
2) We knew something like this could happen. That’s why @LisaBRochester tried to hand out masks to everyone in the safe room.
3) I warned this entire Jan 6th insurrection day could be worse than Sturgis in terms of superspreading.
Read 4 tweets
10 Jan
FOLKS—if you think #COVID19 cases is really bad in the US, it is even more epically surging in the UK 🇬🇧 & Ireland 🇮🇪. I made a short video... and highlighted the simultaneous rise in the more contagious b117 variant. Denmark CDC thinks B117 will become dominant strain by Feb. 🧵
2) the new variant B117 is now 25% of all cases in Ireland last week. Up form 9% 2 weeks before that.
3) This needs to be a lesson for all of us. The Danish CDC is extremely concerned and pessimistic.
Read 10 tweets
10 Jan
Ireland 🇮🇪 & N. Ireland are in a serious #COVID19 crisis. Cases surging past 🇬🇧.

➡️Ireland also has increased presence of the B117 variant—now found in **25%** of cases that underwent further testing in week to Jan. 3, up from just 9% two weeks earlier.
reuters.com/article/us-hea… Image
2) This dooms day B117 variant taking over scenario with sharp vertical increase is exactly the most feared scenario Denmark CDC — Denmark 🇩🇰 is also seeing sharp rise. And they fear they will soon lose control. See thread 🧵
3) To be clear—even if we hold the virus in check with a minimum R=0.96... by the time the new virus variant takes hold, it will be woefully insufficient, since the B117 strain is 40-80% more infectious (multiply current R*1.4 or *1.8). Other experts agree....
Read 7 tweets
9 Jan
❤️HEARTWARMING—it was past 12am & for 90 min, he crouched down & filled half dozen trash bags. When he finished cleaning up the Capitol rotunda, he cleaned adjacent rooms. Then worked until 3am to certify the election—he had been awake for >36 hours. Who is he? Rep @AndyKimNJ 🙏 Image
2) I had the honor to meet @RepAndyKimNJ in spring 2018 when both of us we running for Congress. I didn’t make it, but @AndyKimNJ made it. He has kindness of a Korean-American son, and the heart of a lion. (36 hours straight no sleep!!). Respect ✊🏼

nbcnews.com/news/asian-ame…
3) “I was just overwhelmed with emotion,” Kim, 38, told @NBCAsianAmerica. “It’s a room that I love so much — it’s the heart of the Capitol, literally the heart of this country. It pained me so much to see it in this kind of condition.”
Read 5 tweets
9 Jan
MOST EFFECTIVE INTERVENTIONS: What works best for reducing R(t)?

📌Limiting gatherings <10 people: 42% reduction

📌Closing schools & universities: 38% reduction—which was “remarkably robust“

➡️big paper published in @ScienceMagazine—Legit.

#COVID19 🧵
science.sciencemag.org/content/early/… Image
2) Notice how big a drop school closing offer in dropping R below 3.3 baseline. And especially when combined with other things, schools can bring it down below R<1. #COVID19

@dgurdasani1 has more children’s data - follow here. Image
3) here are the specific details of each govt intervention’s R reduction and their 95% CIs from@the study. Image
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!